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Fundamental Analysis * Yen Drift: The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against the US Dollar amid concerns that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is in no rush to increase interest rates. After the BoJ’s policy decision on Friday, Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that rate hikes would be considered if inflation trends align with …
Fundamental Analysis * BoJ Hike Bets: The Japanese yen has gained ground against the dollar as market participants reevaluate their positions, factoring in the likelihood of a future rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The economic data released on Friday highlighted that Japan’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) surged to …
Fundamental Analysis * Data-driven: The Japanese Yen continues to strengthen against the U.S. dollar, supported by recent positive data from Japan. In July, Japan’s Labor Cash Earnings increased by 3.6% year-on-year, a slowdown from June’s 4.5% rise where it was the highest since January 1997, but still exceeding market expectations of 3.1%. …
Market Summary Wall Street continues to face downside risks, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 sliding in yesterday’s session while the Dow Jones eked out a marginal gain. The small-cap Russell 2000 index remains on an upward trajectory, indicating capital rotation away from mega-cap stocks, tempered by AI jitters. The dollar index …
Market Summary The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has concluded its era of negative interest rates with its first rate hike since 2007, simultaneously ending its yield curve control (YCC) policy. Despite this adjustment, the Japanese central bank will persist in purchasing the country’s government bonds. This move has been characterised by the …
Tuesday, 2 Jan, 05:30 – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec) At its latest interest rate decision, the Reserve Bank upheld its benchmark rate at 4.35%. The RBA’s stance on potential monetary policy tightening hinges on incoming data and evolving risk assessments, highlighting the board’s steadfast commitment to achieving target inflation. Friday, 5 …
The Week Ahead: Week of 6 Nov (GMT+3) Tuesday, 7 Nov, 06:30 – AU RBA Interest Rate Decision (Nov) There is a growing likelihood and concerns that the RBA will opt for another interest rate hike in the upcoming decision. This expectation is fueled by the resurgence of house prices, nearing previous …
The Week Ahead: Week of 30 October (GMT+3) Wednesday, 1 November, 21:00 – US Fed Interest Rate Decision (Oct) The markets are currently anticipating that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rates next week. This aligns with recent dovish statements made by Fed officials and the generally favourable economic data. …
The market worries that a 25 basis points rate hike by the European Central Bank might further hamper the already dim economic prospects within the Eurozone. Upbeat U.S. economic data, particularly Retail Sales and Initial Jobless Claims, ignited a rally in both the dollar index and equity markets. Investors are now bolstered …
The Week Ahead: Week of 18 September (GMT+3) Tuesday, 19 September, 15:30 – US Building Permits (Aug) There was a slight increase in US July Building Permits, rising from 1.441 million to 1.443 million.The marginal uptick in housing starts indicates a degree of optimism among builders. However, the impact of potential future …
The Week Ahead: Week of 21 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 22 August, 17:00 – US Existing Home Sales (Jul) During June, existing home sales in the U.S. witnessed a drop, reaching a five-month low of 4.16 million, which could be attributed to the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes on …
The Week Ahead: Week of 14 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 15 August, 15:30 – US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) In May, US Retail Sales showed a 0.2% increase on a monthly basis, falling short of the anticipated 0.5%. Nevertheless, there’s a silver lining as May’s figures were revised upwards from 0.3% to 0.5%, …
The Bank of England (BoE) delivered a 25 bps rate hike, with the BoE governor emphasising that the policy will remain tight. The dollar’s ascent of nearly 1% in August was further bolstered by the U.S. credit rating downgrade, pushing it close to the $103 threshold. However, yesterday U.S. economic data has …
After the announcement, gold and oil prices climbed as the U.S. dollar weakened, making them more attractive. The Federal Reserve delivered as anticipated, implementing a 25 bps rate hike that propelled the interest rate to its highest level in 22 years. With the benchmark rate now residing within the range of 5.25% …
Hike expectations have also increased across other central banks as the focus shifts back to inflation Markets have increased the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, a sentiment also applied to other major central banks worldwide, including those of the U.K, Switzerland, and Norway. Furthermore, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …
Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …
The US Producer Price Index came in lower than expected The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike expectations have continued to wane amid a flurry of lacklustre economic data. The latest blow to inflationary pressures came from the Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which displayed a significant …
Asian markets were mixed as investors digested a US labour report showing a drop in job openings to their lowest level in almost two years in February. New Zealand’s central bank increased its benchmark cash rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%, causing the New Zealand dollar to strengthen by almost 0.9%. …
Investors hoping for a pause in rate hikes were disappointed as the U.S. Federal Reserve pushed ahead with a quarter-point hike at its interest rate decision on Wednesday. While way lower than 2022’s mega-hikes of 50 to 75 bps and in line with economist expectations, March’s 25-point hike is a calculated risk …
Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …
On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released its monetary policy decision for February 2023, raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 points at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, as widely expected by the markets. This brings the target range of 4.5% to 4.75%, making it the highest since October 2007. This …
On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures were announced, revealing that employment in the US rose by 247,000, lower than the forecasted increase of 395,000 and the previous month’s increase of 479,000. Markets were largely unmoved by the ADP Employment figures as participants awaited the Fed’s interest rate …
On Wednesday afternoon March 30 (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data reported an increase in 455,000 jobs. This figure is slightyly more than the expected increase of 450,000, and down from the previous month’s value of 486,000. While higher than expected, March’s ADP Employment numbers are still the lowest seen …
On Thursday (GMT+2), the US released its Consumer Price Index data (CPI) for January. Results showed that inflation, as measured by the CPI, increased by 7.5% year-on-year, beating out the forecasted 7.3% and posting the highest gain since 1982. The results also mark an increase of 0.6% from December, continuing the fourth …
On January 12 (Wednesday) afternoon (GMT+2), the United States announced its year-on-year, not seasonally-adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December. US CPI rose 7% in 2021, the largest 12-month gain since 1982, according to data released by the Labor Department. CPI rose 0.5% month-on-month in December, slightly beating the market expectations of …
Monday, 5 August 2024, 16:00 – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jul) In June, U.S. services sector activity plunged to its lowest level in four years, driven by a significant decline in new orders. This concerning trend suggests a potential slowdown in economic momentum would likely spill over to the second half 2024. The …
At 15:15 (GMT+3) on Wednesday, the European Central Bank will be making its interest rate decision. The central bank is expected to hike rates, the first time it will do so in 11 years. For the past 8 years, interest rates in the EU have been negative – but rampaging inflation has …
Market Summary The Chinese equity market has emerged as the standout asset class in the financial world, with the China A50 index posting its largest weekly gain in a decade and the Hang Seng Index (HK50) rising by over 12% this week. The market rally has been driven by ongoing economic stimulus …
Market Summary The Asian equity market has taken centre stage in the global financial landscape, particularly with Chinese indexes, such as the China A50 and the Hang Seng Index (HSI), both surging by nearly 10% over the past two sessions. This rally has been driven by monetary easing policies and stimulus packages …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar continues to trade at its lowest levels, but the Dollar Index (DXY) has found support above 100.60, with bearish momentum easing. Market sentiment is largely driven by anticipation of another 50 bps rate cut by the Fed before year-end. This week’s GDP and PCE readings will be …
Market Summary The US Dollar Index continues to extend its losses, hovering near strong support levels ahead of the Federal Reserve’s crucial monetary policy meeting this week. With market expectations leaning towards a rate cut, investors are closely watching the Fed’s decision, as nearly 41% anticipate a 50-basis-point reduction, according to the …
Tuesday, 17 September 2024, 08:00 – US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) The latest U.S. Core Retail Sales for July reported a 0.4% increase, surpassing the market’s forecast of 0.1%. This better-than-expected outcome was fueled by strong consumer spending, notably in online shopping and restaurant sales, despite ongoing concerns about high inflation. …
Fundamental Analysis * Surging Odds: The USD/JPY pair continues to slide during the Asian session as the dollar weakens. The US Dollar (USD) hit a new weekly low, driven by growing expectations of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. This sentiment was reinforced by Wednesday’s lower-than-anticipated US Producer …
Market Summary The spotlight was on the Bank of England (BoE) yesterday as the market awaited its interest rate decision. The BoE’s decision to cut rates by 25 basis points came in line with market consensus, leading to a decline in the Pound Sterling, which trailed to a one-month low against the …
Market Summary The Japanese Yen strengthened ahead of the BoJ’s interest rate decision, with part of the market anticipating a monetary tightening policy from the Japanese central bank due to sustainable inflation and wage growth in the country. If the BoJ raises rates by 10 bps, as expected, the Yen could strengthen …
Wednesday, 24 July 2024, 15:45 – US Manufacturing PMI (Jul) The latest S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for June 2024 has been revised to 51.6, slightly lower than the expectation of 51.7 but up from 51.3 in May. This indicates an improvement in manufacturing business conditions for the second consecutive month, driven …
Market Summary Last Friday’s U.S. employment report delivered a mixed bag of results: Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) surpassed expectations at 206,000 new jobs added, yet the unemployment rate climbed to 4.1%, its highest since 2021. The Dollar Index (DXY) initially fluctuated on the news but ultimately trended lower as markets absorbed the data. …
Market Summary The financial market remained relatively quiet as the U.S. celebrated its National Independence Day holiday yesterday, resulting in a halt for the U.S. equity market. However, the equity market futures remained bullish, catalysed by the tech sector. Attention now turns to the Pound Sterling as the Bank of England’s (BoE) …
Market Summary The financial market remained relatively quiet as the U.S. celebrated its National Independence Day holiday yesterday, resulting in a halt for the U.S. equity market. However, the equity market futures remained bullish, catalysed by the tech sector. Attention now turns to the Pound Sterling as the Bank of England’s (BoE) …
Fundamental Analysis * Rate Rapture: The Euro strengthened against the dollar after comments made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. On economic data, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that both monthly headline and core Producer Price Index (PPI) exceeded expectations, with a 0.5% growth compared to the anticipated 0.3% and 0.2% …
Wednesday, 10th April 2024, 04:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision The New Zealand central bank maintain its benchmark interest rate at 5.50% as expected during its previous meeting. While there was no surprise of the central bank paused rates, the less hawkish tone was a surprise as 23% of the market surveyed …
