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Showing results for: "FOMC"

Geopolitical Flashpoints and FOMC Anxiety Rattle Global Markets

Market Summary Markets were cautious on Tuesday as investors weighed geopolitical tensions and central bank uncertainties. The U.S. dollar weakened ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC decision, with expectations for no rate change that were already priced-in in the market. However, concerns over renewed friction between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell …

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Eyes on Today’s FOMC Rate Decision

Market Summary The market’s attention is fully locked on today’s FOMC rate decision, with expectations firmly leaning toward the Fed keeping rates unchanged. However, traders are more focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-decision remarks for any hints on future policy direction. The dollar remains fragile, hovering near its recent lows as …

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Eyes on Today’s FOMC Minutes

Market Summary The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a larger rate cut by 50 bps, weighing heavily on the Kiwi dollar. The NZD/USD pair tumbled to a weekly low, under pressure from the central bank’s dovish stance, as policymakers signaled further rate cuts ahead to support the country’s struggling economy. …

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All Eye on Today’s FOMC Interest Rate Decisio

Market Summary Ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision today, the U.S. dollar maintained its recent high levels, while Wall Street faced downside risk. This market sentiment was largely driven by the U.S. retail sales data, which came in higher-than-expected and reinforced hawkish expectations for the Fed’s upcoming decision. Among the major …

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Dovish FOMC Meeting Minutes Hammers Dollar

Market Summary The dollar continued to face downside pressure following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Concerns were raised by FOMC members over potential labour market deterioration, with the majority of the members signalling that a September rate cut might be appropriate. This dovish narrative provided buoyancy to the equity market, …

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Eye on Today’s FOMC Meeting Minutes

Market Summary Wall Street took a pause in the last session, with all three major indexes remaining relatively flat as investors awaited the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Should the minutes align with market expectations and present a dovish tone, it could put further downward pressure on the dollar while potentially fueling …

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Dollar Poise Ahead of FOMC Meeting Minutes

Market Summary The financial market remained relatively quiet in the last session ahead of crucial central bank interest rate decisions, including those from the Fed and BoJ, which are due tomorrow. The dollar index (DXY) managed to break above its near-term resistance level at 104.50, which has been a barrier for the …

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Dollar Calm ahead of FOMC Minutes

Market Summary The dollar index steadied in the last session, trading above the $105 mark, ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Market expectations are leaning towards a more hawkish stance from the U.S. central bank due to a tight labour market. Analysts predict that the Fed is likely to implement …

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Dollar Steadies As The Market Await For FOMC Minutes

Market Summary The dollar index is poised at its recent high level, while U.S. equity markets eked out marginal gains as the market awaits Wednesday’s crucial CPI reading and the FOMC meeting minutes. Although the market widely believes that the Fed will keep the rate on hold, there is less certainty about …

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Dollar Surge on Hawkish FOMC Meeting Minutes

Market Summary The U.S. dollar has strengthened, with the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing to its highest level this week, fueled by hawkish FOMC meeting minutes released in the last session. The minutes revealed that some members doubted whether the current interest rate level is sufficient to bring inflation down to the 2% …

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Aussie Dollar Tumbles Following Hawkish FOMC

Fundamental Analysis * Hawk Shock: The Australian dollar has dropped against the US dollar following the release of hawkish minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The minutes indicated that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates if inflation necessitates such action. The minutes stated that various participants mentioned willingness to …

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Dollar Dilemma: FOMC Caution

Market Summary The US Dollar remained subdued as investors awaited the FOMC meeting minutes, with Federal Reserve officials emphasising the need for more evidence of easing inflation before considering rate cuts. This cautious stance has kept the dollar in check, influencing other markets as well. Gold prices stayed flat but slightly retreated …

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Fed Faces Inflation Heat: What’s Next for FOMC?

Tuesday, 30th April 2024, 03:30 – Australia Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar) In February, retail sales in Australia saw a slight increase, fueled by heightened spending on clothing and dining out, likely spurred by popular Taylor Swift concerts drawing crowds. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australia increased by 0.3 percent compared …

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Aussie Dollar Soars After Strong Jobs Data, Post-FOMC

Fundamental Analysis * Flying Aussie: The AUD/USD pair rise for the second consecutive day, receiving an extra boost after the optimistic Australian jobs report. Notably, the Australian Employment Change exceeded even the most optimistic predictions, further supported by the weakening US Dollar following the FOMC meeting. In February, Australia’s unemployment rate decreased …

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Gold Price Rebounds Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

Market Summary In the lead-up to pivotal interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), global financial markets are exhibiting signs of stability. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is maintaining its position above the 103.50 threshold, bolstered by last week’s Producer Price Index (PPI) …

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Dollar Eases Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Minutes

As the FOMC January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. Conversely, gold prices are surging due …

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Dollar Retreats On Profit-Taking, Eyes On FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar undergoes a notable retreat driven by profit-taking activities following recent gains, fueled by optimistic economic data The US Dollar undergoes a notable retreat driven by profit-taking activities following recent gains, fueled by optimistic economic data suggesting a delay in Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Despite the pullback, the dollar’s overall …

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CPI Strength Hinders Fed Rate Cut; Focus On FOMC minutes.

