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Showing results for: "opec"

Oil Prices Decline On OPEC+ Meeting Result

Despite OPEC+ announces production cuts, oil traders remained unconvinced, leading to a nearly 3% plunge in oil prices overnight. The efficacy of these cuts is questionable as they are implemented on a “voluntary” basis. Despite OPEC+ announces production cuts, oil traders remained unconvinced, leading to a nearly 3% plunge in oil prices …

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All Eyes On OPEC+ Meeting

Market attention is currently focused on the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for today, with widespread expectations that further oil production cuts will be on the agenda, potentially fueling a surge in oil prices. The surge in the U.S. Treasury prices has led to a decline in Treasury yields, placing the U.S. dollar under …

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Oil Prices Declines On OPEC Delay Meeting

The scheduled OPEC meeting slated for the upcoming weekend has been deferred to November 30th, resulting in a nearly 1% dip in oil prices In an unexpected turn of events, the scheduled OPEC meeting slated for the upcoming weekend has been deferred to November 30th, resulting in a nearly 1% dip in …

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Oil Remains Strong On OPEC Outlook

Oil prices continued their upward trend driven by the OPEC monthly report forecasting a 3.3 million barrel per day shortfall in the 4th quarter. The dollar index remained stable near $104.5 as the market awaited the release of U.S. CPI data, causing fluctuations in the equity and gold markets due to speculation …

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Oil Prices Gain On OPEC+ Supply Cuts Extension

Dollar continues to edge higher, amid rising US Treasury yields. Oil prices surge as investors anticipate OPEC+ might extend its oil supply cut. The Dollar index has surged to its highest level since March, while the Dow Jones index closed lower for the third consecutive session. Several Federal Reserve governors have expressed …

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Oil Prices Surges With OPEC+ Surprise Supply Cuts 

Oil prices surged by more than 8%, with WTI crude trading above $81 for the first time since January after an unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut crude supply to tighten the market. The oil allies announced cutting more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, with Saudi Arabia leading the …

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Crude Surges on Surprise OPEC+ Cuts

Oil prices surged at the beginning of the week after OPEC+ unexpectedly announced crude output cuts that could tighten the market, causing inflationary concerns for the global economy. The cuts, which will exceed 1 million barrels a day, were not expected by traders who anticipated output to remain steady. Goldman Sachs raised …

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Outlook on Crude Positive for Early 2023 on China Reopening and OPEC+ Cuts

U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell much more than expected, according to the data of the American Petroleum Institute (API). The weekly report released by the organisation reported a draw of nearly 3.1 million barrels of crude oil for the week ending in December 16th. Compared to a build up of more than …

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OPEC: Russian Crude “Nearly Impossible” to Replace

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has warned that it would not be possible to replace the 7 million barrels of Russian oil and other liquid exports that will potentially be lost each day due to current and future sanctions. While the EU has not yet banned imports of Russian energy, …

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Dollar Surges on CPI Beat, Gold Pressured

Market Summary The Dollar Index surged on the back of robust inflation data, surprising investors and challenging expectations of an imminent rate cut. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures outpaced forecasts for the fourth consecutive month, reaching 3.5% over the 12 months to March. This unexpected inflationary pressure prompted a reevaluation of …

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Oil Price Plunged As Middle East Tension Subsided

Fundamental Analysis * Peace Talk Breakthrough?: Oil prices fell by 1% due to easing tensions in the Middle East. Israel withdrew more troops from southern Gaza and committed to new discussions for a potential ceasefire in the ongoing six-month conflict. Both Israel and Hamas sent delegations to Egypt for fresh ceasefire talks …

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Dollar Buoys By Optimistic NFP Expectation

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) briefly dipped below the pivotal $104 mark before rebounding in anticipation of the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, introducing an element of volatility into the market. Recent positive economic indicators, particularly the ADP non-farm employment change figures, exceeding expectations, have buoyed market sentiment …

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Bullish Gold Trades To All-Time High

Market Summary Gold prices have reached another milestone, currently trading steadily above $2300, as market sentiment leans towards the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut this year. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday reiterated the central bank’s stance, indicating that it will take more time to assess market conditions …

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Oil Price Rose On Supply Concerns

Fundamental Analysis * Supply Fears: Oil prices continue to climb amid concerns over reduced supply, as major producers continued to enforce output cuts, coupled with signs of robust economic expansion in the United States, the world’s largest oil consumer. The oil price is boosted by Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries, disrupting fuel …

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Upbeat PMI Readings Bolsters Dollar

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) surged by nearly 0.5% in the previous session, propelled by the robust ISM PMI readings surpassing the 50-mark threshold, signalling sustained economic growth in the United States. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s relatively dovish remarks last Friday, following the release of the PCE reading within expectations, …

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Dollar Dominance: Fed’s Hawkish Remarks