Market Summary The financial markets are bracing for a flurry of events this week, with central banks including the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Bank of England (BoE) all set to announce their monetary policy decisions. All eyes are particularly focused on the BoJ, where there is …
Fundamental Analysis * Firm Rate Hike Bets: USD/JPY continue to extend its losing streak amid increasing expectation that the BoJ will shift away from its expansionary interest rate stance in the March monetary policy meeting. BoJ officials have suggested a prolonged period of favorable wage trends, aiming to maintain inflation consistently above …
China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. However, the equity markets, including Hang Seng, have …
Wednesday, 21 Feb, 21:00 – FOMC Meeting Minutes In January, the Federal Reserve declared a steady policy rate of 5.25% – 5.5%, acknowledging the uncertain trajectory toward a rate cut in 2024. While many investors are hopeful for a shift from rate hikes to cuts by the Fed in the upcoming months, …
Monday, 5 Feb, 17:00 – US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jan) In November, the US non-manufacturing PMI increased to 52.7 from 51.8, rebounding from a 5-month low. However, economists anticipate a decline in demand for services in the current quarter as consumers redirect a greater portion of their spending towards goods. Tuesday, 6 …
The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision, along with the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes scheduled …
The market is dominated by speculation regarding an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to record highs in U.S. equity markets The market is dominated by speculation regarding an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to record highs in U.S. equity markets. Despite a recent slide in the …
The U.S. dollar maintained its upward trajectory, putting pressure on both gold and equity markets. Despite a relatively dovish speech from Fed governor Christopher Waller, the U.S. dollar maintained its upward trajectory, putting pressure on both gold and equity markets. Wall Street faced selling pressure as early bets on Fed rate cuts …
Investors strategically position themselves for an anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming year. Investors strategically position themselves for an anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming year, evident in the robust market demand observed during recent auctions for U.S. short-term treasuries. The heightened appetite for U.S. Treasury …
Investors anticipate an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year Asian markets have edged up following a surge in U.S. equity markets, which attained record highs as investors anticipate an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year. The U.S. dollar remains subdued, contributing to the continued rise in …
ECB & BoE have announced their interest rate decisions, leading to the appreciation of both the euro and the British pound last night The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) have announced their interest rate decisions, leading to the appreciation of both the euro and the British pound …
The market remains firmly convinced that the U.S. central bank is poised for such actions next year, gold prices briefly reaching an all-time high at $2146. Despite Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chief, attempting to push back on rate-cut expectations, the market remains firmly convinced that the U.S. central bank is poised …
Recent weak U.S. economic data, hinting at slowed growth and contained inflation, suggests the Federal Reserve might be near the end of its tightening cycle. Recent downbeat economic data from the U.S., which indicates a moderation in economic performance and contained inflation, has led the market to believe that the Federal Reserve …
The dollar index plummeted following last Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report and the Unemployment rate data. The dollar index plummeted to September levels following last Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report and the Unemployment rate data, indicating a softening job market and further easing U.S. inflation. Despite the softening dollar, commodity prices including …
In a highly anticipated move, the Federal Reserve opted for a pause in its interest rate trajectory, aligning with market predictions. In a highly anticipated move, the Federal Reserve opted for a pause in its interest rate trajectory, aligning with market predictions. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while announcing the decision, left …
The Week Ahead: Week of 23 October (GMT+3) Wednesday, 25 October, 17:00 – CA BoC Interest Rate Decision In September, Canada’s annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a decline in inflation from 4% in August to 3.8%. The Bank of Canada’s upcoming rate decision will be crucial, as it previously held the …
After the FOMC statement was unveiled yesterday, the dollar index held its ground firmly above the pivotal $105 level, putting pressure on gold prices. In the aftermath of the FOMC statement unveiled yesterday, financial markets fluctuated as investors dissected the nuanced signals emanating from the Fed’s leadership regarding its policy outlook. The …
The Week Ahead: Week of 4 September (GMT+3) Tuesday, 5 September, 07:30 – AU RBA Interest Rate Decision (Sep) With inflation slowing from 5.4%in June to 4.9% in July, the RBA has opted to maintain its interest rate at 4.1%. This decision allows the central bank to evaluate the effects of previous …
The Chinese government’s decision to modestly reduce the short-term loan rate has disappointed the market. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the global government bond yield, reaching a level not seen …
The surprise interest rate cut by the People’s Bank of China has sparked apprehensions within the market. China has taken an unexpected decision to reduce its interest rate as a measure to invigorate its persistently subdued economy. The action, carried out by the People’s Bank of China, has sparked apprehensions within the …
Market analysts project a 25 basis point rate hike from the RBA, but positive economic data may lead to a rate hike pause. All eyes are on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as investors eagerly await the announcement of their interest rate decision, scheduled for later today. Market analysts have projected …
The Week Ahead: Week of 31 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 25 July, 17:00 Tuesday, 1 August, 07:30 – AU RBA Interest Rate Decision (Aug) In July, the Reserve Bank of Australia chose to keep the rate unchanged with a current rate of 4.10%. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to pause rate …
Investors await the Fed’s interest rate decision, to be released today at 21:00 (GMT+3). If the rate is raised from 5.25% to 5.5%, it will mark the highest level in 22 years. Investors’ unwavering attention is fixed on the Fed’s interest rate decision, eagerly awaiting its release later today. With market speculations …
Markets are now assessing the hawkish outlook against visibly cooling inflation Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that interest rates need to be raised further this year in order to bring inflation back to the targeted rate of 2%. Despite this hawkish sentiment from the Fed, the market is inclined …
Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …
The disappointed PMI reading indicates a lack of optimism in the manufacturing sector Investors await the RBA’s interest rate decision, expecting a 25 bps rate hike. Despite Australia’s CPI dropping to 5.6%, it remains distant from the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings in both the United States and …
On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …
Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …
While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …
Inflation came in lower-than-expected and versus the previous month, signalling a June pause on the Fed’s hiking cycle. The equity markets experienced gains, accompanied by a weakening of the dollar, following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) yesterday. The U.S. CPI decreased to 4% from the previous month’s 4.9%, …
The Week Ahead: Week of 12 June (GMT+3) Tuesday, 13 June, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (May) According to the previous Consumer Price Index (CPI), the United States witnessed a modest increase of 0.4% compared to last month’s 0.1%. The upcoming inflation data for May is anticipated to reveal a slight cooling …
After the rate hikes by the Canadian central bank and the RBA, the Federal Reserve is now under pressure to consider raising interest rates. Despite the prevailing risk of an economic downturn in Australia, the RBA surprised the market by adding another 25 bps to its interest rate, vowing to bring the …
Focus has shifted from the US debt ceiling back to macro data and the Fed’s benchmark interest rate The dollar experienced its largest daily decline in almost a month as U.S. manufacturing data and statements from Federal Reserve officials reinforced expectations of a potential interest rate hike delay. Meanwhile, the euro rebounded …
A lower-than-expected inflation has lent optimism to the markets The latest U.S. inflation figures have provided the Federal Reserve with some respite on its upcoming rate hike decision. The data for April showed a slight drop in inflation to 4.9% from 5%, easing the Fed’s dilemma. As a result, the dollar weakened …
Traders are strongly advised to look out for Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls data, meanwhile, is estimated to be at 180K, lower than the previous month’s 236K In line with market expectations, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25%, or 25 basis points, bringing the so-called Fed fund rate up to between …
The dollar has dipped on dovish expectations and downward pressure on the economy Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced yesterday that the central bank would deliver its 10th consecutive interest-rate hike of 25 basis points, bringing the Fed rate to 5.25%, its highest level since 2007. Powell also hinted that the Fed …
Markets are widely expecting a 25-point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting The U.S. financial markets experienced much-needed stabilisation after JP Morgan’s acquisition of First Republic bank, the latest financial institution to fail. This development has lifted the U.S. equities markets, with Asian markets also opening higher after returning from the labour …
USD remains elevated even as the economy shows signs of weakening The U.S dollar saw a bounce on Monday after a sustained dip on the back of signs of easing inflation and the recent bank stress. Resilient retails sales, optimistic earnings in Wall Street, and hike-signalling from the Fed have caused the …
Wall Street closed high and gold prices retraced as the fears over the banking sector crisis abated; the dollar index remains calm before the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement, which will be made later today (22nd March). However, investors are starting to discuss the banking turmoil as aftermath of central banks’ frenetic …
On Wednesday, 14 December, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its last rate hike of the year – a 50-basis point increase to the Fed fund rate, well in line with the market’s expectations. This brings the Fed benchmark rate to 4.25% – 4.5%, the highest in 15 years. While a dovish step …
On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US Federal Reserve announced a rate hike of 0.75% or 75 basis points, up from the last rate hike of 50 points. This is the largest Fed interest rate hike in 28 years, and brings the benchmark interest rate to between 1.50% – 1.75%, a number last …
On Wednesday morning (GMT+3), Germany released its quarter-on-quarter GDP figures. The 0.2% increase was exactly in line with forecasts, while an increase from the previous quarters -0.3%. Year-on-year growth for Q1 stands at 3.8%, up from the forecasted 3.7%. Earlier in the week on Tuesday, European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde …
On Wednesday, 16 March, the US Federal Reserve made the long-awaited decision to raise interest rates to combat surging inflation. As per the market’s expectations, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points. The 0.25% rate hike was voted on almost unanimously by policymakers, except St Louis Fed president James Bullard, who voted …
Market Summary The Chinese equity market faced strong selling pressure in the last session due to disappointing economic data, while Wall Street reached another all-time high, driven by a fresh tech rally led by companies like Apple Inc, Amazon, and Netflix. However, traders should closely monitor today’s CPI reading, as a higher-than-expected …
