Market Summary Markets were cautious on Tuesday as investors weighed geopolitical tensions and central bank uncertainties. The U.S. dollar weakened ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC decision, with expectations for no rate change that were already priced-in in the market. However, concerns over renewed friction between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell …
Market Summary The market’s attention is fully locked on today’s FOMC rate decision, with expectations firmly leaning toward the Fed keeping rates unchanged. However, traders are more focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-decision remarks for any hints on future policy direction. The dollar remains fragile, hovering near its recent lows as …
Market Summary The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a larger rate cut by 50 bps, weighing heavily on the Kiwi dollar. The NZD/USD pair tumbled to a weekly low, under pressure from the central bank’s dovish stance, as policymakers signaled further rate cuts ahead to support the country’s struggling economy. …
Market Summary Ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision today, the U.S. dollar maintained its recent high levels, while Wall Street faced downside risk. This market sentiment was largely driven by the U.S. retail sales data, which came in higher-than-expected and reinforced hawkish expectations for the Fed’s upcoming decision. Among the major …
Market Summary The dollar continued to face downside pressure following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Concerns were raised by FOMC members over potential labour market deterioration, with the majority of the members signalling that a September rate cut might be appropriate. This dovish narrative provided buoyancy to the equity market, …
Market Summary Wall Street took a pause in the last session, with all three major indexes remaining relatively flat as investors awaited the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Should the minutes align with market expectations and present a dovish tone, it could put further downward pressure on the dollar while potentially fueling …
Market Summary The financial market remained relatively quiet in the last session ahead of crucial central bank interest rate decisions, including those from the Fed and BoJ, which are due tomorrow. The dollar index (DXY) managed to break above its near-term resistance level at 104.50, which has been a barrier for the …
Market Summary The dollar index steadied in the last session, trading above the $105 mark, ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Market expectations are leaning towards a more hawkish stance from the U.S. central bank due to a tight labour market. Analysts predict that the Fed is likely to implement …
Market Summary The dollar index is poised at its recent high level, while U.S. equity markets eked out marginal gains as the market awaits Wednesday’s crucial CPI reading and the FOMC meeting minutes. Although the market widely believes that the Fed will keep the rate on hold, there is less certainty about …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar has strengthened, with the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing to its highest level this week, fueled by hawkish FOMC meeting minutes released in the last session. The minutes revealed that some members doubted whether the current interest rate level is sufficient to bring inflation down to the 2% …
Fundamental Analysis * Hawk Shock: The Australian dollar has dropped against the US dollar following the release of hawkish minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The minutes indicated that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates if inflation necessitates such action. The minutes stated that various participants mentioned willingness to …
Market Summary The US Dollar remained subdued as investors awaited the FOMC meeting minutes, with Federal Reserve officials emphasising the need for more evidence of easing inflation before considering rate cuts. This cautious stance has kept the dollar in check, influencing other markets as well. Gold prices stayed flat but slightly retreated …
Tuesday, 30th April 2024, 03:30 – Australia Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar) In February, retail sales in Australia saw a slight increase, fueled by heightened spending on clothing and dining out, likely spurred by popular Taylor Swift concerts drawing crowds. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australia increased by 0.3 percent compared …
Fundamental Analysis * Flying Aussie: The AUD/USD pair rise for the second consecutive day, receiving an extra boost after the optimistic Australian jobs report. Notably, the Australian Employment Change exceeded even the most optimistic predictions, further supported by the weakening US Dollar following the FOMC meeting. In February, Australia’s unemployment rate decreased …
Market Summary In the lead-up to pivotal interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), global financial markets are exhibiting signs of stability. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is maintaining its position above the 103.50 threshold, bolstered by last week’s Producer Price Index (PPI) …
As the FOMC January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. Conversely, gold prices are surging due …
The US Dollar undergoes a notable retreat driven by profit-taking activities following recent gains, fueled by optimistic economic data The US Dollar undergoes a notable retreat driven by profit-taking activities following recent gains, fueled by optimistic economic data suggesting a delay in Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Despite the pullback, the dollar’s overall …
Wednesday, 21 Feb, 21:00 – FOMC Meeting Minutes In January, the Federal Reserve declared a steady policy rate of 5.25% – 5.5%, acknowledging the uncertain trajectory toward a rate cut in 2024. While many investors are hopeful for a shift from rate hikes to cuts by the Fed in the upcoming months, …
Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. In a much-anticipated earnings release, Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. This unexpected downturn interrupted the recent winning streak in U.S. equity markets, dampening …
The dollar remains subdued due to the Fed’s balanced assessment of inflation and recession risks. The dollar struggles below the $106 mark as the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish stance, signalling a potential end to its rate-hiking cycle. Despite a stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), the dollar remains subdued due to …
US Dollar tumbled ahead of several crucial market events, including CPI, PPI as well as FOMC Meeting Minutes Investors navigated a cautious market terrain as more Federal Reserve officials echoed dovish sentiments, indicating the necessity of maintaining rates at a restrictive level to curb inflation. Anticipation mounts ahead of the September FOMC …
Awaiting the FOMC interest rate decision, the dollar index halts, reflecting market expectations of today’s announcement may bring a temporary pause. In the lead-up to today’s eagerly awaited FOMC interest rate decision, market volatility has remained relatively subdued. The dollar index maintains its position above the $105 mark, reflecting market expectations of …
Gold prices have been increasing since last Friday, driven by widespread market expectations that the Fed will maintain its interest rates in September. The Dollar Index has remained relatively stable but at a robust level above the $105 threshold. This steadiness aligns with the prevailing sentiment in the equity markets as investors …
The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalized on upbeat US economic data where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalised on upbeat US economic data before the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming policy meeting, where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. Simultaneously, gold rebounded …
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting revealed that inflation may remain elevated. The dollar stands fortified after the release. The Chinese stock markets, including the Hang Seng index, are grappling with downward pressure due to investor pessimism surrounding the Chinese economy. Adding to these concerns, the release of the Federal Open …
An increasingly risk-off market has been proved right as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has released the minutes of its 31 Jan – 1 Feb meeting, signalling the Fed’s resolve to continue the fight against inflation. This includes further hikes, although almost all members of the FOMC supported a slowing …
On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet. Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the …
On Wednesday, 24 November (GMT+2), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its 1-2 November meeting. Reflecting statements multiple officials have made over the last several weeks, the meeting summary concluded that a substantial majority of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) agreed it would probably moderate the pace of …
On Wednesday, 17 August (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 26-27 July meeting. In it, the Fed has finally decided to take a step back to assess the effects of aggressive monetary tightening. For the past few rate hikes, which saw increases as high as 75 …
Key Takeaways: *Fed holds rates unchanged at 4.25% – 4.50%, citing rising uncertainty from tariffs and trade policy. *Powell’s cautious tone underscores a data-dependent path forward, dampening market volatility. *Dollar Index rebounds, but technical indicators warn of potential correction ahead. Fed Keeps Rates on Hold, Highlights Uncertainty The overall market sentiment during …
Market Summary President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff on auto imports, a move aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing jobs but one that has rattled financial markets, raising fears of a broader trade war. The aggressive policy shift has fueled concerns over rising inflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve …
Market Summary Donald Trump has once again put his aggressive tariff policy at the center of financial market attention, announcing that the proposed reciprocal tariffs and additional sector-specific levies on all U.S. trade partners will take effect on April 2. The move has unsettled markets, fueling fears of a global trade war. …
Market Summary The Federal Reserve’s rate decision was announced yesterday, aligning with market expectations as the central bank opted to keep rates unchanged. However, the real market mover came during Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference following the announcement. Powell highlighted concerns over inflationary pressures stemming from the aggressive trade policies imposed …
Fundamental Analysis * The Japanese yen remained steady after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) held interest rates unchanged at 0.50%, signaling a wait-and-see approach amid concerns over the potential impact of US tariffs announced by President Donald Trump. The BOJ maintained an optimistic outlook, forecasting a moderate economic recovery driven by domestic …
Market Summary The financial markets are on edge as investors await tomorrow’s highly anticipated FOMC monetary policy decision, a pivotal event that could shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. The prevailing expectation is that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more dovish stance, aiming to shield the U.S. economy from slipping …