Market Summary The Dollar Index extended its upward trend, buoyed by hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials and robust inflation figures, including the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hitting 2.5% annually. Concurrently, safe-haven gold surged to record highs amidst subdued market sentiment, although concerns lingered regarding the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting stance. …

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Dollar Gains On Upbeat U.S. GDP Data

Market Summary The Dollar surged as upbeat U.S. GDP data, surpassing expectations at 3.4%, fueled speculation of a Federal Reserve pullback on anticipated rate cuts, heightening investor confidence in the currency. Concurrently, safe-haven gold experienced significant bullish momentum as investors hedged portfolios ahead of pivotal events despite the dollar’s ascent. Eyes are …

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U.S. Equity Market Rally Ahead of GDP

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) edged higher in anticipation of the U.S. GDP release scheduled for later today. However, it’s noteworthy that the U.S. long-term treasury yield is easing from its recent peak at 4.30%, which may exert downward pressure on the dollar’s strength. Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market, led by …

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Dollar Bolsters By Upbeat Economic Data

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) saw an uptick yesterday amid favourable economic indicators, reinforcing the perception of a robust U.S. economy. Notably, the growth in Durable Goods Orders from -6.9% to 1.4% for February indicates ongoing consumption growth, potentially fueling persistent inflationary pressures. This development has caused a recalibration of market …

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Market Trades Dully Ahead Of PCE

Market Summary The market exhibited relative quietness in yesterday’s trading session as investors positioned themselves ahead of Friday’s release of the PCE index. There is a palpable sense of confusion among market participants regarding the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming monetary policy. While the U.S. central bank remains steadfast in its commitment to implementing …

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Gold Price Rebounds Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

Market Summary In the lead-up to pivotal interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), global financial markets are exhibiting signs of stability. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is maintaining its position above the 103.50 threshold, bolstered by last week’s Producer Price Index (PPI) …

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Oil Extends Rally Amid Tight Supply Concern

Fundamental Analysis * Supply Squeeze: Oil prices extend its rally towards 4.5 month high as energy markets show growing concern over the ongoing decline in crude oil supplies expected to persist in the near future. Despite countries outside of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), notably the US, are pumping …

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All Eye On BoJ Interest Rate Decision

Market Summary The financial markets are bracing for a flurry of events this week, with central banks including the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Bank of England (BoE) all set to announce their monetary policy decisions. All eyes are particularly focused on the BoJ, where there is …

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Fears Of Inflationary Pressure Drive Dollar Rebound

Market Summary Amidst a flurry of economic data and speculation, the Dollar Index surged on the back of stronger-than-expected inflation figures, fueling expectations of impending interest rate hikes and bolstering US Treasury yields. Concurrently, crude oil prices maintained their upward momentum as the International Energy Agency forecasted a supply deficit for 2024, …

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Dollar Flat, Eye On Pivotal Economic Data

Market Summary The Dollar Index retreated from resistance levels, as market participants applied profit-taking strategies ahead of crucial events. With attention shifting towards the pivotal Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales figures, investors seek insights into the economy’s trajectory and potential interest rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, US equity …

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U.S. CPI Top Estimation Strengthening Dollar

Market Summary The recent U.S. CPI data, indicating a year-over-year increase of 3.2%, has caused a significant shift in market sentiment, suggesting a more cautious approach by the Federal Reserve towards cutting interest rates. This hinting at a sustained period of economic pressure that could delay the anticipated easing of monetary policy. …

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Financial Market Stall Ahead Of CPI

Market Summary The U.S. financial markets remained relatively calm in anticipation of the forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, slated for release later today. This inflation data is seen as a critical determinant for market speculation on the timing of potential monetary policy moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Concurrently, expectations of …

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Gold Surges To Record Highs As Gloomy Outlook

Market Summary The US Dollar faces challenges as key employment indicators present a mixed picture, with a disappointing unemployment rate and hourly earnings figures contrasting with a robust non-farm payroll report. The US Unemployment rate and Average Hourly Earnings came in at 3.90% and 0.10%, respectively, both worse than the expected 3.70% …

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Financial Market Await Powell’s Testimony

* Gold prices are on the brink to hit its all time high ahead of Powell’s testimony on Wednesday. * Tokyo Core CPI came in line with the market expectation with an increase from the previous reading fuels hope for a rate hike from BoJ. * BTC surged to above the $68000 …

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Trade Of The Day: Oil Price Fell On Weak Demand Concerns

Fundamental Analysis Warm Winter Chill: Crude oil price saw a modest decline on Monday with anticipated prolonged voluntary output reductions by the OPEC+ coalition through mid-year being offset by challenges in demand. Despite OPEC+ announcement to extend cuts, the ending of mild winter in the Northern Hemisphere which could reduce demand counteracts …

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Poor PMI Reading Weigh On Dollar’s Strength

* Poor ISM PMI readings put pressure on dollar strength. * Traders’ eyes on Tokyo Core CPI due tomorrow to gauge the Yen’s strength.  * OPEC+ will extend oil supply cuts to the second quarter of 2024 to avert a global surplus.   Market Summary Last week’s release of ISM PMI readings, which …