Market Summary Chinese equities, including the China A50 and Hang Seng Index (HSI), extended their losses following the resumption of trading after the National Day holiday. Poor holiday economic data, combined with growing skepticism around stimulus measures, sparked a sell-off in the market, with the HSI plunging nearly 10% since its last …
Fundamental Analysis * Spending Slump: The Japanese yen continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar, as the greenback maintained its strength amid reduced expectations of a larger-than-expected rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders have adjusted their projections for the Federal Funds rate in November, now expecting a 25-basis point …
Market Summary Oil prices surged by nearly 4% in the last session, reaching a near two-month high as the confrontation between Israel and Iran-backed militaries escalated, sparking concerns over potential supply disruptions in the region, which accounts for a significant portion of global crude production. In contrast, gold prices remained stable, hovering …
Market Summary The Dollar Index surged to a seven-week high, driven by strong U.S. economic data, with Nonfarm Payrolls hitting 254,000 and the Unemployment Rate dropping to 4.1%. This data diminished expectations for a 50-basis-point rate cut, bolstering the dollar but weighing on gold as the stronger dollar overshadowed the metal’s safe-haven …
Market Summary The Pound Sterling fell sharply yesterday, with the Pound Sterling Index (BXY) dropping more than 2% following a dovish statement from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey. Bailey indicated that the Bank of England is prepared to implement rate cuts if UK inflation shows signs of easing. Similarly, the Japanese Yen remained …
Market Summary Hong Kong’s stock rally paused in today’s session after the Chinese index surged by over 30% from its September lows. The equity market is now facing profit-taking pressure, with the Hang Seng Index down nearly 3% as of writing. In contrast, Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped at the market’s open, driven …
Market Summary Middle East tensions took centre stage in the global financial markets during the last session as Iran fired missiles at Israel, with further retaliation expected, heightening geopolitical risks. This event fueled demand for safe-haven assets, leading gold to surge by over 1%, approaching its peak. Similarly, oil prices spiked by …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar gained momentum following a hawkish statement from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, signalling that the Federal Reserve is not in a rush to accelerate rate cuts and is likely to maintain a quarter-point rate reduction in the near term. This boosted the Dollar Index (DXY), which rose over …
Market Summary The financial markets were shaken by the unexpected victory in the Japan’s ruling party’s leadership race, which is set to replace the current Prime Minister of Japan. The win by Shigeru Ishiba, seen as favouring a more hawkish stance on monetary policy, led to a significant strengthening of the Japanese …
Fundamental Analysis * Ishiba Wave: The Japanese Yen surged against the US Dollar after former Defense Chief Shigeru Ishiba won the Liberal Democratic Party’s (LDP) presidential election, securing his position as Japan’s next prime minister. Market participants view Ishiba’s victory as supportive of potential interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan …
Monday, 30 September 2024, 08:00 – UK GDP (QoQ) (Q2) The latest UK GDP data released in August 2024 showed a growth of 0.6% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) for Q2 2024 in its preliminary reading. The reading was in line market expectation but slightly lower the previous reading of 0.7%. The British economy has …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar rebounded sharply towards the $101 mark ahead of key economic data releases, including GDP and the PCE reading due on Friday. The Dollar Index (DXY), however, faces resistance between $101.00 and $100.85 at its previous fair-value gap; a break above this range could shift the current bearish …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar continues to trade at its lowest levels, but the Dollar Index (DXY) has found support above 100.60, with bearish momentum easing. Market sentiment is largely driven by anticipation of another 50 bps rate cut by the Fed before year-end. This week’s GDP and PCE readings will be …
Market Summary Wall Street surged with strong bullish momentum after digesting the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday. All three major U.S. equity indexes saw significant gains, with the Nasdaq leading the charge, closing up by more than 2.5%. This tech-heavy index, sensitive to interest rate changes, is expected to catch up …
Market Summary The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision was announced yesterday, aligning with market expectations for a more aggressive rate cut. This bold move sparked significant volatility in the market, with the Dollar Index (DXY) fluctuating by over 1% during the event. However, as the rate cut had been largely priced in …
Market Summary The financial spotlight today is on the FOMC interest rate decision and Jerome Powell’s speech, both highly anticipated by global markets. The futures and bond markets are positioning for a larger-than-usual rate cut, exceeding the standard 25 bps. As speculation of this larger cut grows, the U.S. dollar has continued …
* The dollar eases to a weekly low while Wall Street gains ahead of Wednesday’s Fed interest rate decision. * Gold surged to an all-time high on the weakening dollar’s strength. * Oil prices ease in strength, hindered by lacklustre Chinese economic indicators. Market Summary U.S. Dollar (USD) has been under pressure …
Market Summary Contrary to the U.S. inflation data (CPI) released on Wednesday, which showed price increases, the U.S. job data from yesterday suggested that the labour market is softening, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The probability of a 50 bps rate cut rose sharply from 14% to …
Market Summary The U.S. CPI readings released last night exceeded market expectations, dispelling concerns about an economic contraction in the U.S. In response, Wall Street rallied, with the Nasdaq leading the gains, climbing over 350 points in the last session. In the bond market, swap traders are now fully pricing in a …
Market Summary Ahead of the highly anticipated U.S. CPI data release today, which the market is closely watching for clues on the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy moves, Wall Street remained largely unchanged in the previous session. The dollar index (DXY) faced rejection below the $102 mark, signalling that expectations of a Fed …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar remained stable in the last session as traders await Wednesday’s key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision next week. Wall Street saw a slight recovery from its recent bearish trend, with the Dow Jones surging nearly 500 …
Market Summary The financial markets were shaken by the release of key U.S. economic indicators last Friday, triggering heightened volatility across sectors. The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) came in significantly lower than expected at 142k, indicating a slowdown in U.S. economic growth. This weighed heavily on Wall Street, with the Nasdaq dropping more …
Market Summary Ahead of today’s highly anticipated Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure, with major market players like Citigroup and JP Morgan betting on a larger rate cut from the Federal Reserve this month. The ADP Nonfarm Employment Change report, released yesterday, significantly missed market expectations, while unit …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar lost strength after reaching a two-week high in the Dollar Index (DXY). The release of the Fed’s Beige Book indicated a decline in economic activity, a softening labour market, and moderating wage growth, which fueled speculation of a potential Fed rate cut. This dampened the dollar’s momentum, …
Market Summary Wall Street experienced a significant single-day sell-off yesterday, with the Nasdaq leading the decline, dropping more than 3%. Nvidia, a key player in the AI sector, saw a massive $279 billion loss in market value as its share price plunged by 9.5%. This sell-off was fueled by a softening market …
Market Summary Oil prices rebounded above the critical support level near the $73.00 mark, driven by several key factors. Libya’s key oil field shutdowns have led to a reduction of a million barrels in global daily oil supplies, significantly pushing oil prices higher in the last session. Additionally, the U.S. government is …
Market Summary The highly anticipated PCE reading released last Friday catalysed the U.S. dollar, pushing it above its previous resistance level of $101.00 to reach a weekly high. While the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge came in lower than market expectations, it remained well above the 2% target, suggesting that the Fed may …
Market Summary The Dow Jones set a new milestone, rising to 41,577 points before experiencing a retracement. In contrast, the Nasdaq continues to struggle, weighed down by Nvidia’s earnings report, which appears to lack a significant “wow” factor. The Asian equity markets are expected to mirror the sentiment of the U.S. market …
Market Summary Nvidia’s highly anticipated earnings report was released yesterday, but despite the numbers beating market consensus, the performance lacked a “wow” factor for investors. As a result, the market seemed to have already priced in the earnings, leading to a decline in all three major indexes on Wall Street. Despite yesterday’s …
Market Summary As the market searches for direction, most asset classes remained relatively flat in the last session, with investors waiting for a catalyst to drive momentum. On Wall Street, attention turns to Nvidia’s earnings report, due later today. Expectations are high for strong earnings performance, which could potentially lift major indexes …
Market Summary Geopolitical tensions in both the Middle East and Eastern Europe have escalated, creating significant unease in the broader financial markets. Adding to the uncertainty, market participants are positioning for a potential September Fed rate cut, which seems increasingly likely. In response to the geopolitical uncertainty, oil prices surged nearly 3% …
Market Summary Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated speech last Friday at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium drove the dollar to its lowest level since last July. The Fed Chair expressed concerns about the U.S. job market and indicated confidence that the inflation rate will reach the 2% target, suggesting a dovish stance from …
Market Summary The Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains on course with its monetary tightening policy, according to the BoJ Chief, following his hearing at the Japan Lower House. However, he emphasised that there is no rush for the next rate hike, as the central bank continues to monitor global economic conditions. This …
Market Summary The dollar continued to face downside pressure following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Concerns were raised by FOMC members over potential labour market deterioration, with the majority of the members signalling that a September rate cut might be appropriate. This dovish narrative provided buoyancy to the equity market, …
Market Summary Wall Street took a pause in the last session, with all three major indexes remaining relatively flat as investors awaited the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Should the minutes align with market expectations and present a dovish tone, it could put further downward pressure on the dollar while potentially fueling …
Market Summary The Dollar Index (DXY) remains under pressure as dovish comments from multiple Federal Reserve officials suggest the possibility of a rate cut in the near future. Traders are now eagerly awaiting Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes for further insight into the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy moves. Meanwhile, Wall Street rallied last …
Market Summary Gold prices soared above the $2,500 mark for the first time, driven by expectations of potential interest rate cuts, which have weakened the dollar to its recent low levels. Market participants are now focused on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes for insights into the Fed’s next monetary policy moves. Additionally, Federal …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar rebounded after being weighed down earlier in the week by softer-than-expected PPI and CPI readings. The turnaround was driven by stronger-than-anticipated U.S. Retail Sales growth and Initial Jobless Claims, which eased recession fears and bolstered the dollar’s strength in the last session. Wall Street reacted positively to …