Market Summary Wall Street staged a technical rebound last Friday, but investor sentiment remains fragile amid uncertainty surrounding Trump’s aggressive trade policies. Market participants are now turning their attention to Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate decision, seeking guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on the central bank’s policy outlook and its potential impact …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar extended its decline, hitting a new 2025 low, as markets digested weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data last week despite the Fed’s hawkish tone in the latest FOMC meeting minutes. The fading confidence in the U.S. economy weighed not only on the greenback but also on Wall Street, which …
Tuesday, 25 February 2025, 17:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Feb) The latest U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) fell to 104.1 in January 2025, down from a revised 109.5 in December 2024. This decline was driven by increased concerns about labor market conditions, persistent inflationary pressures, and growing economic uncertainty. Consumers …
Market Summary The market’s focus remained on the FOMC meeting minutes, seeking clues on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. As expected, the Fed maintained a cautious stance, balancing a resilient U.S. economy with uncertainties surrounding the Trump administration’s potential inflationary policies. Initially, the dollar strengthened post-release, but confidence in the greenback …
Fundamental Analysis * Inflation Heat: The Japanese yen continues to strengthen against the U.S. dollar as inflation in Japan rises alongside a series of positive economic data. Recently, the Japanese Cabinet Office reported that the economy expanded at a solid pace of 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2024, surpassing the 0.4% …
Fundamental Analysis *Hawk Watch: The USD/CHF extends its recovery as hawkish Fed expectations bolster the U.S. dollar. Recent data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose at their fastest pace in nearly 18 months in January, reinforcing the Fed’s stance that rate cuts are not imminent despite economic uncertainties. Fed officials remain cautious, …
Fundamental Analysis *Tariff Threat: The euro has retreated from its recent high against the dollar as investors remain cautious, assessing the potential impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on the Eurozone. On Friday, Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on imported cars around April 2, with reciprocal tariffs expected in …
Fundamental Analysis *Data Dud: The Canadian dollar strengthened against the U.S. dollar following the release of U.S. retail sales data for January. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales—a key indicator of consumer spending—fell by 0.9%, a sharper decline than the anticipated 0.1%. In contrast, December’s figure was revised upward to …
Tuesday, 18 February 2025, 05:30 – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Feb) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its interest rate at a 12-year high of 4.35% for the ninth consecutive meeting in December. However, the central bank softened its hawkish stance, hinting at a potential dovish shift. With inflation easing, the …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar remained firm ahead of key central bank decisions, with USD/CAD edging higher as traders anticipated a rate cut from the Bank of Canada. Meanwhile, market sentiment stayed cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, with investors closely watching for any signals on future rate changes. Gold …
Market Summary The Nasdaq experienced a significant sell-off in the last session, plunging over 600 points (3%) amid concerns about competition from China’s DeepSeek. This open-source AI model, positioned as a cost-efficient alternative to U.S.-developed models like OpenAI’s ChatGPT, has fueled market apprehensions about its potential disruption to the tech sector. Adding …
Market Summary This week, the financial market remains focused on the U.S. dollar, which has been heavily influenced by Donald Trump’s statements and proposed tariff policies. The president-elect recently threatened Columbia with high tariffs over immigration issues, adding support to the dollar’s strength. Meanwhile, attention is on Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate decision, …
Market Summary The dollar index remains elevated in recent highs as markets await the highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data today. This key job report will provide insight into the Fed’s hawkish stance and its impact on dollar strength. With the NFP expected at 164k, a higher-than-anticipated reading could drive the …
Tuesday, 7 January 2025, 17:00 – US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Dec) The U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for November registered at 52.1, falling short of the market’s expectation of 55.5. While the reading indicates continued growth in the U.S. services sector, it reflects a slower pace than October’s figure of 56.0. This slowdown …
Market Summary The FOMC interest rate decision yesterday triggered significant market volatility, with all eyes on the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance. Jerome Powell’s remarks signaling fewer rate cuts in 2025 and the expectation that the Fed funds rate will remain near the 4% level to curb inflation drove the U.S. dollar higher. …
Fundamental Analysis * Persistent Inflation: The pound sterling which traded against the dollar have reversed its gains and turned negative following the release of U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. The report revealed that headline PPI rose to 3%, exceeding both estimates and the previous figure of 2.6%. Meanwhile, core PPI, which …
Market Summary The market has responded decisively to the U.S. presidential election results from November 5, which confirmed Donald Trump’s re-election, fueling what’s now dubbed the “Trump trade.” The dollar index remains strong, hovering above the 105.00 level, marking its highest point since July. Wall Street also rallied sharply in the previous …