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U.S. PCE Reading Boost Dollar Strength

The much-anticipated U.S. PCE reading, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, was released yesterday, meeting market expectations at 2.4%. The much-anticipated U.S. PCE reading, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, was released yesterday, meeting market expectations at 2.4%. As the market awaits comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding the PCE inflation gauge, …

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Dollar Eases On Low GDP Growth

The Dollar Index underwent considerable volatility, fluctuating within a range of approximately 0.3% in the recent session. The Dollar Index underwent considerable volatility, fluctuating within a range of approximately 0.3% in the recent session. This movement followed a mixed bag of U.S. economic data. On one hand, the last quarter’s U.S. GDP …

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Dollar Stall Ahead Of GDP

The Dollar Index continues to trade within a narrow range, exhibiting minimal change with a marginal increase of 0.02% in the last session The Dollar Index continues to trade within a narrow range, exhibiting minimal change with a marginal increase of 0.02% in the last session. Concurrently, U.S. equity markets find themselves …

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Dollar Eases Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Minutes

As the FOMC January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. Conversely, gold prices are surging due …

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Robust CPI Report Sparks Surge In Dollar Demand

January’s inflation exceeds expectations at 0.30% monthly and 3.10% year-on-year, reinforcing the Dollar’s strength. The Dollar Index hits a three-month high, driven by robust economic indicators, including strong job reports, GDP figures and US inflation. January’s inflation exceeds expectations at 0.30% monthly and 3.10% year-on-year, reinforcing the Dollar’s strength. Market expectations for …

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Dollar Holds Steady in Anticipation of US CPI

Dollar in consolidation mode ahead of key economic data, investors are advised to continue eyeing on US CPI. The US Dollar adopts a consolidated stance in anticipation of key economic data, particularly US inflation and retail sales figures. Investors are closely monitoring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January, expecting a year-on-year …

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U.S. Dollar Eases Ahead Of Nonfarm Payroll

U.S. equity markets staged a rebound fueled by impressive earnings reports, and this positive sentiment spilled over to Asian markets U.S. equity markets staged a rebound fueled by impressive earnings reports, and this positive sentiment spilled over to Asian markets, including Hong Kong and China, which all opened on a positive note. …

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U.S. PCE Pressures Dollar To Trade Lower

The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …

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U.S. Government Shutdown Averts Fuels Risk-On Sentiment

The greenback experiences a slight easing as the U.S. Congress approves funding for government spending The U.S. economic data continues to underscore robust performance, contributing to the dollar’s strength. However, the greenback experiences a slight easing as the U.S. Congress approves funding for government spending, alleviating concerns about a potential government shutdown …

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Dollar Gain On Upbeat Retail Sales Figure

The U.S. dollar secured its fifth consecutive session of gains, continuing its upward trajectory following a better-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. The U.S. dollar secured its fifth consecutive session of gains, continuing its upward trajectory following a better-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. Robust economic indicators, including a rebound in the Consumer Price …

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Dovish Fed Statement Hinders Dollar’s Strength

The reassurance from Fed officials that the targeted inflation rate of 2% may soon be achieved provided a dovish perspective in the market. In anticipation of the upcoming U.S. CPI release on Thursday, the dollar retreated from its consolidation range. The reassurance from Fed officials that the targeted inflation rate of 2% …

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Upbeat U.S. Job Market Fuels Treasury Yield

The U.S. job market exceeded expectations, leaving the financial market perplexed about the strength of the economy despite the prevailing high-interest rate environment. Last week, the U.S. job market exceeded expectations, leaving the financial market perplexed about the strength of the economy despite the prevailing high-interest rate environment. The diminished belief in …

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Hawkish Fed Meeting Minutes Boosts Dollar

The U.S. dollar strengthened, driven by the Hawkish narrative revealed in the meeting minutes. U.S. equity markets registered a second consecutive decline following the release of the December Federal Reserve meeting minutes. The U.S. central bank signalled an intention to maintain interest rates at a restrictive level for an extended period until …

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Dollar Edges Higher When The Market Resumes

The U.S. dollar continued its ascent on the first trading session after returning from the New Year holiday. The U.S. dollar continued its ascent on the first trading session after returning from the New Year holiday. All eyes are set on the upcoming U.S. Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading scheduled for tomorrow, …

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Dollar Slump On Rate Cut Speculation

Investors strategically position themselves for an anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming year. Investors strategically position themselves for an anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming year, evident in the robust market demand observed during recent auctions for U.S. short-term treasuries. The heightened appetite for U.S. Treasury …

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Market Sideways While Celebrating Christmas

As Christmas and Boxing Day festivities take Centre stage globally, financial markets are characterized by a tranquil opening to the week. As Christmas and Boxing Day festivities take centre stage globally, financial markets are characterised by a tranquil opening to the week. Major currencies, including the dollar, have maintained stability in their …