Market Summary The most anticipated economic indicator of the week, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), was released yesterday, coming in at 2.9%, below the 3% threshold and in line with the Producer Price Index (PPI) data from the previous day. This further sign of easing inflationary pressure in the U.S. has …
Market Summary Market risk appetite improved following the release of U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, which came in lower than expected at 0.1%, below both the market consensus and the previous reading. This softer inflation figure suggests that inflationary pressures in the U.S. may be easing, prompting markets to increase their …
Fundamental Analysis * Hawkish RBA: The Australian dollar has continued to strengthen against the US dollar, driven by a hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). On the data front, Australia’s Westpac Consumer Confidence increased by 2.8% in August, recovering from a 1.1% decline in July. Additionally, the Wage Price …
Market Summary Gold prices experienced their largest gain in three weeks, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and the easing of the U.S. dollar as markets await the crucial CPI reading due on Wednesday. Gold has surged to an all-time high above $2,460, as uncertainties surrounding developments in both the …
Market Summary The equity markets continued their upward momentum, driven by the easing of the Japanese Yen’s strength. The Yen was pressured by a dovish tone from Japanese authorities, signalling that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might keep its monetary policy unchanged amid rising global economic uncertainties. However, attention is now shifting …
Market Summary The financial markets reacted positively to the upbeat Initial Jobless Claims data released yesterday, which came in at 233k, lower than market expectations. This eased concerns about a weakening labour market and the heightened recession risks that emerged after last Friday’s disappointing NFP report. Wall Street benefited from the improved …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar remains stable amidst significant market volatility this week. The low NFP reading from last Friday has cast a shadow over the economic outlook, and the Yen carry trade situation may worsen if the BoJ continues to tighten its monetary policy. Traders are closely watching today’s U.S. job …
Market Summary The Japanese Yen eased on Wednesday morning after the BoJ Deputy Governor indicated that the Japanese central bank would not raise interest rates if global markets remained unstable. This statement has calmed the market and unwound concerns about Yen carry trades. Meanwhile, the dollar has regained strength, with the dollar …
Market Summary The financial markets, especially the equity sector, continue to be shattered by recession fears. The U.S. equity fear index, VIX, spiked to 65.70—the highest level since the pandemic in 2020—before quickly retracing to 38. This fear weighed heavily on the equity market, with the Dow Jones closing more than 1000 …
Market Summary The aftermath of the Japanese yen’s strengthening has manifested in significant dips across multiple markets, including equities, commodities, and various currencies. The yen has erased all its 2024 losses against the dollar, moving towards the 145.00 mark. The dollar index (DXY) has fallen to its lowest level since March, hovering …
Market Summary The highly anticipated Fed’s interest rate decision was disclosed yesterday, hammering the dollar’s strength lower as Fed Chief Jerome Powell explicitly signalled that a September rate cut is possible. The U.S. central bank is balancing both inflation and recession risks, with interest rates adjusted to curb inflation while maintaining a …
Market Summary The financial market remained relatively quiet in the last session ahead of crucial central bank interest rate decisions, including those from the Fed and BoJ, which are due tomorrow. The dollar index (DXY) managed to break above its near-term resistance level at 104.50, which has been a barrier for the …
Market Summary The financial market has reacted to the highly anticipated U.S. inflation gauge preferred by the Federal Reserve, the PCE reading. The PCE came in line with market expectations at 2.5%, suggesting that inflationary pressure in the country is moving toward the targeted 2% rate and heightening the likelihood of a …
Tuesday, 30 July 2024, 16:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Jul) The U.S. Conference Board reported a slight decline in the US Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for June 2024, dropping to 100.4 from 101.3 in May. This decline is primarily due to a fall in the Expectations Index, which decreased to 73.0 …
Market Summary The U.S. equity market experienced one of its worst trading days this year, with the Nasdaq leading the decline, plunging more than 700 points in the last session. Investor concerns over the AI sector surged following Tesla’s earnings miss and Google’s higher-than-expected spending, both of which saw sharp declines. Meanwhile, …
Fundamental Analysis * Yen Frenzy: The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to strengthen against the dollar, driven by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates at next week’s policy meeting. Toshimitsu Motegi, a senior official in the ruling party, has urged the BoJ to more transparently communicate its plans …
Market Summary The dollar index traded in a relatively sideways range, poised at its weekly high, awaiting PMI readings to gauge the strength of the U.S. economy. The UK and eurozone PMI readings are due today and may directly impact the recent lacklustre price movement for both currencies. Conversely, the New Zealand …
Market Summary Wall Street rallied in the last session as investors anticipate earnings reports from mega-caps including Alphabet and Tesla, due later today. Mitigated U.S. political uncertainty and renewed confidence in the U.S. economy, especially if Donald Trump is re-elected in the upcoming presidential election, have bolstered the equity market’s upward momentum. …
Market Summary Biden’s withdrawal from the upcoming U.S. presidential election has thrown a stun grenade into the market, with most asset classes standing pat as investors digest the event. The dollar remains poised at its high from last Friday, with expectations of strengthening as Trump’s advocacy may favor the greenback. Meanwhile, the …
Market Summary The U.S. job data released yesterday bolstered speculation of a September Fed rate cut. Initial Jobless Claims saw the biggest increase since May, suggesting the labor market in the U.S. is easing, and inflation is cooling as a result. Despite this, the dollar took a breather from its downtrend and …
Market Summary The dollar continues to tumble, trading at its lowest level since April, below the $104 mark. The U.S. Beige Book suggests economic growth has moderated and inflation shows signs of easing, strengthening the likelihood of a September rate cut. Improved risk appetite in the market propelled the Dow Jones up …
Market Summary The U.S. equity market continued its rally in yesterday’s session, with the Dow Jones approaching its all-time high near the 41,000 mark. The Russell 2000 (US2000) small-cap index surged more than 10% since last Thursday, suggesting that strategists have been rotating their exposure to small-cap counters, which are more sensitive …
Market Summary As we step into the earnings report season, the U.S. equity market rallied, with the Dow Jones climbing to its highest point in the last session, gaining over 200 points. The aftermath of Donald Trump’s shooting incident has influenced the equity market, compounded by a dovish statement from Jerome Powell …
Market Summary Over the weekend, a significant event unfolded in the U.S. presidential race as candidate Donald Trump was shot at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania, intensifying geopolitical uncertainty across markets. The dollar swiftly reacted, rebounding from recent lows amid expectations that Trump’s fiscal policies, known for potentially boosting treasury yields, could …
Market Summary The highly anticipated U.S. CPI report met expectations with a figure below market consensus, shaking up financial markets. The dollar plummeted to its lowest level since last month amid heightened speculation of a dovish Fed stance. Concurrently, the U.S. equity market experienced a notable anomaly, marked by significant declines. This …
Market Summary Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the Senate concluded yesterday, with a dovish tone that bolstered the market’s risk-on sentiment and tempered the dollar’s strength amidst expectations of accommodative monetary policy. Wall Street continued its rally as the U.S. equity market entered earnings season, buoyed by optimistic outlooks for corporate earnings. …
Market Summary The highly anticipated testimony of Jerome Powell commenced yesterday, but the market remained calm as the Fed’s chief delivered a neutral statement. Powell acknowledged that inflationary pressure in the U.S. is showing signs of easing and raised concerns about potential risks to the labour market from persistent high borrowing costs. …
Market Summary Jerome Powell’s 2-day testimony at Capitol Hill begins today, and traders will be closely monitoring his statements for insights into the rate cut schedule. With the U.S. presidential election approaching, it is believed that the Fed will maintain its independence and possibly delay any rate cut policy until after the …
Market Summary The UK general election 2024 was held on Thursday, and while the results are yet to be finalized, the Labour Party is poised to win a majority, ending the Conservatives’ 14-year rule. The UK’s equity market index, FTSE 100, edged higher in the last session, while the Pound Sterling remained …
Market Summary In the last session, Wall Street saw a notable rally with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 reaching all-time highs, while the Dow Jones lagged. This surge was driven by soft job data, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may proceed with its plan to begin cutting rates in the third quarter …
Market Summary Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that recent U.S. economic data suggest inflation is returning to a downward trajectory. However, he emphasised the need for more evidence before the Fed considers shifting its current monetary policy. Consequently, the dollar eased from its recent highs, while U.S. equity markets, buoyed by …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar regained strength after a technical retracement earlier in the session. The recent presidential debate over the weekend had a spillover effect on the financial market, with sentiment shifting in favour of Donald Trump’s re-election prospects. This political development, combined with Wall Street strategists advising clients to brace …
Fundamental Analysis * BoJ Fog: The Japanese Yen has continued to plunge against the dollar following ongoing uncertainty over the Bank of Japan’s policy outlook. Recent BoJ policy minutes revealed that officials are in favor of further policy tightening, as the weak Yen is contributing to rising inflationary pressures. This depreciation has …
Market Summary The dollar’s recent strength was tempered by last Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading, which aligned with market expectations. The mixed results of recent U.S. economic indicators have cast uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy moves, although part of the market remains optimistic about an October rate cut. …
Market Summary The dollar has eased from its bullish trend, which was fueled by upbeat PMI readings last Friday. Apart from Friday’s PCE reading, traders are also keeping an eye on Wednesday’s U.S. 5-year note auction to gauge market sentiment toward the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy and its implications for the dollar’s …
Market Summary The Dollar Index (DXY) showed resilience following early-session easing on Wednesday, bolstered by strong U.S. economic indicators including upbeat Initial Jobless Claims and GDP figures. However, bullish momentum remained tempered amidst market perceptions of a potential Fed policy shift in September, reflected in a decline in U.S. Treasury yields. Investors …
Market Summary The Dollar Index (DXY) showed resilience following early-session easing on Wednesday, bolstered by strong U.S. economic indicators including upbeat Initial Jobless Claims and GDP figures. However, bullish momentum remained tempered amidst market perceptions of a potential Fed policy shift in September, reflected in a decline in U.S. Treasury yields. Investors …
Market Summary The Japanese Yen plummeted to its weakest level since 1986 at 160.87 against the greenback. The currency pair has lost more than 12% this year and is well above the tolerance level for the BoJ to intervene. The BoJ hinted at a potential rate hike in July, and the Japanese …
Market Summary On the back of the upbeat CB Consumer Confidence reading of 100.4, several Fed governors issued hawkish comments on upcoming monetary policy, which ultimately bolstered the dollar’s strength. Despite the Fed’s hawkish outlook, the U.S. equity market rallied, driven by Nvidia, the AI bellwether company, which rose approximately 7%, fueling …
