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Gold has broken below its recent consolidation structure and is now trading near the $4,280 area, keeping the short-term technical bias under pressure. Price has struggled to reclaim the $4,375 resistance level, while the recent lower-high formation suggests that sellers remain active following the earlier corrective decline.
Momentum indicators also point to a cautious backdrop. RSI is holding below the 50 level, indicating that buying momentum remains limited, while MACD is in negative territory with the histogram slightly bearish. Together, these signals suggest that upside momentum has yet to recover convincingly.
Should selling pressure persist, gold could retest the key support around $4,220, with a break below this level potentially opening the way toward $4,100. Conversely, a sustained recovery above $4,375 would weaken the current bearish structure and bring $4,520 into focus.
Resistance Levels: 4320.00, 4520.00
Support Levels: 4220.00, 4100.00
USDJPY, H4:
USDJPY is trading around 158.45 maintaining a short-term bullish recovery after rebounding from the 153.00–155.60 support area. Price has broken back above the 158.05 level and is now testing the 158.30–159.00 supply zone, while the broader structure shows a series of higher lows from the September bottom. A sustained break above 159.00 could open the way toward 160.60, followed by 162.70. On the downside, 158.05 is the first key support, while a break below it could expose the 155.60 area.
Momentum remains relatively constructive, with RSI at 62, indicating that buying pressure is still present without reaching overbought territory. However, RSI has eased from recent highs, suggesting some moderation in momentum. Meanwhile, MACD remains above zero, but the MACD line is slightly below the signal line and the histogram has turned marginally negative, pointing to a loss of short-term upside momentum. From here, USDJPY may consolidate around the 158.05–159.00 region; a decisive breakout above the supply zone would strengthen the bullish outlook, while rejection and a move below 158.05 could trigger a deeper pullback toward 155.60.
Resistance Levels: 159.00, 160.60
Support Levels: 156.45, 155.60
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