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Downbeat PCE Hinders Dollar

The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index falling short suggests a slowdown in inflation, contributing to the persistent dovish sentiment from Fed officials. The US Dollar continues its decline, with increasing speculation about the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, particularly after the latest U.S. economic data released last Friday. The U.S. Personal …

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Dollar Hits 1-Week Low, Focus On PCE Report

The US Dollar grapples with a one-week low against major currencies as investors await critical US inflation data for Federal Reserve policy insights. The US Dollar grapples with a one-week low against major currencies as investors await critical US inflation data for Federal Reserve policy insights. Disappointing Q3 GDP figures, revealing a …

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All Eyes On Jerome Powell Speech Today

Traders are on edge, awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today for insights into the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy. The eagerly anticipated U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading was unveiled last night, aligning with market expectations and indicating signs of moderation in the country’s inflation rate. In contrast to the …

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Yen Rallies On BoJ Hawkish Comment

Governor Ueda remarked on the exploration of diverse options to navigate the country out of its negative interest rate regime leading to a substantial 2% drop in the USD/JPY pair overnight The Japanese Yen staged a robust rally in the previous session, leading to a substantial 2% drop in the USD/JPY pair …

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Dollar Bolsters Due To PMI Readings

The latest U.S. Job Opening data, dropping to its lowest level since March 2021 at 8.73 million, offers a preliminary insight ahead of the crucial NFP The latest U.S. Job Opening data, dropping to its lowest level since March 2021 at 8.73 million, offers a preliminary insight ahead of the crucial Non-Farm …

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Dollar Gains Ahead Of NFP

Wall Street’s bullish momentum showed signs of easing, coinciding with the U.S. dollar stabilising ahead of the eagerly anticipated U.S. job data (NFP) Wall Street’s bullish momentum showed signs of easing, coinciding with the U.S. dollar stabilising ahead of the eagerly anticipated U.S. job data (NFP) set for release this Friday. Market …

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Gold Prices Raise To All Time High On Rate-cut Speculation

The market remains firmly convinced that the U.S. central bank is poised for such actions next year, gold prices briefly reaching an all-time high at $2146. Despite Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chief, attempting to push back on rate-cut expectations, the market remains firmly convinced that the U.S. central bank is poised …

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Nonfarm Payrolls Forecasted At 175K Increase

Tuesday, 5 Dec, 05:30 RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec) The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has predicted that rates in Australia have reached its peak, an outlook supported by the country’s Treasurer Jim Chalmers. The RBA rate is currently at a 12-year high of 4.35%, with just 2% of the …

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Dollar Slides Ahead Of PCE

Prominent figure on Wall Street, Bill Ackman, is speculating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is poised to cut rates as early as the first quarter of the upcoming year. Prominent figure on Wall Street, Bill Ackman, is speculating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is poised to cut rates as early as the …

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Dollar Weakens As The Treasury Yield Slumps

U.S. long-term treasury yields have retraced to recent lows downside pressure on the U.S. dollar U.S. long-term treasury yields have retraced to recent lows, adding sparking discussions about the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates next year; this has added downside pressure on the U.S. dollar, with the dollar index reaching …

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VIX At Record Low, Sparks Equity Market

The U.S. equity market is set to return to normal trading hours after the Thanksgiving holiday; The VIX index reaching its lowest level since January 2020 The U.S. equity market is set to return to normal trading hours after the Thanksgiving holiday; meanwhile, with the VIX index reaching its lowest level since …

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Market Muted While Celebrating Thanksgiving

Amidst the Thanksgiving holiday, with the U.S. equity market closed, market observers anticipate subdued trading in the Dollar Index (DXY). Amidst the Thanksgiving holiday, with the U.S. equity market closed, market observers anticipate subdued trading in the Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices throughout the festive season. Concurrently, the trajectory of oil …

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Dollar Drops On Dovish FOMC Minutes

Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. In a much-anticipated earnings release, Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. This unexpected downturn interrupted the recent winning streak in U.S. equity markets, dampening …

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Risk-on Sentiment Sparks Equity Market

Nasdaq ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by anticipation surrounding Nvidia’s upcoming report. US dollar has slid to its lowest point since September Recent market dynamics have seen a surge in risk-on sentiment, with global equities rallying fervently. The Nasdaq has ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by heightened anticipation …

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Equity Market Bolstered By Fed Rate Peak Speculation

Recent weak U.S. economic data, hinting at slowed growth and contained inflation, suggests the Federal Reserve might be near the end of its tightening cycle. Recent downbeat economic data from the U.S., which indicates a moderation in economic performance and contained inflation, has led the market to believe that the Federal Reserve …

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Oil Prices Drop To 4-Month Low

The financial markets experienced a relatively subdued session overnight, as lacking significant catalysts. Investor attention remains focused on the APEC forum The financial markets experienced a relatively subdued session overnight, lacking significant catalysts to drive decisive movements. Investor attention remains focused on the APEC forum, with particular interest in the meeting between …