Wednesday, 21 Feb, 21:00 – FOMC Meeting Minutes In January, the Federal Reserve declared a steady policy rate of 5.25% – 5.5%, acknowledging the uncertain trajectory toward a rate cut in 2024. While many investors are hopeful for a shift from rate hikes to cuts by the Fed in the upcoming months, …

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Dollar Drops On Dovish FOMC Minutes

Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. In a much-anticipated earnings release, Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. This unexpected downturn interrupted the recent winning streak in U.S. equity markets, dampening …

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Dollar Softens On FOMC’s Dovish Stance

The dollar remains subdued due to the Fed’s balanced assessment of inflation and recession risks. The dollar struggles below the $106 mark as the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish stance, signalling a potential end to its rate-hiking cycle. Despite a stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), the dollar remains subdued due to …

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Dollar Softens Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Minutes

US Dollar tumbled ahead of several crucial market events, including CPI, PPI as well as FOMC Meeting Minutes Investors navigated a cautious market terrain as more Federal Reserve officials echoed dovish sentiments, indicating the necessity of maintaining rates at a restrictive level to curb inflation. Anticipation mounts ahead of the September FOMC …

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Market Mutes Ahead Of FOMC Statement

Awaiting the FOMC interest rate decision, the dollar index halts, reflecting market expectations of today’s announcement may bring a temporary pause. In the lead-up to today’s eagerly awaited FOMC interest rate decision, market volatility has remained relatively subdued. The dollar index maintains its position above the $105 mark, reflecting market expectations of …

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Gold Prices Continue To Surge Ahead Of The FOMC Statement

Gold prices have been increasing since last Friday, driven by widespread market expectations that the Fed will maintain its interest rates in September. The Dollar Index has remained relatively stable but at a robust level above the $105 threshold. This steadiness aligns with the prevailing sentiment in the equity markets as investors …

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Dollar Dips As Investors Take Profits Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalized on upbeat US economic data where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalised on upbeat US economic data before the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming policy meeting, where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. Simultaneously, gold rebounded …

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Hawkish FOMC Meeting Minutes Boost Dollar 

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting revealed that inflation may remain elevated. The dollar stands fortified after the release.  The Chinese stock markets, including the Hang Seng index, are grappling with downward pressure due to investor pessimism surrounding the Chinese economy. Adding to these concerns, the release of the Federal Open …

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FOMC Minutes Show Fight Against Inflation Will Continue, Soft Landing Possible

An increasingly risk-off market has been proved right as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has released the minutes of its 31 Jan – 1 Feb meeting, signalling the Fed’s resolve to continue the fight against inflation. This includes further hikes, although almost all members of the FOMC supported a slowing …

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FOMC Minutes:  No Light at the End of The Tunnel for Fed

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet.   Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the …

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FOMC Minutes Point to Less Hawks Decisions

On Wednesday, 24 November (GMT+2), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its 1-2 November meeting. Reflecting statements multiple officials have made over the last several weeks, the meeting summary concluded that a substantial majority of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) agreed it would probably moderate the pace of …

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FOMC Minutes Reveals Fed’s Inflation Fears

On Wednesday, 17 August (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 26-27 July meeting. In it, the Fed has finally decided to take a step back to assess the effects of aggressive monetary tightening. For the past few rate hikes, which saw increases as high as 75 …

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Dollar Steadies After Fed Pause; Powell Flags Trade Uncertainty

Key Takeaways: *Fed holds rates unchanged at 4.25% – 4.50%, citing rising uncertainty from tariffs and trade policy. *Powell’s cautious tone underscores a data-dependent path forward, dampening market volatility. *Dollar Index rebounds, but technical indicators warn of potential correction ahead. Fed Keeps Rates on Hold, Highlights Uncertainty The overall market sentiment during …

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Wall Street Closes Lower on 25% U.S. Auto Tariff

Market Summary President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff on auto imports, a move aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing jobs but one that has rattled financial markets, raising fears of a broader trade war. The aggressive policy shift has fueled concerns over rising inflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve …

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Trump Set to Proceed Reciprocal Tariff 

Market Summary Donald Trump has once again put his aggressive tariff policy at the center of financial market attention, announcing that the proposed reciprocal tariffs and additional sector-specific levies on all U.S. trade partners will take effect on April 2. The move has unsettled markets, fueling fears of a global trade war. …

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Powell Dovish Remark Keeps Dollar Subdue 

