U.S. Government Reopens, but Uncertainties Remain as Dollar Retreats and Gold Gains
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U.S. Government Reopens, but Uncertainties Remain as Dollar Retreats and Gold Gains

Published: 13 November 2025,03:19

Published: 13 November 2025,03:19

Daily Market Analysis New

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Key Takeaways:

*The U.S. government shutdown is likely ending, pending President Trump’s signature on the bipartisan funding bill.

*The Dollar Index extends losses as traders remain cautious over unresolved fiscal and political tensions.

*Gold prices surge as safe-haven demand persists amid expectations of prolonged policy uncertainty.

Market Summary:

The U.S. government shutdown, now in its 42nd day and the longest in history, appears close to resolution as the House prepares to vote on a Senate-approved short-term funding bill. Once signed by President Trump, federal agencies will reopen, federal workers will receive back pay, and immediate operational disruptions will be alleviated.

Despite the resolution, markets remain cautious as core fiscal and political challenges persist, including healthcare subsidies and long-term budget planning. These unresolved issues continue to influence investor sentiment and contribute to market uncertainty, even with the immediate crisis resolved.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) extended losses, hovering near key support levels. Although reopening the government may allow delayed economic data releases—providing clearer insight into growth trends—the broader fiscal and political instability continues to weigh on investor sentiment. Persistent U.S. debt concerns, coupled with ongoing trade tensions, add to the downside risks for the greenback, with analysts anticipating that the upcoming data may reflect slower economic activity.

Meanwhile, gold prices surged as investors sought safety amid continued political uncertainty. Despite a temporary resolution to the shutdown, the lack of structural progress on fiscal policy and the potential for renewed disruptions in early 2026 continue to support demand for safe-haven assets. Expectations that the Federal Reserve could shift toward a more dovish stance, particularly if upcoming data reveal economic weakness, have also bolstered gold’s appeal.

With markets still digesting the fiscal and policy implications, traders are likely to monitor U.S. data releases, Fed communications, and debt ceiling negotiations for further directional cues in both the dollar and gold markets.

Technical Analysis

Dollar Index, H4

The Dollar Index is trading lower, currently testing both the support level at 99.45 and the uptrend line, which may signal potential rebound conditions. The MACD shows increasing bullish momentum with a golden cross, while the RSI at 48 is rebounding from oversold territory — indicating possible upside recovery.


If the rebound continues, the index may retest resistance at 100.25, followed by 101.15. However, a decisive break below 99.45 would invalidate the rebound outlook and open the door toward 98.70.

Resistance level: 100.25, 101.15

Support level; 99.45, 98.70

Gold, H4

Gold prices are trading higher after a successful breakout above the previous resistance level of 4,135.00. The breakout suggests short-term bullish momentum, with potential to test the next resistance at 4,235.00.

However, the MACD shows signs of diminishing bullish momentum, while the RSI at 71 signals overbought conditions — indicating the possibility of a technical correction toward 4,135.00 before the next leg higher.

Resistance level: 4235.00, 4365.00

Support level: 4135.00, 4045.00

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