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Dollar Stalls Ahead Of Key CPI Release

The US dollar remains in a holding pattern as investors brace for a week of pivotal events. Markets expect the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) will set at a 0.10% monthly rise. The US Dollar remains in a holding pattern as investors brace for a week of pivotal events. All eyes are …

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Dollar Resurgence: Fed’s Hawkish Tone Sparks Market Shifts

Dollar staged a significant rebound driven by hawkish sentiments from Federal Reserve members, particularly emphasised by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly. The US Dollar staged a significant rebound driven by hawkish sentiments from Federal Reserve members, particularly emphasised by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly. …

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Continued Worries About Oil Prices and Supply

The Week Ahead: Week of 13 Nov (GMT+2) Tuesday, 14 Nov, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (Oct) The recent consumer price index, which serves as a significant indicator of inflation, rose by 0.4%. Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that these increases might eliminate the necessity for additional policy tightening. …

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Dollar Softens On FOMC’s Dovish Stance

The dollar remains subdued due to the Fed’s balanced assessment of inflation and recession risks. The dollar struggles below the $106 mark as the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish stance, signalling a potential end to its rate-hiking cycle. Despite a stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), the dollar remains subdued due to …

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Fed’s Hawkish Stance Bolsters Dollar

In a staunch show of strength, the dollar advances due to the market consensus towards the Fed maintaining elevated interest rates to combat persistent inflation. In a staunch show of strength, the dollar advances, driving the dollar index towards $107, bolstered by the Federal Reserve’s recent communication. The market consensus leans heavily …

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Equity Market Soars After U.S. Government Shutdown Averted

The dollar index held steady, while U.S. treasuries maintained robust levels when the threat of a U.S. government shutdown was averted. Global equity markets surged on the heels of reassuring news: the threat of a U.S. government shutdown was averted, instilling confidence across the board. Although tempered after breaching the $106 threshold, …

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Equity Markets Decline On Fed’s Hawkish Outlook

The consistent hawkish tone from Fed officials has spurred investors to withdraw funds from the equity market at a rate not seen since December. U.S. equity markets, alongside their Asian counterparts, are grappling with headwinds following a challenging central bank week. The consistent hawkish tone from Fed officials, coupled with warnings of …

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Gold Prices Continue To Surge Ahead Of The FOMC Statement

Gold prices have been increasing since last Friday, driven by widespread market expectations that the Fed will maintain its interest rates in September. The Dollar Index has remained relatively stable but at a robust level above the $105 threshold. This steadiness aligns with the prevailing sentiment in the equity markets as investors …

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Market Stays Calm As U.S. CPI Increases

The market’s relatively muted reaction suggests that this uptick in CPI had already been priced in. Yesterday’s U.S. CPI release showed a higher reading than both the forecasted number and the previous reading. However, it appeared that the market had already priced in this uptick in CPI, and there was a relatively …

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Yen Strengthens With Possible BoJ Policy Tweak

BoJ Governor Ueda suggests that by year-end, sufficient data will be available to evaluate the sustainability of wage growth and inflation in Japan. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda’s hawkish statements over the weekend have contributed to the strength of the Japanese Yen during the Asian morning session. Ueda mentioned that the …

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Strong U.S. Economic Data Bolsters Dollar

The lower-than-expected initial jobless claims has reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve may proceed with interest rate hikes.  U.S. economic data released on Thursday has reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve may proceed with interest rate hikes on September 20th. This sentiment was supported by lower-than-expected initial jobless claims and …

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Caixin Services PMI Shows China’s Economy Is Still Struggling

China’s equity market dropped, influenced by the decline of Caixin Services PMI reading, underscoring persistent challenges in China’s ongoing economic recovery. Last night, US markets observed Labor Day celebrations, resulting in a subdued environment across asset classes, marked by sideways trading. Conversely, China’s equity market experienced a morning session decline. The catalyst …

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Strong NFP Bolsters Dollar’s Strength

Nonfarm Payroll beat expectations, lifting the dollar. China reduced property down payments, boosting its equity markets. The latest Nonfarm Payroll report, released last Friday, exceeded market expectations with 187k jobs added, significantly higher than the previous 157k. This robust job data boosted the dollar by over 0.6%, while equity markets took some …

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Dollar Surge On Above Expectation Job Data

Dollar strengthened as U.S. economic data including PCE and initial Jobless Claims better than than market expectation. The U.S. equity market’s winning streak ended as the Dow Jones closed about 0.5% lower due to mixed economic data. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, matched market forecasts at 4.2%, while Initial …

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China’s Smaller Rate Cut Weighs Down Stock Market

The Chinese government’s decision to modestly reduce the short-term loan rate has disappointed the market. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the global government bond yield, reaching a level not seen …

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Global Equity Markets Tumble as Recession Looms

Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, but global government bond yields increased, reaching a level not seen in 15 years. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the …

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CPI Falls Short Of Market Consensus, Dollar Stands Pat