Market Summary The Federal Reserve’s rate decision was announced yesterday, aligning with market expectations as the central bank opted to keep rates unchanged. However, the real market mover came during Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference following the announcement. Powell highlighted concerns over inflationary pressures stemming from the aggressive trade policies imposed …

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USD/JPY Weakens as Fed and BoJ Maintain Cautious Policy Stance

Fundamental Analysis * The Japanese yen remained steady after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) held interest rates unchanged at 0.50%, signaling a wait-and-see approach amid concerns over the potential impact of US tariffs announced by President Donald Trump. The BOJ maintained an optimistic outlook, forecasting a moderate economic recovery driven by domestic …

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Gold Top $3000 Mark as Geopolitical Tension Arise

Market Summary The financial markets are on edge as investors await tomorrow’s highly anticipated FOMC monetary policy decision, a pivotal event that could shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. The prevailing expectation is that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more dovish stance, aiming to shield the U.S. economy from slipping …

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Gold Surges to New High Amid Heightened Uncertainty

Market Summary Wall Street staged a technical rebound last Friday, but investor sentiment remains fragile amid uncertainty surrounding Trump’s aggressive trade policies. Market participants are now turning their attention to Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate decision, seeking guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on the central bank’s policy outlook and its potential impact …

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Euro Gain on Merz Win 

Market Summary The U.S. dollar extended its decline, hitting a new 2025 low, as markets digested weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data last week despite the Fed’s hawkish tone in the latest FOMC meeting minutes. The fading confidence in the U.S. economy weighed not only on the greenback but also on Wall Street, which …

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Inflation Jitters? All Eyes on PCE Next Week!

Tuesday, 25 February 2025, 17:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Feb) The latest U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) fell to 104.1 in January 2025, down from a revised 109.5 in December 2024. This decline was driven by increased concerns about labor market conditions, persistent inflationary pressures, and growing economic uncertainty. Consumers …

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Japanese Yen Strengthens Amid Surging JGB Yield

Market Summary The market’s focus remained on the FOMC meeting minutes, seeking clues on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. As expected, the Fed maintained a cautious stance, balancing a resilient U.S. economy with uncertainties surrounding the Trump administration’s potential inflationary policies. Initially, the dollar strengthened post-release, but confidence in the greenback …

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USD/JPY Plunged As Japan Inflation Mount

Fundamental Analysis * Inflation Heat: The Japanese yen continues to strengthen against the U.S. dollar as inflation in Japan rises alongside a series of positive economic data. Recently, the Japanese Cabinet Office reported that the economy expanded at a solid pace of 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2024, surpassing the 0.4% …

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USD/CHF Rose As Hawkish Fed Lift Dollar

Fundamental Analysis *Hawk Watch: The USD/CHF extends its recovery as hawkish Fed expectations bolster the U.S. dollar. Recent data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose at their fastest pace in nearly 18 months in January, reinforcing the Fed’s stance that rate cuts are not imminent despite economic uncertainties. Fed officials remain cautious, …

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Euro Tussles As Investor Assess Trump Tariff On Eurozone

Fundamental Analysis *Tariff Threat: The euro has retreated from its recent high against the dollar as investors remain cautious, assessing the potential impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on the Eurozone. On Friday, Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on imported cars around April 2, with reciprocal tariffs expected in …

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USD/CAD Plunges After Dismal U.S Data

Fundamental Analysis *Data Dud: The Canadian dollar strengthened against the U.S. dollar following the release of U.S. retail sales data for January. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales—a key indicator of consumer spending—fell by 0.9%, a sharper decline than the anticipated 0.1%. In contrast, December’s figure was revised upward to …

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Major Central Banks’ Rate Decision: How Will Markets React?

Tuesday, 18 February 2025, 05:30 – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Feb) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its interest rate at a 12-year high of 4.35% for the ninth consecutive meeting in December. However, the central bank softened its hawkish stance, hinting at a potential dovish shift. With inflation easing, the …

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Dollar Holds Firm as Markets Await Fed Decision

Market Summary The U.S. dollar remained firm ahead of key central bank decisions, with USD/CAD edging higher as traders anticipated a rate cut from the Bank of Canada. Meanwhile, market sentiment stayed cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, with investors closely watching for any signals on future rate changes. Gold …

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China’s DeepSeek Triggers Nasdaq Plummet

Market Summary The Nasdaq experienced a significant sell-off in the last session, plunging over 600 points (3%) amid concerns about competition from China’s DeepSeek. This open-source AI model, positioned as a cost-efficient alternative to U.S.-developed models like OpenAI’s ChatGPT, has fueled market apprehensions about its potential disruption to the tech sector. Adding …

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Gold Rallies to Zenith Amid Uncertainty

Market Summary This week, the financial market remains focused on the U.S. dollar, which has been heavily influenced by Donald Trump’s statements and proposed tariff policies. The president-elect recently threatened Columbia with high tariffs over immigration issues, adding support to the dollar’s strength. Meanwhile, attention is on Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate decision, …

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All Eye on NFP Today

Market Summary The dollar index remains elevated in recent highs as markets await the highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data today. This key job report will provide insight into the Fed’s hawkish stance and its impact on dollar strength. With the NFP expected at 164k, a higher-than-anticipated reading could drive the …

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Dollar Reign Supreme, US Jobs Eyed Next Week!