Market Summary The dollar has eased from its bullish trend, which was fueled by upbeat PMI readings last Friday. Apart from Friday’s PCE reading, traders are also keeping an eye on Wednesday’s U.S. 5-year note auction to gauge market sentiment toward the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy and its implications for the dollar’s …
Market Summary All eyes are on the Japanese Yen as it continues its downward slide against its peers, notably experiencing a 3% decline against the dollar in June. As the USD/JPY pair approaches the critical 160 mark, Japan’s top currency official has heightened concerns by stating that Japanese authorities are prepared to …
Market Summary The spotlight was on the Pound Sterling following the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest rate decision announced yesterday. Despite the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) reaching the targeted rate of 2%, the BoE voted 7-2 to maintain its interest rate unchanged, providing buoyancy for the Pound Sterling. However, the BoE …
Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) slid further after U.S. Retail Sales figures came in below market expectations, triggering a technical correction for the dollar. U.S. policymakers have emphasised the need for patience on rate cuts, citing the necessity for more evidence to prove that inflation is cooling. The risk-on sentiment has …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar is hovering near its recent high levels amid global navigation through Eurozone political uncertainty and the divergence in central bank monetary policies. Besides the U.S. dollar, market attention is focused on the Australian dollar today as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to announce its …
Market Summary The Dollar Index experienced a slight rebound as investors processed hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, particularly Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari’s suggestion to delay rate cuts until December. This shift in sentiment strengthened the dollar, influencing various markets. Crude oil prices retraced from two-week highs as investors took profits …
Market Summary After digesting Jerome Powell’s comments following the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday, the dollar erased all its losses from the soft CPI reading, continuing its upward trajectory. The hawkish outlook from the Fed stimulated dollar strength against its peers, while the bullish momentum in equity markets was hindered by …
Market Summary The financial markets experienced significant fluctuations in the last session, driven by two major economic events. Firstly, the U.S. CPI came in lower than market consensus, indicating easing inflation and boosting risk appetite. However, later in the session, the FOMC announced that there will be only one interest rate cut …
Market Summary The dollar index steadied in the last session, trading above the $105 mark, ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Market expectations are leaning towards a more hawkish stance from the U.S. central bank due to a tight labour market. Analysts predict that the Fed is likely to implement …
Market Summary The dollar index is poised at its recent high level, while U.S. equity markets eked out marginal gains as the market awaits Wednesday’s crucial CPI reading and the FOMC meeting minutes. Although the market widely believes that the Fed will keep the rate on hold, there is less certainty about …
Market Summary Last Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report rattled financial markets with a significantly higher-than-expected reading, far surpassing both market expectations and the previous month’s figures. The robust job data dashed hopes for an early rate hike from the Federal Reserve, as a tight labour market could potentially spur higher inflation, …
Market Summary All eyes are on today’s Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) and U.S. unemployment rate data, which could be the final piece of the puzzle for the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision this year. Recent lackluster U.S. economic indicators, alongside monetary policy pivots from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the European Central …
Market Summary The ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data released yesterday provided a preview of the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payroll report due on Friday. The dollar tumbled to its lowest level in two months following the disappointing job data, which reinforced bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut. This speculation of a dovish …
Market Summary Oil prices experienced their steepest decline of 2024, dropping over 5%, following the release of the American Petroleum Institute (API) weekly crude data, which revealed an unexpected inventory build-up exceeding 4 million barrels. This surprise data, coupled with OPEC+’s decision to increase oil supply in the fourth quarter, exerted significant …
* U.S. Dollar continued to slide as the PMI readings came short. * Seeking today’s JOLTs job opening data to gauge the dollar’s strength. * Gold traded within its sideways range despite the dollar having been weakening. Market Summary The U.S. dollar remained on a downward trajectory following the release of yesterday’s …
* Soft PCE reading hammered the dollar’s strength and improved stock market performance. * Eye on today’s U.K. and U.S. PMI readings. * Oil prices are expected to be hindered by the outcome of the OPEC meeting. Market Summary The highly anticipated U.S. PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, met market expectations …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar failed to sustain its gains following the release of U.S. GDP data that fell short of expectations, coupled with Initial Jobless Claims that exceeded market forecasts. This has prompted a slight shift in market sentiment away from the expectation of a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance. All …
Market Summary The U.S. 7-year note auction held yesterday saw tepid demand for long-term Treasury yields, resulting in a decline in bond prices and pushing bond yields higher. This development, combined with market perception that the Federal Reserve is not planning to initiate a rate cut policy soon, fueled risk-averse sentiment and …
Fundamental Analysis * Treasury Surge, Gold Purge: Gold prices fell on Wednesday as rising US Treasury yields increased demand for the Greenback. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose by six basis points to 4.616%, strengthening the dollar and weighing on the commodity. With a sparse economic calendar, traders continue …
Market Summary As U.S. markets resumed following the Monday public holiday, the implementation of the “T +1” settlement rule was overshadowed by a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed unchanged, while the Dow Jones declined. Fed official Neel Kashkari indicated that the Fed would maintain its …
Fundamental Analysis * Yen Woes: The Japanese Yen continued to weaken against the dollar following the Bank of Japan’s disappointing inflation data release. In April, Japan’s Weighted Median Inflation Index, a key indicator of the nation’s inflation trend, rose by only 1.1%, down from a 1.3% increase in March. This marks the …
Market Summary The market saw muted activity as both the U.S. and the U.K. observed public holidays in yesterday’s session. The dollar index (DXY) edged lower, failing to hold above the 104.50 level. This decline comes as the market anticipates signs of cooling U.S. inflation ahead of the PCE reading due on …
Market Summary The Dollar Index dipped as investors took profits ahead of key economic data and events later this week, including the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. With US markets closed for a holiday, trading in dollar-related products is expected to be subdued. Investors are also …
Market Summary Yesterday’s US data release surprised markets, with upbeat PMI readings exceeding expectations. The S&P Composite PMI reached a two-year high, while Initial Jobless Claims fell short of forecasts. This robust economic performance dampened hopes for a Fed rate cut this year, leading to a sharp selloff across both equities and …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar has strengthened, with the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing to its highest level this week, fueled by hawkish FOMC meeting minutes released in the last session. The minutes revealed that some members doubted whether the current interest rate level is sufficient to bring inflation down to the 2% …
Market Summary The US Dollar remained subdued as investors awaited the FOMC meeting minutes, with Federal Reserve officials emphasising the need for more evidence of easing inflation before considering rate cuts. This cautious stance has kept the dollar in check, influencing other markets as well. Gold prices stayed flat but slightly retreated …
Market Summary In yesterday’s market, the U.S. equity market took a breather after all three major indexes had risen more than 5% in May. All eyes are now on Nvidia’s earnings report due on Wednesday, which has the potential to spur the equity market further. In Asia, the Chinese stock markets also …
Market Summary Asian equity markets opened strongly at the start of the week, buoyed by the bullish sentiment from last Friday’s U.S. market performance. Investors in the U.S. are eyeing Nvidia’s earnings report on Wednesday, anticipating another AI-driven rally. On the other hand, geopolitical issues in Eastern Europe and the Middle East …
Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) found support above the $104 mark after two consecutive sessions of decline, as U.S. inflation showed signs of easing. The U.S. initial jobless claims released yesterday came in slightly better than the previous reading, providing some buoyancy for the dollar. While the U.S. stock market lacked …
Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) found support above the $104 mark after two consecutive sessions of decline, as U.S. inflation showed signs of easing. The U.S. initial jobless claims released yesterday came in slightly better than the previous reading, providing some buoyancy for the dollar. While the U.S. stock market lacked …
Market Summary Yesterday’s U.S. inflation gauge, CPI, rattled financial markets as the dollar index (DXY) plunged nearly 1% and equity markets jumped following a reading below market consensus. The April CPI came in at 0.3%, lower than the previous month, alongside flat Retail Sales data at 0%. This downbeat economic data has …
Market Summary The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Producer Price Index (PPI), was released yesterday, showing April PPI slightly above market consensus at 0.5%. Following the inflation data, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the U.S. central bank is likely to keep interest rates higher for longer to address persistently sticky inflation. …
Market Summary In the most recent trading session, asset classes remained largely unchanged as markets awaited key U.S. inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is set for release today, followed by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tomorrow. These figures are critical as they could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. In …
Market Summary On Friday, the U.S. dollar remained stagnant after being affected by positive initial jobless claims data, which hinted at an easing job market and potential measures from the Fed to curb inflation. U.S. equity markets continued their upward trajectory in anticipation of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Fed …
Market Summary Following the market’s digestion of last Friday’s soft Nonfarm Payrolls report, the dollar index (DXY) initially showed signs of recovery, inching towards the $106 mark and mitigating previous losses. However, the dollar’s upward momentum was abruptly halted by the release of the latest U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data, which surged …
Market Summary In the last session, the financial markets experienced relative calm, with the dollar index (DXY) maintaining stability around the 105.50 level, while U.S. equity markets remained near recent highs. Notable movements were observed in the bond markets, where the 10-year benchmark yields for Australia, New Zealand, and Japan saw increases, …
Market Summary The latest session saw equity markets mainly focusing on earnings reports from prominent companies, maintaining a relatively steady position amidst a broader economic context. While last week’s softer-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report temporarily influenced market sentiment, attention has shifted back to corporate performance as a key driver for stock movements. …