Executive Summary The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is a critical event with anticipated effects on forex and commodities markets, particularly for the U.S. dollar and gold. Each candidate’s economic policy direction—Donald Trump’s nationalistic trade stance and Kamala Harris’s focus on infrastructure and social programs—presents unique implications for these asset classes. As volatility …
Market Summary The Chinese equity market faced strong selling pressure in the last session due to disappointing economic data, while Wall Street reached another all-time high, driven by a fresh tech rally led by companies like Apple Inc, Amazon, and Netflix. However, traders should closely monitor today’s CPI reading, as a higher-than-expected …
Market Summary Chinese equities, including the China A50 and Hang Seng Index (HSI), extended their losses following the resumption of trading after the National Day holiday. Poor holiday economic data, combined with growing skepticism around stimulus measures, sparked a sell-off in the market, with the HSI plunging nearly 10% since its last …
Fundamental Analysis * Cautious Approach: The Australian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar as markets digest the RBA’s September meeting minutes, which reveal a cautious stance. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s board discussed potential future interest rate cuts and hikes but concluded that the current cash rate remains the best …
Wednesday, 9 October 2024, 03:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision (Q2) In August, The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 5.25%, marking the first reduction in over four years. This decision is primarily driven by a cooling in price pressures and …
Market Summary Wall Street surged with strong bullish momentum after digesting the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday. All three major U.S. equity indexes saw significant gains, with the Nasdaq leading the charge, closing up by more than 2.5%. This tech-heavy index, sensitive to interest rate changes, is expected to catch up …
Fundamental Analysis * First Cut: USD/CAD have surged during the Asian session following the Fed’s interest rate decision, which triggered significant market volatility. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced the federal funds rate to a range of 4.75% to 5%, marking the Fed’s first rate cut in over four years. In …
Market Summary The financial spotlight today is on the FOMC interest rate decision and Jerome Powell’s speech, both highly anticipated by global markets. The futures and bond markets are positioning for a larger-than-usual rate cut, exceeding the standard 25 bps. As speculation of this larger cut grows, the U.S. dollar has continued …
* The dollar eases to a weekly low while Wall Street gains ahead of Wednesday’s Fed interest rate decision. * Gold surged to an all-time high on the weakening dollar’s strength. * Oil prices ease in strength, hindered by lacklustre Chinese economic indicators. Market Summary U.S. Dollar (USD) has been under pressure …
Market Summary Contrary to the U.S. inflation data (CPI) released on Wednesday, which showed price increases, the U.S. job data from yesterday suggested that the labour market is softening, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The probability of a 50 bps rate cut rose sharply from 14% to …
Market Summary The U.S. CPI readings released last night exceeded market expectations, dispelling concerns about an economic contraction in the U.S. In response, Wall Street rallied, with the Nasdaq leading the gains, climbing over 350 points in the last session. In the bond market, swap traders are now fully pricing in a …
Market Summary Ahead of the highly anticipated U.S. CPI data release today, which the market is closely watching for clues on the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy moves, Wall Street remained largely unchanged in the previous session. The dollar index (DXY) faced rejection below the $102 mark, signalling that expectations of a Fed …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar remained stable in the last session as traders await Wednesday’s key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision next week. Wall Street saw a slight recovery from its recent bearish trend, with the Dow Jones surging nearly 500 …
Fundamental Analysis * PMI Drag: The USD/CAD pair was traded in a softer tone after the release of PMI data from S&P Global. According to data, the US Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell slightly to 54.1 in August’s flash estimate. While the figure came in higher than expected of 53.5, it …
Market Summary The Dollar Index (DXY) remains under pressure as dovish comments from multiple Federal Reserve officials suggest the possibility of a rate cut in the near future. Traders are now eagerly awaiting Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes for further insight into the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy moves. Meanwhile, Wall Street rallied last …
Market Summary Gold prices soared above the $2,500 mark for the first time, driven by expectations of potential interest rate cuts, which have weakened the dollar to its recent low levels. Market participants are now focused on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes for insights into the Fed’s next monetary policy moves. Additionally, Federal …
Tuesday, 20 August 2024, 14:30 – Canada CPI (YoY) (Jul) For June 2024, Canada’s CPI rose by 2.7% year-over-year, down from 2.9% previously. This decrease in core inflation is driven by a combination of slower economic growth and moderated wage growth, even with a strong labor market. With the current monetary policy …