Tuesday, 7 January 2025, 17:00 – US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Dec) The U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for November registered at 52.1, falling short of the market’s expectation of 55.5. While the reading indicates continued growth in the U.S. services sector, it reflects a slower pace than October’s figure of 56.0. This slowdown …

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Dollar Jumps on Fed’s Hawkish Remark

Market Summary The FOMC interest rate decision yesterday triggered significant market volatility, with all eyes on the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance. Jerome Powell’s remarks signaling fewer rate cuts in 2025 and the expectation that the Fed funds rate will remain near the 4% level to curb inflation drove the U.S. dollar higher. …

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Pound Sterling Dips Following Hot U.S PPI Data

Fundamental Analysis * Persistent Inflation: The pound sterling which traded against the dollar have reversed its gains and turned negative following the release of U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. The report revealed that headline PPI rose to 3%, exceeding both estimates and the previous figure of 2.6%. Meanwhile, core PPI, which …

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Dollar and Wall Street Bullish on Trump Victory

Market Summary The market has responded decisively to the U.S. presidential election results from November 5, which confirmed Donald Trump’s re-election, fueling what’s now dubbed the “Trump trade.” The dollar index remains strong, hovering above the 105.00 level, marking its highest point since July. Wall Street also rallied sharply in the previous …

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Investment Rationale: Impact of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election on Forex and Gold

Executive Summary The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is a critical event with anticipated effects on forex and commodities markets, particularly for the U.S. dollar and gold. Each candidate’s economic policy direction—Donald Trump’s nationalistic trade stance and Kamala Harris’s focus on infrastructure and social programs—presents unique implications for these asset classes. As volatility …

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Wall Street Bullish on Tech Rally

Market Summary The Chinese equity market faced strong selling pressure in the last session due to disappointing economic data, while Wall Street reached another all-time high, driven by a fresh tech rally led by companies like Apple Inc, Amazon, and Netflix. However, traders should closely monitor today’s CPI reading, as a higher-than-expected …

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Gold Prices Plunge on Fed’s Hawkish Prospect

Market Summary Chinese equities, including the China A50 and Hang Seng Index (HSI), extended their losses following the resumption of trading after the National Day holiday. Poor holiday economic data, combined with growing skepticism around stimulus measures, sparked a sell-off in the market, with the HSI plunging nearly 10% since its last …

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Aussie Slips Following RBA Meeting Minutes, Strong Dollar

Fundamental Analysis * Cautious Approach: The Australian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar as markets digest the RBA’s September meeting minutes, which reveal a cautious stance. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s board discussed potential future interest rate cuts and hikes but concluded that the current cash rate remains the best …

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Middle East Fuel Safe-Haven, Would Data Further Boost?

Wednesday, 9 October 2024, 03:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision (Q2) In August, The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 5.25%, marking the first reduction in over four years. This decision is primarily driven by a cooling in price pressures and …

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Wall Street Rallies on Dovish Fed’s Policy

Market Summary Wall Street surged with strong bullish momentum after digesting the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday. All three major U.S. equity indexes saw significant gains, with the Nasdaq leading the charge, closing up by more than 2.5%. This tech-heavy index, sensitive to interest rate changes, is expected to catch up …

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USD/CAD Soars Post Fed Rate Decision

Fundamental Analysis * First Cut: USD/CAD have surged during the Asian session following the Fed’s interest rate decision, which triggered significant market volatility. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced the federal funds rate to a range of 4.75% to 5%, marking the Fed’s first rate cut in over four years. In …

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All Eyes on Fed’s Policy Today

Market Summary The financial spotlight today is on the FOMC interest rate decision and Jerome Powell’s speech, both highly anticipated by global markets. The futures and bond markets are positioning for a larger-than-usual rate cut, exceeding the standard 25 bps. As speculation of this larger cut grows, the U.S. dollar has continued …

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Dollar Ease While Gold Records All-time High

* The dollar eases to a weekly low while Wall Street gains ahead of Wednesday’s Fed interest rate decision.  * Gold surged to an all-time high on the weakening dollar’s strength.  * Oil prices ease in strength, hindered by lacklustre Chinese economic indicators. Market Summary U.S. Dollar (USD) has been under pressure …

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Gold Records New All-time High

Market Summary Contrary to the U.S. inflation data (CPI) released on Wednesday, which showed price increases, the U.S. job data from yesterday suggested that the labour market is softening, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The probability of a 50 bps rate cut rose sharply from 14% to …