Market Summary The U.S. equity market continued its upward trajectory, buoyed by growing optimism surrounding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year, following the release of softer-than-expected nonfarm payroll data last Friday, indicating a slowdown in economic performance. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index surged over 1% this morning upon …
Market Summary Last Friday saw a notable weakening in the dollar, with the dollar index (DXY) declining to its monthly low following the underwhelming U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which significantly missed market expectations. This soft job data has fueled market speculation about a possible interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve …
Market Summary Following Jerome Powell’s remarks subsequent to the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement, equity markets rallied in response to the dovish tone from the Fed chief, while the Dollar index continued its decline. The Fed’s dismissal of another rate hike possibility, despite persistent inflation in the U.S., contributed to the Dollar’s …
Market Summary The financial markets were roiled by Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement. Powell’s dovish stance prompted a sharp decline in the strength of the U.S. dollar, while gold prices rebounded on the prospect of a softer dollar. Despite ongoing signs of inflationary pressures in the U.S, …
Fundamental Analysis * Sterling Spark: The British pound strengthened against the US dollar, buoyed by positive remarks from Bank of England officials and a decline in the dollar following the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate decision. On U.S front, the Fed maintained its benchmark rate within a target range of 5.25%–5.50%. The …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar surged and equities stumbled following the release of the U.S. employment cost index, which revealed a robust 1.2% increase, the sharpest uptick in a year. This data underscores the tightness of the U.S. job market and raises concerns about potential inflationary pressures. Investors are eagerly anticipating the …
Market Summary The Japanese Yen experienced a significant fluctuation, moving more than 500 pips against the U.S. dollar in the last trading session. This volatility was driven by market speculation regarding potential intervention by Japanese authorities after the Yen surpassed the 160 mark against the dollar. Meanwhile, market participants are also focusing …
Market Summary The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data released last Friday slightly surpassed market expectations and the previous reading, supported by recent positive economic indicators in the U.S. This bolstered the dollar index, as investors interpreted the data as a sign that the Federal Reserve may scale back its plans for …
Market Summary The release of the U.S. GDP data yesterday sent shockwaves through the financial markets, as the GDP price index surpassed both forecasted and previous readings. This has prompted market speculation that the U.S. PCE index, scheduled for release later today, will also exceed expectations, dampening prospects for Fed interest rate …
Market Summary The U.S. equity markets saw a halt in their two-day rally, primarily pulled down by disappointing earnings from Meta Platforms. As a result, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 were left nearly unchanged, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed lower. Market focus is now turning to Alphabet and Microsoft, …
Market Summary In the latest trading session, the Dollar Index retreated, failing to sustain its position above the $106 mark. This movement coincides with heightened buying interest in U.S. 2-year Treasuries, suggesting that investors are bracing for slower economic growth and potentially anticipating a Federal Reserve rate cut within the year. In …
Market Summary As we delve deeper into the earnings season, the spotlight shifts to the U.S. equity market, particularly with the impending release of earnings reports from tech giants such as Tesla, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet. Anticipation for a potential rally in the AI sector has fueled optimism among investors, propelling …
Market Summary As we head into the second quarter earnings report season, the U.S. equity market is poised to capture significant attention. Recent geopolitical events, particularly the unconfirmed reports of an explosion in Iran’s third-largest city last Friday, have injected volatility into commodities prices and bolstered the appeal of safe-haven assets like …
Market Summary The market was roiled by unconfirmed reports of explosions in Iran, Iraq, and Syria, adding to the already tense atmosphere following Iran’s recent attack on Israel over the weekend. Anticipation of potential retaliation from Israel contributed to heightened nervousness in the markets throughout the week. Gold prices surged above the …
Market Summary The U.S. dollar experienced a technical retracement, easing from its 2024 peak and breaking below the $106 mark. Despite this, robust U.S. economic performance and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance are expected to provide underlying support to the dollar. Concurrently, the easing dollar has allowed its peers to make gains, …
Market Summary The market’s attention has shifted from Middle East tensions to remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Powell’s recent speech signals that the U.S. central bank may opt to maintain interest rates at elevated levels for an extended period, given the backdrop of robust economic indicators and surprisingly high …
Market Summary In yesterday’s trading session, the U.S. dollar saw appreciable gains, buoyed by stronger-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. This robust economic indicator has led market participants to speculate that the Federal Reserve might delay any prospective rate cuts due to persistent inflationary pressures. Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, …
Market Summary Gold surged past $2400 per troy ounce, hitting record highs driven by geopolitical tensions and global uncertainty before retracing as technical indicators signalled overheating, prompting profit-taking. Despite this, gold saw a remarkable 20% surge since mid-February, catching investors off guard amid talks of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions …
Market Summary Gold prices surged to near-record highs, driven by a subdued US Producer Prices Index, fueling expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and bolstering gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset amidst escalating geopolitical tensions, notably between Israel and Iran. Meanwhile, the US Dollar initially stumbled following lower-than-expected PPI data but rebounded …
Market Summary The Dollar Index surged on the back of robust inflation data, surprising investors and challenging expectations of an imminent rate cut. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures outpaced forecasts for the fourth consecutive month, reaching 3.5% over the 12 months to March. This unexpected inflationary pressure prompted a reevaluation of …
Market Summary Market participants are keenly awaiting the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data set for release today, a crucial determinant of the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming monetary policy direction. In the lead-up, the Dollar Index (DXY) has experienced a downturn, struggling to stay above the critical 104.00 threshold. Concurrently, a decline in …
Market Summary As the financial markets brace for the forthcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement on Wednesday, U.S. equities presented a subdued performance, while the dollar index witnessed a modest decline. The anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting measures has been significantly adjusted, with expectations now set at a 60 basis …
Market Summary The U.S. labour market’s vigorous expansion, with the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report disclosing an impressive 303,000 job additions that exceeded both previous results and projections, accentuated the U.S. economy’s resilience and amplified concerns over enduring high inflation. Consequently, the Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a resurgence as forecasts about the Federal …
Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) briefly dipped below the pivotal $104 mark before rebounding in anticipation of the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, introducing an element of volatility into the market. Recent positive economic indicators, particularly the ADP non-farm employment change figures, exceeding expectations, have buoyed market sentiment …
Market Summary Gold prices have reached another milestone, currently trading steadily above $2300, as market sentiment leans towards the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut this year. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday reiterated the central bank’s stance, indicating that it will take more time to assess market conditions …
Market Summary The U.S. stock market experienced a significant decline yesterday, with all three major indexes dropping by approximately 1%. This downturn occurred as U.S. long-term Treasury yields surged to their highest level since last December, fueled by robust economic data suggesting that the Federal Reserve might postpone interest rate cuts. However, …
Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) surged by nearly 0.5% in the previous session, propelled by the robust ISM PMI readings surpassing the 50-mark threshold, signalling sustained economic growth in the United States. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s relatively dovish remarks last Friday, following the release of the PCE reading within expectations, …
Market Summary The Dollar Index extended its upward trend, buoyed by hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials and robust inflation figures, including the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hitting 2.5% annually. Concurrently, safe-haven gold surged to record highs amidst subdued market sentiment, although concerns lingered regarding the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting stance. …
Market Summary The Dollar surged as upbeat U.S. GDP data, surpassing expectations at 3.4%, fueled speculation of a Federal Reserve pullback on anticipated rate cuts, heightening investor confidence in the currency. Concurrently, safe-haven gold experienced significant bullish momentum as investors hedged portfolios ahead of pivotal events despite the dollar’s ascent. Eyes are …
Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) edged higher in anticipation of the U.S. GDP release scheduled for later today. However, it’s noteworthy that the U.S. long-term treasury yield is easing from its recent peak at 4.30%, which may exert downward pressure on the dollar’s strength. Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market, led by …
Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) saw an uptick yesterday amid favourable economic indicators, reinforcing the perception of a robust U.S. economy. Notably, the growth in Durable Goods Orders from -6.9% to 1.4% for February indicates ongoing consumption growth, potentially fueling persistent inflationary pressures. This development has caused a recalibration of market …
Market Summary The market exhibited relative quietness in yesterday’s trading session as investors positioned themselves ahead of Friday’s release of the PCE index. There is a palpable sense of confusion among market participants regarding the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming monetary policy. While the U.S. central bank remains steadfast in its commitment to implementing …
Market Summary At the outset of the week, market attention is squarely focused on the upcoming release of the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, scheduled for Friday, alongside remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell following the release. Currently, the U.S. dollar is supported by persistent inflationary pressures in the …
Market Summary Yesterday witnessed a pronounced rally in the dollar index (DXY), effectively nullifying the losses incurred in the preceding session, with the dollar now vying to surpass its prior resistance level at $104.15. This resurgence was underpinned by encouraging economic indicators, including robust job market data and PMI figures that exceeded …
Market Summary The Federal Reserve announced its decision to maintain interest rates in the range of 5.25% to 5.50%, consistent with market expectations. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s subsequent dovish statement indicated a commitment to rate cuts later this year, despite recent signs of inflationary pressure, as evidenced by last week’s Producer …
Fundamental Analysis * Yen Turbulence: The Japanese yen continue to experience depreciation against other currencies as the central bank’s reaffirmation of a dovish near-term outlook largely eclipsed any positive impact despite with BoJ interest rate hike. On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 0.1%, marking its first increase in …