The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unveiled in the previous night’s session, yielding a mixed outcome. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unveiled in the previous night’s session, yielding a mixed outcome. While the reading showed an increase compared to the earlier figures, indicating a rise in inflation, it fell …

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All Eyes On U.S. CPI 

As the anticipation builds for releasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, the U.S. equity markets maintain their downward trajectory. As the anticipation builds for releasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, the U.S. equity markets maintain their downward trajectory. The market speculation is rife, with expectations suggesting a modest uptick in …

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Stock Market Slides After Moody’s Downgrades Banking Sector 

Moody’s decision to downgrade select U.S. banks triggered selling pressure in the U.S. stock market. Moody’s decision to downgrade select U.S. banks, citing escalating financial risks, triggered selling pressure in the U.S. stock market last night. The situation worsened as China unveiled its Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) …

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U.S. Equity Market Closes Higher Ahead of CPI

U.S. equity markets resurge as Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway and Amazon Inc. showcase impressive climbs. U.S. equity markets embraced a resurgence yesterday, effectively putting an end to their four-day losing spell. Notably, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway reached an unprecedented pinnacle, while Amazon Inc. showcased an impressive climb of over 10% within the …

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Dollar Softer After NFP Comes Short

The unemployment rate in the U.S. improved to 3.5%, but the Nonfarm Payroll saw a reduction to 187k, resulting in slightly easing the dollar. Last Friday, the United States experienced a blend of economic indicators. The unemployment rate in the country improved to 3.5%, but the Nonfarm Payroll saw a reduction to …

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BoE Delivers 25 BPS Rate Hikes Softening Pound Sterling

The Bank of England (BoE) delivered a 25 bps rate hike, with the BoE governor emphasising that the policy will remain tight. The dollar’s ascent of nearly 1% in August was further bolstered by the U.S. credit rating downgrade, pushing it close to the $103 threshold. However, yesterday U.S. economic data has …

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Gold Prices Surge On U.S. Credit Downgrading

The announcement of Fitch has downgraded U.S. treasuries immediately affected gold prices. Fitch, the U.S. credit rating agency, has downgraded U.S. treasuries from their pristine AAA rating to AA+. The implications for the dollar remain to be seen, but the announcement immediately affected gold prices, which quickly surged by nearly 0.3%. In …

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All Eyes On RBA Interest Rate Decision

Market analysts project a 25 basis point rate hike from the RBA, but positive economic data may lead to a rate hike pause. All eyes are on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as investors eagerly await the announcement of their interest rate decision, scheduled for later today. Market analysts have projected …

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Softer PCE Reading Fuels Equity Market

After the release of the U.S. PCE data, equity markets responded positively, with Asian markets sharing the upbeat sentiment. Last week’s release of the U.S. PCE data sparked optimism in the market, fueling demand for risky assets on expectations of further inflation moderation. Equity markets responded positively, with Asian markets sharing the …

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Japanese Yen Appreciates On Possible YCC Tweak

Japanese yen strengthened against majors. BoJ to discuss potential YCC strategy adjustments, sparking market speculation. The Japanese yen displayed strength against its major counterparts last night. The market buzzed with speculation as the BoJ unveiled plans to discuss potential adjustments to its yield curve control (YCC) strategy. Speculators opine that the central …

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Market Stays Calm Ahead Of Fed’s Rate Announcement

Investors await the Fed’s interest rate decision, to be released today at 21:00 (GMT+3). If the rate is raised from 5.25% to 5.5%, it will mark the highest level in 22 years. Investors’ unwavering attention is fixed on the Fed’s interest rate decision, eagerly awaiting its release later today. With market speculations …

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China’s Economic Stimulus Package Spurs Stock Markets

The Hang Seng Index and regional stock markets start the day with a solid 3% gap up on account of Chinese government’s economic bolstering optimism. The Hang Seng Index and regional stock markets start the day with a solid 3% gap up, driven by a prevailing optimism over anticipated economic bolstering by …

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Upbeat Job Data Encourages Dollar Surge

U.S. dollar surged more than 0.5% triggered by optimistic job data in the U.S. Asian equity markets faced declines, influenced by the U.S. equity market’s disappointing earnings results. Last night, Nasdaq experienced a substantial drop of over 2%, marking its most significant single-day decline since March. Conversely, the U.S. dollar displayed strength, …

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Pound Sterling Hammers By Softer Inflation Data

Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1% following the release of CPI data. Last night, the dollar index surpassed $100 following the release of CPI data for both the UK and Eurozone; as the Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1%, while the euro also showed a slight decline. The …

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Strong Earnings Boost Equities, Gold Surges On Downbeat Data

Strong quarter results from US banks spark optimism in US equity market. Strong quarterly results from Wall Street banks, Microsoft, and other major corporations fueled the US equity market’s upward momentum, while lacklustre economic data led to a dip in US treasury yields, signalling expectations of a more cautious stance by the …