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Dollar Remain Strong on Upbeat CPI

Market Summary The U.S. CPI readings released last night exceeded market expectations, dispelling concerns about an economic contraction in the U.S. In response, Wall Street rallied, with the Nasdaq leading the gains, climbing over 350 points in the last session. In the bond market, swap traders are now fully pricing in a …

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All Eyes on U.S. CPI Today

Market Summary Ahead of the highly anticipated U.S. CPI data release today, which the market is closely watching for clues on the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy moves, Wall Street remained largely unchanged in the previous session. The dollar index (DXY) faced rejection below the $102 mark, signalling that expectations of a Fed …

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U.S. Dollar Steady Ahead of CPI

Market Summary The U.S. dollar remained stable in the last session as traders await Wednesday’s key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision next week. Wall Street saw a slight recovery from its recent bearish trend, with the Dow Jones surging nearly 500 …

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USD/CAD Fell After U.S PMI data

Fundamental Analysis * PMI Drag: The USD/CAD pair was traded in a softer tone after the release of PMI data from S&P Global. According to data, the US Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell slightly to 54.1 in August’s flash estimate. While the figure came in higher than expected of 53.5, it …

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Dollar Pressures by Dovish Fed Remark

Market Summary The Dollar Index (DXY) remains under pressure as dovish comments from multiple Federal Reserve officials suggest the possibility of a rate cut in the near future. Traders are now eagerly awaiting Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes for further insight into the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy moves. Meanwhile, Wall Street rallied last …

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Gold Price Tops $2500 For the First Time

Market Summary Gold prices soared above the $2,500 mark for the first time, driven by expectations of potential interest rate cuts, which have weakened the dollar to its recent low levels. Market participants are now focused on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes for insights into the Fed’s next monetary policy moves. Additionally, Federal …

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Quiet Before the Storm?Markets Poised for a Relaxed Week

Tuesday, 20 August 2024, 14:30 – Canada CPI (YoY) (Jul) For June 2024, Canada’s CPI rose by 2.7% year-over-year, down from 2.9% previously. This decrease in core inflation is driven by a combination of slower economic growth and moderated wage growth, even with a strong labor market. With the current monetary policy …

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Sterling Ease On BoE Rate Cut

Market Summary The spotlight was on the Bank of England (BoE) yesterday as the market awaited its interest rate decision. The BoE’s decision to cut rates by 25 basis points came in line with market consensus, leading to a decline in the Pound Sterling, which trailed to a one-month low against the …

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Wall Street Rallies On Powell’s Dovish Tone

Market Summary As we step into the earnings report season, the U.S. equity market rallied, with the Dow Jones climbing to its highest point in the last session, gaining over 200 points. The aftermath of Donald Trump’s shooting incident has influenced the equity market, compounded by a dovish statement from Jerome Powell …

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Powell’s Dovish Tone Hammers Dollar

Market Summary Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that recent U.S. economic data suggest inflation is returning to a downward trajectory. However, he emphasised the need for more evidence before the Fed considers shifting its current monetary policy. Consequently, the dollar eased from its recent highs, while U.S. equity markets, buoyed by …

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Dollar Gains on Hawkish Fed Outlook

Market Summary After digesting Jerome Powell’s comments following the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday, the dollar erased all its losses from the soft CPI reading, continuing its upward trajectory. The hawkish outlook from the Fed stimulated dollar strength against its peers, while the bullish momentum in equity markets was hindered by …

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Soft CPI Hammers Dollar 

Market Summary The financial markets experienced significant fluctuations in the last session, driven by two major economic events. Firstly, the U.S. CPI came in lower than market consensus, indicating easing inflation and boosting risk appetite. However, later in the session, the FOMC announced that there will be only one interest rate cut …

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Will Fed Push Back On Rate Cut Next Week?

Wednesday, 12 June 2024, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (May) In April, U.S. consumer prices saw a smaller-than-expected increase, registering at 0.3% compared to the previous 0.4%. This suggests that inflation started to decrease once more at the beginning of the second quarter. As the economy appears to be slowing down and …

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Pound Remain Steady Despite Weak Data

Fundamental Analysis * Unyielding Pound: The pound sterling holds its ground against the dollar despite the release of weak UK data, as a drop in the dollar mitigates the impact of the negative figures. Earlier, the currency pair was under considerable pressure following a sharp decline in UK Retail Sales for April. …

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Dollar Gain on Hawkish Fed Prospect

Market Summary Yesterday’s US data release surprised markets, with upbeat PMI readings exceeding expectations. The S&P Composite PMI reached a two-year high, while Initial Jobless Claims fell short of forecasts. This robust economic performance dampened hopes for a Fed rate cut this year, leading to a sharp selloff across both equities and …

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Dollar Hammers By Dovish Powell Statement