Market Summary In the lead-up to pivotal interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), global financial markets are exhibiting signs of stability. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is maintaining its position above the 103.50 threshold, bolstered by last week’s Producer Price Index (PPI) …
Market Summary Amidst a flurry of economic data and speculation, the Dollar Index surged on the back of stronger-than-expected inflation figures, fueling expectations of impending interest rate hikes and bolstering US Treasury yields. Concurrently, crude oil prices maintained their upward momentum as the International Energy Agency forecasted a supply deficit for 2024, …
Market Summary The Dollar Index retreated from resistance levels, as market participants applied profit-taking strategies ahead of crucial events. With attention shifting towards the pivotal Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales figures, investors seek insights into the economy’s trajectory and potential interest rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, US equity …
Market Summary The recent U.S. CPI data, indicating a year-over-year increase of 3.2%, has caused a significant shift in market sentiment, suggesting a more cautious approach by the Federal Reserve towards cutting interest rates. This hinting at a sustained period of economic pressure that could delay the anticipated easing of monetary policy. …
Market Summary The U.S. financial markets remained relatively calm in anticipation of the forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, slated for release later today. This inflation data is seen as a critical determinant for market speculation on the timing of potential monetary policy moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Concurrently, expectations of …
Market Summary The US Dollar faces challenges as key employment indicators present a mixed picture, with a disappointing unemployment rate and hourly earnings figures contrasting with a robust non-farm payroll report. The US Unemployment rate and Average Hourly Earnings came in at 3.90% and 0.10%, respectively, both worse than the expected 3.70% …
* The dollar Index (DXY) continues to plunge due to persistent dovish messages from Jerome Powell. * Gold prices continue to break their all-time high level and currently face strong resistance at the $2160 mark. * BTC has rebounded and is back to $67000 territory. Market Summary The dollar is currently experiencing …
* The dollar index traded to its one-month low after a Dovish Testimony by Jerome Powell. * The soft dollar has pushed the gold to break its all-time high levels with strong bullish momentum in sight. * BTC rebounded and is back to $67000 territory. Market Summary The Powell testimony that began …
* U.S. equity markets pulled back from a previous AI rally ahead of the Fed’s testimony. * Gold prices are approaching their all-time high levels, fueled by risk-off sentiment. * BTC plunged more than 10% after it traded beyond its all-time high at $68980. Market Summary U.S. equity markets are showing signs …
* Gold prices are on the brink to hit its all time high ahead of Powell’s testimony on Wednesday. * Tokyo Core CPI came in line with the market expectation with an increase from the previous reading fuels hope for a rate hike from BoJ. * BTC surged to above the $68000 …
* Poor ISM PMI readings put pressure on dollar strength. * Traders’ eyes on Tokyo Core CPI due tomorrow to gauge the Yen’s strength. * OPEC+ will extend oil supply cuts to the second quarter of 2024 to avert a global surplus. Market Summary Last week’s release of ISM PMI readings, which …
The much-anticipated U.S. PCE reading, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, was released yesterday, meeting market expectations at 2.4%. The much-anticipated U.S. PCE reading, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, was released yesterday, meeting market expectations at 2.4%. As the market awaits comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding the PCE inflation gauge, …
The Dollar Index underwent considerable volatility, fluctuating within a range of approximately 0.3% in the recent session. The Dollar Index underwent considerable volatility, fluctuating within a range of approximately 0.3% in the recent session. This movement followed a mixed bag of U.S. economic data. On one hand, the last quarter’s U.S. GDP …
The Dollar Index continues to trade within a narrow range, exhibiting minimal change with a marginal increase of 0.02% in the last session The Dollar Index continues to trade within a narrow range, exhibiting minimal change with a marginal increase of 0.02% in the last session. Concurrently, U.S. equity markets find themselves …
Japan’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data exceeded market expectations at 2%, strengthening the Japanese Yen against other major currencies. The bullish momentum in U.S. equity markets appears to be tapering off, trading flat in anticipation of the crucial U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading. This data is poised to influence market …
The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. Conversely, the dollar index has maintained a subdued …
The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report. The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report, which signals a positive outlook for …
Wednesday, 28 Feb, 03:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision In November, the RBNZ maintained its interest rate at 5.50%. Nevertheless, the central bank had earlier indicated a possible rate increase in 2024, citing persistent inflation. Despite the economy technically being in a recession, global markets are bracing for a potential unexpected interest …
The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. As anticipated, board members expressed concerns about the potential risks of cutting rates too …
As the FOMC January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. Conversely, gold prices are surging due …
The US Dollar undergoes a notable retreat driven by profit-taking activities following recent gains, fueled by optimistic economic data The US Dollar undergoes a notable retreat driven by profit-taking activities following recent gains, fueled by optimistic economic data suggesting a delay in Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Despite the pullback, the dollar’s overall …
The Retail Sales figure disappointed at -0.8%, marking its lowest point since January 2023. This has fueled expectations for a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in May. The much-anticipated U.S. Retail Sales figures failed to sustain positive sentiment following the robust Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading unveiled last Tuesday. Despite …
The Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a moderation in its bullish momentum due to prevailing profit-taking sentiment in the market. The Dollar Index (DXY), initially bolstered by a positive Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, experienced a moderation in its bullish momentum due to prevailing profit-taking sentiment in the market. Nevertheless, the steadfastly hawkish …
January’s inflation exceeds expectations at 0.30% monthly and 3.10% year-on-year, reinforcing the Dollar’s strength. The Dollar Index hits a three-month high, driven by robust economic indicators, including strong job reports, GDP figures and US inflation. January’s inflation exceeds expectations at 0.30% monthly and 3.10% year-on-year, reinforcing the Dollar’s strength. Market expectations for …
Dollar in consolidation mode ahead of key economic data, investors are advised to continue eyeing on US CPI. The US Dollar adopts a consolidated stance in anticipation of key economic data, particularly US inflation and retail sales figures. Investors are closely monitoring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January, expecting a year-on-year …
After a four-week climb, the Dollar Index sees a slight pullback as investors engage in profit-taking The Dollar Index retreats after a four-week climb as investors engage in profit-taking ahead of key inflation data, influenced by positive economic indicators hinting at a potential delay in the Federal Reserve’s easing policy. The US …
Oil prices surged by over 3% yesterday, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East Oil prices surged by over 3% yesterday, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Ceasefire talks took a gloomy turn as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected the Gaza deal, deeming it “delusional.” This geopolitical uncertainty …
Several Fed officials have made consistent statements following last week’s interest rate decision and the disclosure of the Nonfarm Payroll. Several Fed officials have made consistent statements following last week’s interest rate decision and the disclosure of the Nonfarm Payroll. Jerome Powell and his colleagues have emphasised that the strength of the …
The Hang Seng Index has continued to show strength for the second consecutive session, with the Chinese government support. The Hang Seng Index has continued to show strength for the second consecutive session, with the Chinese government directing the China sovereign fund to provide support to the Chinese equity markets. In contrast, …
The dollar maintained its strength and continued to rise, propelled by robust economic data released yesterday. The dollar maintained its strength and continued to rise, propelled by robust economic data released yesterday. Higher-than-expected ISM PMI figures indicated ongoing strength in the U.S. economy despite elevated borrowing costs. The U.S. equity markets faced …
The robust U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report released last Friday, with a reading of 353k has significantly impacted the market The robust U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report released last Friday, with a reading of 353k, higher than the previous 333k, has significantly impacted the market. The data suggests that the U.S. labour market remains …
U.S. equity markets staged a rebound fueled by impressive earnings reports, and this positive sentiment spilled over to Asian markets U.S. equity markets staged a rebound fueled by impressive earnings reports, and this positive sentiment spilled over to Asian markets, including Hong Kong and China, which all opened on a positive note. …
Jerome Powell emphasised that the central bank is not in a rush to shift its monetary policy and has ruled out near-term interest rate cuts The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision aligned with market expectations, maintaining the rate at its current level. However, the notable aspect of the event unfolded in the …
The Japanese Yen gained strength following the release of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting minutes, where discussions about the potential end of the negative rate policy were noted. The Japanese Yen gained strength following the release of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting minutes, where discussions about the potential end of …
The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …
The U.S. equity markets continue to surge, propelled by a rally in tech stocks, notably led by Nvidia—the world’s largest chip maker. The U.S. equity markets continue to surge, propelled by a rally in tech stocks, notably led by Nvidia—the world’s largest chip maker. Optimistic earnings outlooks from Nvidia suggest that the …
Amidst positive US economic indicators, the Dollar Index remains stable, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Amidst positive US economic indicators, the Dollar Index remains stable, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Robust US equity markets, fueled by strong corporate results, counter rising Treasury yields. Gold faces downward …
In the financial markets, the U.S. long-term treasury yield held firm above 4.1%, contributing to a slight uptick in the U.S. dollar’s value on the previous day. In the financial markets, the U.S. long-term treasury yield held firm above 4.1%, contributing to a slight uptick in the U.S. dollar’s value on the …
U.S. equity markets saw upward momentum, driven by a rally in tech stocks. The U.S. dollar maintained a sideways trajectory as market participants awaited more cues from the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data that is due on Friday. Investors are keenly observing developments that could provide insights into the upcoming monetary …
The greenback experiences a slight easing as the U.S. Congress approves funding for government spending The U.S. economic data continues to underscore robust performance, contributing to the dollar’s strength. However, the greenback experiences a slight easing as the U.S. Congress approves funding for government spending, alleviating concerns about a potential government shutdown …