Market Summary The spotlight was on the Bank of England (BoE) yesterday as the market awaited its interest rate decision. The BoE’s decision to cut rates by 25 basis points came in line with market consensus, leading to a decline in the Pound Sterling, which trailed to a one-month low against the …
Market Summary As we step into the earnings report season, the U.S. equity market rallied, with the Dow Jones climbing to its highest point in the last session, gaining over 200 points. The aftermath of Donald Trump’s shooting incident has influenced the equity market, compounded by a dovish statement from Jerome Powell …
Market Summary Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that recent U.S. economic data suggest inflation is returning to a downward trajectory. However, he emphasised the need for more evidence before the Fed considers shifting its current monetary policy. Consequently, the dollar eased from its recent highs, while U.S. equity markets, buoyed by …
Market Summary After digesting Jerome Powell’s comments following the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday, the dollar erased all its losses from the soft CPI reading, continuing its upward trajectory. The hawkish outlook from the Fed stimulated dollar strength against its peers, while the bullish momentum in equity markets was hindered by …
Market Summary The financial markets experienced significant fluctuations in the last session, driven by two major economic events. Firstly, the U.S. CPI came in lower than market consensus, indicating easing inflation and boosting risk appetite. However, later in the session, the FOMC announced that there will be only one interest rate cut …
Wednesday, 12 June 2024, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (May) In April, U.S. consumer prices saw a smaller-than-expected increase, registering at 0.3% compared to the previous 0.4%. This suggests that inflation started to decrease once more at the beginning of the second quarter. As the economy appears to be slowing down and …
Fundamental Analysis * Unyielding Pound: The pound sterling holds its ground against the dollar despite the release of weak UK data, as a drop in the dollar mitigates the impact of the negative figures. Earlier, the currency pair was under considerable pressure following a sharp decline in UK Retail Sales for April. …
Market Summary Yesterday’s US data release surprised markets, with upbeat PMI readings exceeding expectations. The S&P Composite PMI reached a two-year high, while Initial Jobless Claims fell short of forecasts. This robust economic performance dampened hopes for a Fed rate cut this year, leading to a sharp selloff across both equities and …
Market Summary The financial markets were roiled by Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement. Powell’s dovish stance prompted a sharp decline in the strength of the U.S. dollar, while gold prices rebounded on the prospect of a softer dollar. Despite ongoing signs of inflationary pressures in the U.S, …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar surged and equities stumbled following the release of the U.S. employment cost index, which revealed a robust 1.2% increase, the sharpest uptick in a year. This data underscores the tightness of the U.S. job market and raises concerns about potential inflationary pressures. Investors are eagerly anticipating the …
Market Summary The Japanese Yen experienced a significant fluctuation, moving more than 500 pips against the U.S. dollar in the last trading session. This volatility was driven by market speculation regarding potential intervention by Japanese authorities after the Yen surpassed the 160 mark against the dollar. Meanwhile, market participants are also focusing …
Fundamental Analysis * Loonie Lull: The Canadian dollar, which had been trading against both the U.S. dollar and other currencies, experienced a drop. This was due to a slight recovery in the U.S. dollar and a decrease in oil prices, both contributing to the currency’s decline. On U.S front, Federal Reserve officials, …
Fundamental Analysis * Golden Dilemma: The price of the yellow metal has fallen from its high as US Dollar’s recovery driven by elevated US core PCE inflation data, putting pressure on the value of gold. The annual underlying inflation data rose at a higher pace of 2.7% from the estimates of 2.6% …
Wednesday, 10th April 2024, 04:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision The New Zealand central bank maintain its benchmark interest rate at 5.50% as expected during its previous meeting. While there was no surprise of the central bank paused rates, the less hawkish tone was a surprise as 23% of the market surveyed …
Market Summary The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has concluded its era of negative interest rates with its first rate hike since 2007, simultaneously ending its yield curve control (YCC) policy. Despite this adjustment, the Japanese central bank will persist in purchasing the country’s government bonds. This move has been characterised by the …
Market Summary The financial markets are bracing for a flurry of events this week, with central banks including the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Bank of England (BoE) all set to announce their monetary policy decisions. All eyes are particularly focused on the BoJ, where there is …
The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. Conversely, the dollar index has maintained a subdued …
The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report. The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report, which signals a positive outlook for …
The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. As anticipated, board members expressed concerns about the potential risks of cutting rates too …
China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. However, the equity markets, including Hang Seng, have …
The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision, along with the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes scheduled …
