Dollar Extends Gains on Strong Economic Data and Optimism
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Dollar Extends Gains on Strong Economic Data and Optimism Around U.S.–China Talks

Published: 15 May 2026,07:15

Published: 15 May 2026,07:15

Daily Market Analysis New

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Key Takeaways

*U.S.–China discussions remain constructive despite limited breakthroughs

*Strong U.S. economic data continues supporting the dollar

*Rising Treasury yields reinforce bullish dollar momentum

Market Summary

The latest round of U.S.–China discussions remained relatively smooth, helping improve overall market sentiment despite the absence of any major breakthrough. Discussions between both sides reportedly covered several important geopolitical and economic issues, including Taiwan, the ongoing U.S.–Iran conflict, and the future outlook for U.S.–China trade relations.

Market participants remained cautiously optimistic throughout the meetings, as both parties maintained a calm and constructive tone. In addition, discussions reportedly included expanding market access for U.S. businesses, increasing Chinese purchases of American energy and agricultural products, and addressing concerns surrounding fentanyl precursor flows.

The improving diplomatic tone has helped support broader market confidence and reduced some near-term geopolitical fears.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, continued to extend its gains as investors digested another round of resilient U.S. economic data. According to recent reports, U.S. Retail Sales increased by 0.5%, matching market expectations and reinforcing confidence in consumer activity and the broader economy.

The stronger economic performance, combined with a series of elevated U.S. inflation reports, has continued to push U.S. Treasury yields higher and strengthen expectations that the Federal Reserve may maintain a relatively firm monetary policy stance moving forward.

At the same time, improving sentiment surrounding potential progress in U.S.–China relations has further supported demand for the dollar, as investors view constructive diplomacy as beneficial for the overall U.S. economic outlook.

Gold prices, on the other hand, retreated as the stronger U.S. dollar and rising yields reduced the appeal of non-yielding assets. In addition, some improving sentiment surrounding U.S.–Iran developments and broader geopolitical stability has also weakened safe-haven demand for gold in the near term.

Overall, the combination of resilient U.S. economic data, rising Treasury yields, and improving diplomatic sentiment has continued to support the dollar, while gold remains pressured by a firmer macroeconomic and interest rate environment.

Technical Analysis

GOLD, H4

Gold prices are trading lower, currently testing the 4,605.00 support level, which serves as a key near-term floor.

Momentum remains bearish, with the MACD strengthening to the downside and the RSI at 30 remaining in weak territory, indicating sustained selling pressure and downside risk.

A confirmed breakdown below 4,605.00 could extend losses toward the next support at 4,560.00, with further downside possible if bearish momentum accelerates.

However, if selling pressure begins to fade, a technical rebound may occur, with prices likely to retest the 4,665.00 resistance level, followed by 4,725.00 if recovery strengthens.

Resistance Levels: 4665.00, 4725.00
Support Levels: 4605.00, 4560.00

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