Market Summary The dollar continued to face selling pressure after U.S. jobs data released last Friday showed significantly lower-than-expected numbers. While the unemployment rate aligned with market expectations at 4.1%, the Nonfarm Payroll came in at just 12,000—one of the lowest figures since the Fed began its tightening cycle. This has fueled …
Executive Summary The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is a critical event with anticipated effects on forex and commodities markets, particularly for the U.S. dollar and gold. Each candidate’s economic policy direction—Donald Trump’s nationalistic trade stance and Kamala Harris’s focus on infrastructure and social programs—presents unique implications for these asset classes. As volatility …
Market Summary Despite strong U.S. economic data, the U.S. dollar saw a slight retreat as investors await the upcoming U.S. election and Nonfarm Payrolls report. Resilient figures, including a stable Core PCE Price Index at 2.70% and reduced Initial Jobless Claims (216K), highlight steady U.S. economic strength, which may influence future dollar …
Tuesday, 5 November 2024, 05.30 – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Nov) The latest update from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shows that rates were held steady at 4.35% for the seventh meeting in a row in September, reflecting its cautious approach amid mixed economic signals. Under the leadership of Governor Michele …
Fundamental Analysis * Hawkish Shift: The Japanese Yen has gained strength against the dollar following hawkish remarks from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, hinting at a potential rate increase. During its Thursday meeting, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) chose to keep short-term interest rates steady at 0.25% and projected that inflation will stay …
Market Summary The dollar faced pressure from the GDP reading released yesterday, which came in lower than market expectations. However, amidst prevailing risk-off sentiment, the dollar managed to find support above the $104.00 mark. Today’s highly anticipated U.S. PCE reading, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, is expected to provide crucial insights into …
Market Summary Gold surged to an all-time high in the last trading session, climbing above the $2,780 mark. Multiple bullish factors have fueled this rally, including intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, which have heightened demand for safe-haven assets. Additionally, as markets brace for the U.S. election, investors …
Fundamental Analysis * Kiwi Drift: The New Zealand Dollar remains under pressure, continuing its downward trend due to the dovish outlook surrounding the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). The RBNZ is anticipated to implement an additional 50-basis-point rate cut at its policy meeting of the year in November, with markets even …
Market Summary As the U.S. election draws near, safe-haven assets are gaining traction, with gold rallying back to its all-time highs and the U.S. dollar hovering close to recent peaks. Historical trends indicate that the Japanese yen tends to attract strong safe-haven demand during election years, having outperformed the dollar, Swiss franc, …
Market Summary Japan’s political landscape took centre stage this week after the Prime Minister called a snap election, following the ruling party’s loss of its parliamentary majority. This political uncertainty has led markets to believe the Bank of Japan may delay its next rate hike, causing the Yen to soften to a …
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