Market Summary The financial markets were roiled by Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement. Powell’s dovish stance prompted a sharp decline in the strength of the U.S. dollar, while gold prices rebounded on the prospect of a softer dollar. Despite ongoing signs of inflationary pressures in the U.S, …

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Dollar Strengthens On Strong U.S. Wage Data

Market Summary The U.S. dollar surged and equities stumbled following the release of the U.S. employment cost index, which revealed a robust 1.2% increase, the sharpest uptick in a year. This data underscores the tightness of the U.S. job market and raises concerns about potential inflationary pressures. Investors are eagerly anticipating the …

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Japanese Yen Fluctuation Eases after Rumour Clear

Market Summary The Japanese Yen experienced a significant fluctuation, moving more than 500 pips against the U.S. dollar in the last trading session. This volatility was driven by market speculation regarding potential intervention by Japanese authorities after the Yen surpassed the 160 mark against the dollar. Meanwhile, market participants are also focusing …

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Loonie Weakens Ahead Of GDP, Oil Price Weigh.

Fundamental Analysis * Loonie Lull: The Canadian dollar, which had been trading against both the U.S. dollar and other currencies, experienced a drop. This was due to a slight recovery in the U.S. dollar and a decrease in oil prices, both contributing to the currency’s decline. On U.S front, Federal Reserve officials, …

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Gold Falls As US Dollar Rises On Strong Core PCE Inflation.

Fundamental Analysis * Golden Dilemma: The price of the yellow metal has fallen from its high as US Dollar’s recovery driven by elevated US core PCE inflation data, putting pressure on the value of gold. The annual underlying inflation data rose at a higher pace of 2.7% from the estimates of 2.6% …

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Rate Rumble: RBNZ, BoC, And ECB Take Centre Stage

Wednesday, 10th April 2024, 04:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision The New Zealand central bank maintain its benchmark interest rate at 5.50% as expected during its previous meeting. While there was no surprise of the central bank paused rates, the less hawkish tone was a surprise as 23% of the market surveyed …

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BoJ Dovish Rate Hike Weaken Japanese Yen

Market Summary The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has concluded its era of negative interest rates with its first rate hike since 2007, simultaneously ending its yield curve control (YCC) policy. Despite this adjustment, the Japanese central bank will persist in purchasing the country’s government bonds. This move has been characterised by the …

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All Eye On BoJ Interest Rate Decision

Market Summary The financial markets are bracing for a flurry of events this week, with central banks including the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Bank of England (BoE) all set to announce their monetary policy decisions. All eyes are particularly focused on the BoJ, where there is …

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All Eyes On Japan’s CPI

The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. Conversely, the dollar index has maintained a subdued …

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Raving Sentiment In The U.S. Stock Markets

The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report. The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report, which signals a positive outlook for …

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Fed’s Tightening Policy Remain, Meeting Minutes Shows

The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. As anticipated, board members expressed concerns about the potential risks of cutting rates too …

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China Cuts Mortgage Rate To Revive Property Market

China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. However, the equity markets, including Hang Seng, have …

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Dollar Poise Ahead Of Interest Rate Decision

The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision, along with the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes scheduled …

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U.S. PCE Pressures Dollar To Trade Lower

The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …

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Dollar Gains As The U.S. Treasury Plunges

The global bond market experienced selling pressure as traders scaled back expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. The global bond market experienced selling pressure as traders scaled back expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. The U.S. Treasury saw …

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Dollar Surges On Exceptional Jobs Data

The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. This unexpected …

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Risk-on Sentiment Sparks Equity Market

Nasdaq ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by anticipation surrounding Nvidia’s upcoming report. US dollar has slid to its lowest point since September Recent market dynamics have seen a surge in risk-on sentiment, with global equities rallying fervently. The Nasdaq has ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by heightened anticipation …

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Equity Market Bolstered By Fed Rate Peak Speculation

Recent weak U.S. economic data, hinting at slowed growth and contained inflation, suggests the Federal Reserve might be near the end of its tightening cycle. Recent downbeat economic data from the U.S., which indicates a moderation in economic performance and contained inflation, has led the market to believe that the Federal Reserve …

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Escalating Middle East Conflict Strengthens Gold Prices

President Biden in Israel, leading global efforts to de-escalate Middle East conflict, causing surges in gold and oil due to regional tensions. U.S. President Joe Biden, alongside UK Prime Minister Sunak, stepped foot in Israel, leading international efforts to de-escalate the Middle East conflict. The heightened regional tensions propelled commodity prices, with …

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Dollar Softens On Fed’s Dovish Tone

The dollar index lost momentum following a dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials.  In a surprising turn, the dollar index lost its momentum following a markedly dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials, igniting widespread speculation that the central bank might maintain interest rates through 2023’s end. This sentiment shift occurred amidst rising …