The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …
The global bond market experienced selling pressure as traders scaled back expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. The global bond market experienced selling pressure as traders scaled back expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. The U.S. Treasury saw …
The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. This unexpected …
Nasdaq ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by anticipation surrounding Nvidia’s upcoming report. US dollar has slid to its lowest point since September Recent market dynamics have seen a surge in risk-on sentiment, with global equities rallying fervently. The Nasdaq has ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by heightened anticipation …
Recent weak U.S. economic data, hinting at slowed growth and contained inflation, suggests the Federal Reserve might be near the end of its tightening cycle. Recent downbeat economic data from the U.S., which indicates a moderation in economic performance and contained inflation, has led the market to believe that the Federal Reserve …
President Biden in Israel, leading global efforts to de-escalate Middle East conflict, causing surges in gold and oil due to regional tensions. U.S. President Joe Biden, alongside UK Prime Minister Sunak, stepped foot in Israel, leading international efforts to de-escalate the Middle East conflict. The heightened regional tensions propelled commodity prices, with …
The dollar index lost momentum following a dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials. In a surprising turn, the dollar index lost its momentum following a markedly dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials, igniting widespread speculation that the central bank might maintain interest rates through 2023’s end. This sentiment shift occurred amidst rising …
The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. Investors grappled with the implications of the Fed’s …
After the FOMC statement was unveiled yesterday, the dollar index held its ground firmly above the pivotal $105 level, putting pressure on gold prices. In the aftermath of the FOMC statement unveiled yesterday, financial markets fluctuated as investors dissected the nuanced signals emanating from the Fed’s leadership regarding its policy outlook. The …
The New Zealand dollar has declined and cannot recover due to China’s ongoing struggles in stimulating its economy. The Chinese stock market remains in a downward trend, primarily influenced by challenges within the property sector and limited Chinese economic stimulus efforts. The recent bullish oil prices have also hindered the much-worried Chinese …
Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, but global government bond yields increased, reaching a level not seen in 15 years. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the …
The surprise interest rate cut by the People’s Bank of China has sparked apprehensions within the market. China has taken an unexpected decision to reduce its interest rate as a measure to invigorate its persistently subdued economy. The action, carried out by the People’s Bank of China, has sparked apprehensions within the …
After the announcement, gold and oil prices climbed as the U.S. dollar weakened, making them more attractive. The Federal Reserve delivered as anticipated, implementing a 25 bps rate hike that propelled the interest rate to its highest level in 22 years. With the benchmark rate now residing within the range of 5.25% …
Investors await the Fed’s interest rate decision, to be released today at 21:00 (GMT+3). If the rate is raised from 5.25% to 5.5%, it will mark the highest level in 22 years. Investors’ unwavering attention is fixed on the Fed’s interest rate decision, eagerly awaiting its release later today. With market speculations …
Japanese yen weakens as officials state no immediate plan to modify ultra-loose monetary policy. This week, major central bank decisions will be in focus, including the Fed’s rate announcement on Wednesday and the ECB’s on the following day. Investors will closely watch the CB Consumer Confidence released on Tuesday for insights into …
U.S. dollar surged more than 0.5% triggered by optimistic job data in the U.S. Asian equity markets faced declines, influenced by the U.S. equity market’s disappointing earnings results. Last night, Nasdaq experienced a substantial drop of over 2%, marking its most significant single-day decline since March. Conversely, the U.S. dollar displayed strength, …
Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1% following the release of CPI data. Last night, the dollar index surpassed $100 following the release of CPI data for both the UK and Eurozone; as the Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1%, while the euro also showed a slight decline. The …
Strong quarter results from US banks spark optimism in US equity market. Strong quarterly results from Wall Street banks, Microsoft, and other major corporations fueled the US equity market’s upward momentum, while lacklustre economic data led to a dip in US treasury yields, signalling expectations of a more cautious stance by the …
FOMC meeting minutes spark demand on the US Dollar Last night’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes revealed a divergence of opinions among Fed officials, with the majority committed to further rate hikes in their ongoing battle against persistent inflation. The Fed is expected to continue its rate hike cycle this month, …
Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …
The disappointed PMI reading indicates a lack of optimism in the manufacturing sector Investors await the RBA’s interest rate decision, expecting a 25 bps rate hike. Despite Australia’s CPI dropping to 5.6%, it remains distant from the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings in both the United States and …
Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …