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CPI Hammers DXY To Below $100

The U.S. dollar continues to decline, breaking below the key psychological support level of $100. The release of lower-than-expected CPI data on Wednesday has significantly impacted the financial market. The equity market has extended its gains, while gold prices have risen by over 1.5% following the data release. Conversely, the U.S. dollar …

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U.S. PCE Shows Inflation Moderating

Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …

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Dollar Stands Pat Ahead Of Powell’s Testimony

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give his twice-yearly testimony before congress today The market is exhibiting cautious sentiment as it edged lower in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House today (21st June). Investors closely scrutinise this two-day testimony to gain insights …

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Dollar Hammered By Weak PMI Data

The dollar’s value experienced a decline, falling below $104 following the release of disappointing U.S. service PMI data. The reading dropped from 51.9 to 50.3, prompting the market to reconsider the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hike in June. Investors are currently awaiting the announcement from the Reserve …

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Dollar Surges on Impressive NFP and Debt Ceiling Resolution

Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …

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Is The Fed Skipping The June Rate Hike?

Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …

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Debt Limit Bill Vote Passes The House

A Bipartisan Agreement To Suspend The Debt Ceiling Is Now Awaiting Approval From The U.S. Senate The House of Representatives has successfully passed a debt ceiling deal to prevent a potentially catastrophic event. However, the process is not yet complete as the bill now awaits approval from the Senate, where not all …

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Debt-Limit Bill Clears 1st Hurdle

Uncertainty Remains In The Markets As Both Political Parties In The U.S. Continue With Their Discourse Around The Debt Ceiling Issue The bill regarding the U.S. debt limit has successfully cleared its first obstacle at the House Rules Committee, but it now faces another challenge in Congress. Ahead of the bill’s debate …

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Optimism Ignites Asian Markets As Debt Ceiling Deal Sparks Risk Appetite

Market participants are now eagerly waiting for the conclusion of a debt ceiling deal in congress Global markets experienced a mixed landscape as Western holidays provided a sense of calm for dollar-related currencies. In contrast, Asian markets saw a surge in positive sentiment, driving the Nikkei index to its highest level in …

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Dollar Surges On Robust Economic Data, Fueling Investor Confidence

The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …

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Credit Rating Agencies Threatens to Cut U.S. Rating

Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …

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U.S. Debt Ceiling Remains At An Impasse

The Biden-McCarthy meeting on the debt-limit bill has yet to yield any deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. default, with U.S. Treasury secretary warning that the country will run out of cash in June. Market sentiment worsened as the White House has no more meetings planned; and gold prices have rebounded due …

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Markets Calm Before U.S. Inflation Data

Ahead of the release of U.S. CPI, the markets remain subdued as most asset classes saw little change overnight. As investors await the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and monitor the development of the U.S. debt ceiling, the markets remain subdued. Most of the asset classes saw little change overnight ahead of …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Nasdaq Leads Wall Street Rally as US Tech Earnings Shine

The tech-heavy index is up over 2.7% on the day, with companies like Meta Platforms leading the rise Nasdaq led a Wall Street rally driven by robust earnings from US tech firms, despite concerns over US economic growth. Meta Platforms saw the biggest gains after forecasting quarterly revenue above estimates, citing AI’s …

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Euro Surges on Upward German Growth Forecast, ECB Hawkish Tone

The euro has received a boost from a combination of hawkish guidance from the ECB and positive economic data in the region The Euro stole the spotlight as it surged to a record high following Germany’s upward revision of its economic growth forecast for 2023. The move is reinforced by positive indicators, …

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Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed’s Monetary Policy Decision

With a 25-point hike already priced in for the dollar, investors have turned to the ECB’s hawkish outlook to price the euro The US Dollar slipped to a one-week low as investors pondered the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy ahead of next week’s meeting, where a rate hike is expected. Uncertainty lingers, with …

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Investors Brace for Uncertainty Ahead of Key Economic Data

The U.S. is trading flat as the markets prepare for potential uncertainty ahead of GDP and inflation figures The King Dollar is trading flat as market participants prepare for potential uncertainties. The upcoming release of GDP figures, core PCE price index, and employment cost index are critical for global investors. Meanwhile, the …

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Gold Prices Surge as Recession Looms

Dollar weakness has leant support to the precious metal, which has climbed back to the near-2000 mark U.S. equities took a hit as concerns over corporate earnings weighed heavily on investor sentiment, a sentiment that spilled over into Asian markets. The market’s risk appetite has contracted due to fears of a possible …

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Rate Hike Expectations Falter as PPI Plummets 

The US Producer Price Index came in lower than expected The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike expectations have continued to wane amid a flurry of lacklustre economic data. The latest blow to inflationary pressures came from the Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which displayed a significant …

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US Dollar Dips as Inflation Falls Short. 

