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ETH, H4:
ETH has been trading within a range-bound structure over the past week, with price volatility becoming increasingly narrow during the latest sessions. The cryptocurrency has been fluctuating between $2,445 and $2,540, indicating that buying and selling pressure have gradually reached a balance as ETH consolidates within a relatively tight price range.
The narrowing price action suggests that ETH may be approaching a potential directional breakout, with the boundaries of the current range becoming increasingly important. A decisive break above $2,540 would provide a strong bullish signal and could indicate that buyers have regained control, potentially opening the path for ETH to extend its upward move.
However, the momentum indicators are currently presenting a more cautious picture. Both the MACD and RSI are showing signs that bullish momentum is gradually vanishing, suggesting that the recent buying pressure may be losing strength. This weakening momentum could increase the risk of a technical correction, particularly if ETH continues to struggle to break above the upper boundary of the current range.
Should the bearish momentum accelerate, ETH could undergo a round of technical correction and potentially retest the lower boundary around $2,445. A decisive break below this level would further strengthen the bearish bias and suggest that the current consolidation has developed into a downside breakout rather than a bullish continuation.
Conversely, a sustainable breakout above $2,540 would weaken the immediate bearish scenario and provide confirmation that buyers are once again gaining traction. Such a breakout would be particularly significant given the current narrowing price structure and could signal the beginning of another bullish leg.
Resistance Levels:2525.00, 2650.00
Support Levels:2368.55, 2227.60

EURJPY, H4
EUR/JPY has undergone a round of steep selling pressure, with the pair experiencing a significant decline before finding support above the 178.45 level. Following the sharp sell-off, the latest price action has shown signs of stabilization, with EUR/JPY beginning to consolidate above this key support area. This development suggests that selling pressure may be gradually easing and that the pair could be preparing for a potential technical rebound.
The 178.45 support level has therefore become an important area to monitor in the near term. As long as EUR/JPY remains firmly supported above this level, the current consolidation could provide a base for buyers to regain some momentum. A successful technical rebound from this area could allow the pair to retrace part of the previous steep decline and potentially move higher to fill the imbalance created during the earlier sell-off.
However, the recovery scenario remains dependent on EUR/JPY’s ability to maintain support above 178.45. Should buying momentum remain insufficient and the pair fail to establish a meaningful rebound, the current consolidation could eventually develop into a continuation pattern for the prevailing bearish trend.
A decisive break below the current range-bound structure, particularly if accompanied by sustained selling pressure, would weaken the technical rebound scenario and provide a stronger bearish signal. Such a breakdown could indicate that sellers have regained control and potentially allow EUR/JPY to extend its current downward trajectory following the previous steep sell-off.
Conversely, a sustained rebound from 178.45 would strengthen the short-term recovery outlook and increase the possibility of the pair retracing part of the previous decline to address the outstanding imbalance. The ability to establish higher highs during the recovery would be important in confirming that the technical rebound is developing into a more meaningful corrective move.
Resistance Levels: 179.85, 181.45
Support Levels: 178.45, 176.55
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