The Week Ahead: Week of 26 June (GMT+3) Tuesday, 27 June, 17:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) Ahead of the anticipated release of the U.S. CB Consumer Confidence data, the University of Michigan has published the Consumer Sentiment Index for the United States. It shows a monthly increase of 7.9% from …
While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …
Inflation came in lower-than-expected and versus the previous month, signalling a June pause on the Fed’s hiking cycle. The equity markets experienced gains, accompanied by a weakening of the dollar, following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) yesterday. The U.S. CPI decreased to 4% from the previous month’s 4.9%, …
The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …
Dollar movement remains muted as investors await inflation data as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting The upcoming week is expected to be quite busy for investors, as significant events are anticipated to have a profound impact on the market. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, setting …
Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …
The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …
Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …
After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …
Traders are strongly advised to look out for Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls data, meanwhile, is estimated to be at 180K, lower than the previous month’s 236K In line with market expectations, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25%, or 25 basis points, bringing the so-called Fed fund rate up to between …
Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …
USD remains elevated even as the economy shows signs of weakening The U.S dollar saw a bounce on Monday after a sustained dip on the back of signs of easing inflation and the recent bank stress. Resilient retails sales, optimistic earnings in Wall Street, and hike-signalling from the Fed have caused the …
On Wednesday, 12 April, the U.S. CPI data was released, showing that March’s headline inflation in the U.S. slowed more than anticipated, with the year-on-year number showing a drop from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March; lower than the expected 5.2%. The monthly rate decreased to 0.1% from 0.4%, which was …
The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …
The markets remained clueless after releasing mixed signals in the U.S. economic data last Friday. Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded …
Has the banking crisis abated? Equity investors seem to think so, with the Nasdaq surging close to 2% on Wednesday as the markets assess a successful containment of the banking crisis caused by the failure of regional banks and one Credit Suisse. This puts the tech-heavy index technically in bull market territory, …
Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …
On Tuesday, February 14, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released, showing an increase of 0.5% in January and the highest in three months but in-line with expectations. The year-on-year increase, meanwhile, is 6.4%, up slightly from market forecasts of 6.2%. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and …
On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released its monetary policy decision for February 2023, raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 points at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, as widely expected by the markets. This brings the target range of 4.5% to 4.75%, making it the highest since October 2007. This …
On Wednesday, 14 December, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its last rate hike of the year – a 50-basis point increase to the Fed fund rate, well in line with the market’s expectations. This brings the Fed benchmark rate to 4.25% – 4.5%, the highest in 15 years. While a dovish step …
China has announced that it will be lifting its strictest covid policies, including being forced to quarantine in state facilities and the need to test before entering most venues. The easing has been released in a series of new guidelines that include a ban on blocking fire exits, encouraging vaccinations among the …
On Wednesday evening, November’s ADP Nonfarm Employment Change numbers were released, vastly underperforming expectations with an increase of 127,000 private payroll jobs, well below the estimate of 190,000 and the previous month’s 239,000. The leisure and hospitality sector was the largest gainer, with an increase in 224,000 jobs. The most significant sector …
On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures were announced, revealing that employment in the US rose by 247,000, lower than the forecasted increase of 395,000 and the previous month’s increase of 479,000. Markets were largely unmoved by the ADP Employment figures as participants awaited the Fed’s interest rate …
On January 5 (Wednesday), the United States announced the December ADP employment data. According to the ADP private payroll numbers for December, 807,000 jobs were added compared to estimates of a figure of 410,000 and the previous value of 534,000, the largest increase since May 2021. The minutes from the Fed’s December FOMC meeting on …
Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating an asset; it attempts to measure its intrinsic value by examining the underlying forces that could affect the asset. Fundamental Analysis includes; Geo Political factors – such as interest rates and other government policies Macroeconomic factors – such as the level of unemployment Company or …
Every time the chairman of the FOMC, Janet Yellen, gives a speech everybody is playing the guessing game trying to figure out what’s going to happen with the interest rates. Interest rate can be defined as; ‘The cost of borrowing money expressed as a % of loan value’ Understanding Interest rates is …
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