US Treasury yields and the Greenback dipped as investors recalibrated their expectations for rate hikes following the release of March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in below the market consensus. This unexpected dip in inflation triggered a surge in the prices of non-yielding assets such as gold and crude oil, as …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Equities Market Edge Higher as Risk-On Sentiment Escalates

The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …

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Markets Muted While Celebrating Easter

The markets remained clueless after releasing mixed signals in the U.S. economic data last Friday. Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded …

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Mixed Asian Shares After Surprise Rate Hike by RBNZ

Asian markets were mixed as investors digested a US labour report showing a drop in job openings to their lowest level in almost two years in February. New Zealand’s central bank increased its benchmark cash rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%, causing the New Zealand dollar to strengthen by almost 0.9%. …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Nasdaq 100 Enters Bull Market as Fears Over Banking Crisis Ease

On Wednesday, 8 March, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data for February was released, coming in at a lower-than-expected 145,000 against the expected 200,000 and down from January’s figure of an upwardly-revised 261,000. This is the latest in a string of cooling data showing that the Fed’s aggressive tightening regime might …

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Banking Crisis Fears Resurface

Evidence of a weakening U.S. economy has led investors to rotate out of the dollar Although a hawkish statement from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated for sustained rates above 5%; the market is struggling with the resurgence of banking fears. The newly released economic data, including the manufacturing PMI and JOLTs …

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Stock Markets Mixed On Concerns Over Oil Inflation Risk

OPEC+’s surprise production cut has roiled Asian the equity markets U.S. equity markets continue to be bullish, with market sentiment continuing upwards after the banking sector woes. Asian markets saw mixed performance due to inflationary worry after a surprise move from OPEC+. The oil cartel further cut production by more than 1 …

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Will Chinese Demand Overshadow Supply Concerns for Crude?

A lower-than-expected build in crude oil inventories has seen the commodity trade flat as demand concerns hit the markets. On Wednesday evening, the EIA Crude Oil Inventories was released, showing a build of 522,000 barrels, putting the total inventory at 448.5 million. This is much lower than the forecasted increase of 971,000 …

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Fed Inflation Fears and Weak Demand Outlook Weigh on Crude

On Wednesday, 12 October (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook (SETO). Forecasts for 2023 revealed an average global oil production of 100.7 million barrels a day – down 600,000 from September’s forecast and reflecting OPEC+’s announced cuts.  Oil consumption for 2023 is forecasted to be 101 …

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Large Crude Inventory Drop Sends Prices Up

On Wednesday (GMT+3) 24th August, the US crude oil inventories greatly outperformed expectations, dropping by 3.282 million barrels against an expected drop of 0.922 barrels for the week of 19 August. The Energy Information Administration also reported a drop of 0.661 million barrels against expectations for an increase of 0.58 million barrels.  …

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Crude Drops Despite EIA Inventory Decrease

On Wednesday (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration reported a decrease of 2.762 million barrels in its crude oil inventories for the week of 24 June. This is more than the forecasted decrease of 569,000 barrels and the previous week’s decrease of 386,000.  Meanwhile, gasoline stocks increased by 2.6 million barrels, while …

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Oil Rises Despite EIA Crude Oil Inventory Increase

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US EIA Crude Oil Inventories data was released. For the Week of 3 June, US inventories of crude increased by 2.025 million barrels. This is compared to the forecasted draw of 1.917 million, and the previous week’s draw of 5.068 million.  Meanwhile, distillate inventories saw a rise …

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8 Million EIA Inventory Drop Sends Crude Prices Up

On Wednesday (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration reported a large decrease of 8.02 million barrels in its crude oil inventories, bringing its current inventory to 413.7 million barrels. The numbers are far from the forecasted increase of 2.471 million barrels, and last week’s increase of 9.382 million. Meanwhile, gasoline inventories see …

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Huge EIA Inventory Increase Fails to Soothe Oil Prices

On Wednesday (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration reported an increase in 9.382 million barrels in its crude oil inventories. This is significantly higher than both the estimated increase of 863,000 barrels, and the previous number of 2.421 million barrels. An increase in inventories usually implies weaker demand and would be bearish …

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Oil Prices Cool as UAE Pledges to Open the Taps

After a month of rallying in response to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, oil prices have finally cooled at the combined news of Ukraine withdrawing its NATO application; and the UAE saying that it will increase oil production while encouraging its allies in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to do the …

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Chances of 50-point Rate Hike Increases as US CPI Hits 40-year High

On Thursday (GMT+2), the US released its Consumer Price Index data (CPI) for January. Results showed that inflation, as measured by the CPI, increased by 7.5% year-on-year, beating out the forecasted 7.3% and posting the highest gain since 1982. The results also mark an increase of 0.6% from December, continuing the fourth …

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Tonight’s EIA Data will Confirm Bullish Sentiment for Crude Oil

On Wednesday night, January 19 (GMT+2), data released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 1.4 million barrels in the week of 14 January, while gasoline inventories increased by 3.5 million barrels. Meanwhile, distillate fuel stocks fell by 1.2 million barrels. In its latest report, …

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