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U.S Equity Market Hit By Fed’s Hawkish Stance

The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. Investors grappled with the implications of the Fed’s …

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Fed’s Rate Pause And Dollar Fluctuating

After the FOMC statement was unveiled yesterday, the dollar index held its ground firmly above the pivotal $105 level, putting pressure on gold prices. In the aftermath of the FOMC statement unveiled yesterday, financial markets fluctuated as investors dissected the nuanced signals emanating from the Fed’s leadership regarding its policy outlook. The …

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Chinese Ailing Economy Drags Kiwi Lower

The New Zealand dollar has declined and cannot recover due to China’s ongoing struggles in stimulating its economy. The Chinese stock market remains in a downward trend, primarily influenced by challenges within the property sector and limited Chinese economic stimulus efforts. The recent bullish oil prices have also hindered the much-worried Chinese …

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Global Equity Markets Tumble as Recession Looms

Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, but global government bond yields increased, reaching a level not seen in 15 years. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the …

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China Unexpected Rate Cut To Boost Economy

The surprise interest rate cut by the People’s Bank of China has sparked apprehensions within the market.  China has taken an unexpected decision to reduce its interest rate as a measure to invigorate its persistently subdued economy. The action, carried out by the People’s Bank of China, has sparked apprehensions within the …

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Dollar Weakens After Fed Delivers Small Size Rate Hike

After the announcement, gold and oil prices climbed as the U.S. dollar weakened, making them more attractive. The Federal Reserve delivered as anticipated, implementing a 25 bps rate hike that propelled the interest rate to its highest level in 22 years. With the benchmark rate now residing within the range of 5.25% …

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Market Stays Calm Ahead Of Fed’s Rate Announcement

Investors await the Fed’s interest rate decision, to be released today at 21:00 (GMT+3). If the rate is raised from 5.25% to 5.5%, it will mark the highest level in 22 years. Investors’ unwavering attention is fixed on the Fed’s interest rate decision, eagerly awaiting its release later today. With market speculations …

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BoJ Monetary Policy Remains Dovish

Japanese yen weakens as officials state no immediate plan to modify ultra-loose monetary policy. This week, major central bank decisions will be in focus, including the Fed’s rate announcement on Wednesday and the ECB’s on the following day. Investors will closely watch the CB Consumer Confidence released on Tuesday for insights into …

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Upbeat Job Data Encourages Dollar Surge

U.S. dollar surged more than 0.5% triggered by optimistic job data in the U.S. Asian equity markets faced declines, influenced by the U.S. equity market’s disappointing earnings results. Last night, Nasdaq experienced a substantial drop of over 2%, marking its most significant single-day decline since March. Conversely, the U.S. dollar displayed strength, …

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Pound Sterling Hammers By Softer Inflation Data

Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1% following the release of CPI data. Last night, the dollar index surpassed $100 following the release of CPI data for both the UK and Eurozone; as the Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1%, while the euro also showed a slight decline. The …

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Strong Earnings Boost Equities, Gold Surges On Downbeat Data

Strong quarter results from US banks spark optimism in US equity market. Strong quarterly results from Wall Street banks, Microsoft, and other major corporations fueled the US equity market’s upward momentum, while lacklustre economic data led to a dip in US treasury yields, signalling expectations of a more cautious stance by the …

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Fed June Minutes Reveal Hawkish Stance

FOMC meeting minutes spark demand on the US Dollar Last night’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes revealed a divergence of opinions among Fed officials, with the majority committed to further rate hikes in their ongoing battle against persistent inflation. The Fed is expected to continue its rate hike cycle this month, …

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RBA Holding The Interest Rate Unchanged

Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …

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Aussie Dollar Gains Ahead Of RBA Rate Decision

The disappointed PMI reading indicates a lack of optimism in the manufacturing sector Investors await the RBA’s interest rate decision, expecting a 25 bps rate hike. Despite Australia’s CPI dropping to 5.6%, it remains distant from the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings in both the United States and …

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U.S. PCE Shows Inflation Moderating

Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …

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High Inflation Across Multiple Countries: A Focus On Upcoming Significant Data

The Week Ahead: Week of 26 June (GMT+3) Tuesday, 27 June, 17:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) Ahead of the anticipated release of the U.S. CB Consumer Confidence data, the University of Michigan has published the Consumer Sentiment Index for the United States. It shows a monthly increase of 7.9% from …

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Hawkish Tone From The Fed After Rate Pause

While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …

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Higher Chance For Rate Pause With Softer CPI

Inflation came in lower-than-expected and versus the previous month, signalling a June pause on the Fed’s hiking cycle. The equity markets experienced gains, accompanied by a weakening of the dollar, following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) yesterday. The U.S. CPI decreased to 4% from the previous month’s 4.9%, …

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Markets Waiting For CPI To Gauge Fed’s Next Move

The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …

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Market Sideways Ahead Of U.S. CPI 

Dollar movement remains muted as investors await inflation data as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting The upcoming week is expected to be quite busy for investors, as significant events are anticipated to have a profound impact on the market. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, setting …

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Is The Fed Skipping The June Rate Hike?

Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …

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Dollar Surges On Robust Economic Data, Fueling Investor Confidence

The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …

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Credit Rating Agencies Threatens to Cut U.S. Rating

Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …

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Debt-Limit Talks Resume

After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …

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Fed Meeting Goes As Expected, Signals Potential Hike Pause

Traders are strongly advised to look out for Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls data, meanwhile, is estimated to be at 180K, lower than the previous month’s 236K In line with market expectations, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25%, or 25 basis points, bringing the so-called Fed fund rate up to between …

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Wall Street Rally Boosts Asian Equities

Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …

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Dollar Holds on to Gains After Hike Expectations Bounce

USD remains elevated even as the economy shows signs of weakening The U.S dollar saw a bounce on Monday after a sustained dip on the back of signs of easing inflation and the recent bank stress. Resilient retails sales, optimistic earnings in Wall Street, and hike-signalling from the Fed have caused the …

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Gold Surges Past 2010 as Inflation Shows Signs of Slowing

On Wednesday, 12 April, the U.S. CPI data was released, showing that March’s headline inflation in the U.S. slowed more than anticipated, with the year-on-year number showing a drop from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March; lower than the expected 5.2%. The monthly rate decreased to 0.1% from 0.4%, which was …

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Equities Market Edge Higher as Risk-On Sentiment Escalates

The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …

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Markets Muted While Celebrating Easter

The markets remained clueless after releasing mixed signals in the U.S. economic data last Friday. Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded …

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Nasdaq 100 Enters Bull Market as Fears Over Banking Crisis Ease

Has the banking crisis abated? Equity investors seem to think so, with the Nasdaq surging close to 2% on Wednesday as the markets assess a successful containment of the banking crisis caused by the failure of regional banks and one Credit Suisse. This puts the tech-heavy index technically in bull market territory, …

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Fed is not Pausing Rate Hike

Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …

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“Goldilocks” Markets Sees Diverging Signals After CPI Release

On Tuesday, February 14, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released, showing an increase of 0.5% in January and the highest in three months but in-line with expectations. The year-on-year increase, meanwhile, is 6.4%, up slightly from market forecasts of 6.2%. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and …

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Ahead of NFP, Fed Implements Lowest Rate Hike in 10 Months

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released its monetary policy decision for February 2023, raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 points at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, as widely expected by the markets. This brings the target range of 4.5% to 4.75%, making it the highest since October 2007. This …

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Scaled-Down 50bps Hike From Fed Belies Hawkish Outlook

On Wednesday, 14 December, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its last rate hike of the year – a 50-basis point increase to the Fed fund rate, well in line with the market’s expectations. This brings the Fed benchmark rate to 4.25% – 4.5%, the highest in 15 years. While a dovish step …

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Gold Struggles to Find Direction even as China Eases Covid Restrictions

China has announced that it will be lifting its strictest covid policies, including being forced to quarantine in state facilities and the need to test before entering most venues. The easing has been released in a series of new guidelines that include a ban on blocking fire exits, encouraging vaccinations among the …

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Will Dovish Signalling Underscore the Effects of the Upcoming NFP?

On Wednesday evening, November’s ADP Nonfarm Employment Change numbers were released, vastly underperforming expectations with an increase of 127,000 private payroll jobs, well below the estimate of 190,000 and the previous month’s 239,000.  The leisure and hospitality sector was the largest gainer, with an increase in 224,000 jobs. The most significant sector …

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Rate Hike Overshadows US ADP Nonfarm Employment Figures

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures were announced, revealing that employment in the US rose by 247,000, lower than the forecasted increase of 395,000 and the previous month’s increase of 479,000. Markets were largely unmoved by the ADP Employment figures as participants awaited the Fed’s interest rate …

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ADP Employment Data Far Exceeds Expectations

On January 5 (Wednesday), the United States announced the December ADP employment data. According to the ADP private payroll numbers for December, 807,000 jobs were added compared to estimates of a figure of 410,000 and the previous value of 534,000, the largest increase since May 2021. The minutes from the Fed’s December FOMC meeting on …

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The Basics of the Fundamentals

Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating an asset; it attempts to measure its intrinsic value by examining the underlying forces that could affect the asset. Fundamental Analysis includes; Geo Political factors – such as interest rates and other government policies Macroeconomic factors – such as the level of unemployment Company or …

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Interest Rates

Every time the chairman of the FOMC, Janet Yellen, gives a speech everybody is playing the guessing game trying to figure out what’s going to happen with the interest rates. Interest rate can be defined as; ‘The cost of borrowing money expressed as a % of loan value’ Understanding Interest rates is …

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