The U.S. dollar secured its fifth consecutive session of gains, continuing its upward trajectory following a better-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. The U.S. dollar secured its fifth consecutive session of gains, continuing its upward trajectory following a better-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. Robust economic indicators, including a rebound in the Consumer Price …
The U.S. dollar has experienced a resurgence, reaching its highest level in a month, propelled by a revival in U.S. treasury yields. The U.S. dollar has experienced a resurgence, reaching its highest level in a month, propelled by a revival in U.S. treasury yields. This rebound signals a departure from earlier speculation …
Dollar remains range-bound near resistance, with conflicting signals from the U.S. – robust economic performance juxtaposed with dovish Federal Reserve statements. The Dollar Index remains range-bound near resistance, with conflicting signals from the U.S. – robust economic performance juxtaposed with dovish Federal Reserve statements, obscuring its trajectory. Despite a U.S. holiday pausing …
Oil prices experienced a significant rally as geopolitical tensions heightened in the Red Sea. Oil prices experienced a significant rally, reaching their highest level in 2024, as geopolitical tensions heightened in the Red Sea. Following a retaliatory move by the U.S. against Houthi attacks on ships, airstrikes were launched, escalating tensions and …
U.S. equities climbed in anticipation of the upcoming earnings season, driven by tech giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Nvidia. However, gains were tempered as investors prepared for the release of the U.S. CPI U.S. equities climbed in anticipation of the upcoming earnings season, driven by tech giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Nvidia. …
U.S. Dollar displayed subtle strength, with investors redirecting their attention toward the impending release of critical U.S. inflation data (CPI) In yesterday’s market, the U.S. Dollar displayed subtle strength, with investors redirecting their attention toward the impending release of critical U.S. inflation data (CPI). As anticipation grows, the prevailing sentiment of a …
The reassurance from Fed officials that the targeted inflation rate of 2% may soon be achieved provided a dovish perspective in the market. In anticipation of the upcoming U.S. CPI release on Thursday, the dollar retreated from its consolidation range. The reassurance from Fed officials that the targeted inflation rate of 2% …
The U.S. job market exceeded expectations, leaving the financial market perplexed about the strength of the economy despite the prevailing high-interest rate environment. Last week, the U.S. job market exceeded expectations, leaving the financial market perplexed about the strength of the economy despite the prevailing high-interest rate environment. The diminished belief in …
The U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change exceeded expectations, reaching 164k, signaling the resilience of the job market. The U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change exceeded expectations, reaching 164k, signalling the resilience of the job market. Simultaneously, Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 202k, indicating a robust labour market. U.S. equity markets responded by trading …
The U.S. dollar strengthened, driven by the Hawkish narrative revealed in the meeting minutes. U.S. equity markets registered a second consecutive decline following the release of the December Federal Reserve meeting minutes. The U.S. central bank signalled an intention to maintain interest rates at a restrictive level for an extended period until …
The global bond market experienced selling pressure as traders scaled back expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. The global bond market experienced selling pressure as traders scaled back expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. The U.S. Treasury saw …
The U.S. dollar continued its ascent on the first trading session after returning from the New Year holiday. The U.S. dollar continued its ascent on the first trading session after returning from the New Year holiday. All eyes are set on the upcoming U.S. Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading scheduled for tomorrow, …
The U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading significantly dropped to 46.9, falling below both the previous reading and market consensus. The U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading significantly dropped to 46.9, falling below both the previous reading and market consensus. This suggests a contrasting economic landscape in the U.S. However, …
Despite dollar rebound, persistent speculation surrounding a potential dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve continues to exert downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. U.S. equity markets managed to eke out modest gains during the last trading session, contrasting with a pullback observed in Asian stock markets. The recovery in the U.S. 10-year …
As Christmas and Boxing Day festivities take Centre stage globally, financial markets are characterized by a tranquil opening to the week. As Christmas and Boxing Day festivities take centre stage globally, financial markets are characterised by a tranquil opening to the week. Major currencies, including the dollar, have maintained stability in their …
The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index falling short suggests a slowdown in inflation, contributing to the persistent dovish sentiment from Fed officials. The US Dollar continues its decline, with increasing speculation about the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, particularly after the latest U.S. economic data released last Friday. The U.S. Personal …
The US Dollar grapples with a one-week low against major currencies as investors await critical US inflation data for Federal Reserve policy insights. The US Dollar grapples with a one-week low against major currencies as investors await critical US inflation data for Federal Reserve policy insights. Disappointing Q3 GDP figures, revealing a …
Traders are eagerly awaiting the release of U.S. GDP data later today as they seek insights into the overall strength of the dollar. The U.S. equity markets experienced selling pressure yesterday, retreating from their record high levels. This downturn was accompanied by a rebound in the VIX index, known as the fear …
The U.S. dollar lost steam, with the dollar index retracing more than 0.3% yesterday. . The dovish tone from Richmond Fed president, weighed on Dollar demand. The U.S. dollar lost steam, with the dollar index retracing more than 0.3% yesterday. The dovish tone was reinforced by the Richmond Fed president, in contrast …
Despite the RBA keeping its interest rate level unchanged earlier, the meeting minutes indicate that Australian authorities remain focused on battling inflation The Japanese Yen has taken centre stage as it gains ahead of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) interest rate decision. The market widely believed that the Japanese central bank is …
The dollar index received a boost from a hawkish tone adopted by Federal Reserve officials, including the New York President and Chicago President. The dollar index received a boost from a hawkish tone adopted by Federal Reserve officials, including the New York President and Chicago President. This stance dampened market speculation of …
The Fed chief struck a dovish tone in his statement following the interest rate decision. Discussions around when policymakers might start cutting rates emerged The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision aligned with market expectations, as the U.S. central bank maintained interest rates for a third consecutive meeting. However, despite a positive Nonfarm …
Traders are on edge, awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today for insights into the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy. The eagerly anticipated U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading was unveiled last night, aligning with market expectations and indicating signs of moderation in the country’s inflation rate. In contrast to the …
Market focus is now trained on the impending U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, anticipated to influence the dollar’s trajectory. The U.S. Dollar is holding firm above the $103.50 level, buoyed by the positive momentum gained from upbeat U.S. job data released last Friday. Market focus is now trained on the impending …
The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. This unexpected …
Governor Ueda remarked on the exploration of diverse options to navigate the country out of its negative interest rate regime leading to a substantial 2% drop in the USD/JPY pair overnight The Japanese Yen staged a robust rally in the previous session, leading to a substantial 2% drop in the USD/JPY pair …
In yesterday’s highly anticipated release of the ADP Non-Farm Unemployment Change data, the dollar failed to gather momentum as the figure came short. In yesterday’s highly anticipated release of the ADP Non-Farm Unemployment Change data, the dollar failed to gather momentum as the figure came short. Persistent downward pressure on the dollar’s …
The latest U.S. Job Opening data, dropping to its lowest level since March 2021 at 8.73 million, offers a preliminary insight ahead of the crucial NFP The latest U.S. Job Opening data, dropping to its lowest level since March 2021 at 8.73 million, offers a preliminary insight ahead of the crucial Non-Farm …
Wall Street’s bullish momentum showed signs of easing, coinciding with the U.S. dollar stabilising ahead of the eagerly anticipated U.S. job data (NFP) Wall Street’s bullish momentum showed signs of easing, coinciding with the U.S. dollar stabilising ahead of the eagerly anticipated U.S. job data (NFP) set for release this Friday. Market …
Despite OPEC+ announces production cuts, oil traders remained unconvinced, leading to a nearly 3% plunge in oil prices overnight. The efficacy of these cuts is questionable as they are implemented on a “voluntary” basis. Despite OPEC+ announces production cuts, oil traders remained unconvinced, leading to a nearly 3% plunge in oil prices …
Market attention is currently focused on the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for today, with widespread expectations that further oil production cuts will be on the agenda, potentially fueling a surge in oil prices. The surge in the U.S. Treasury prices has led to a decline in Treasury yields, placing the U.S. dollar under …
Prominent figure on Wall Street, Bill Ackman, is speculating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is poised to cut rates as early as the first quarter of the upcoming year. Prominent figure on Wall Street, Bill Ackman, is speculating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is poised to cut rates as early as the …
U.S. long-term treasury yields have retraced to recent lows downside pressure on the U.S. dollar U.S. long-term treasury yields have retraced to recent lows, adding sparking discussions about the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates next year; this has added downside pressure on the U.S. dollar, with the dollar index reaching …
The U.S. equity market is set to return to normal trading hours after the Thanksgiving holiday; The VIX index reaching its lowest level since January 2020 The U.S. equity market is set to return to normal trading hours after the Thanksgiving holiday; meanwhile, with the VIX index reaching its lowest level since …
Amidst the Thanksgiving holiday, with the U.S. equity market closed, market observers anticipate subdued trading in the Dollar Index (DXY). Amidst the Thanksgiving holiday, with the U.S. equity market closed, market observers anticipate subdued trading in the Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices throughout the festive season. Concurrently, the trajectory of oil …
The scheduled OPEC meeting slated for the upcoming weekend has been deferred to November 30th, resulting in a nearly 1% dip in oil prices In an unexpected turn of events, the scheduled OPEC meeting slated for the upcoming weekend has been deferred to November 30th, resulting in a nearly 1% dip in …
Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. In a much-anticipated earnings release, Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. This unexpected downturn interrupted the recent winning streak in U.S. equity markets, dampening …
Nasdaq ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by anticipation surrounding Nvidia’s upcoming report. US dollar has slid to its lowest point since September Recent market dynamics have seen a surge in risk-on sentiment, with global equities rallying fervently. The Nasdaq has ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by heightened anticipation …
The financial markets experienced a relatively subdued session overnight, as lacking significant catalysts. Investor attention remains focused on the APEC forum The financial markets experienced a relatively subdued session overnight, lacking significant catalysts to drive decisive movements. Investor attention remains focused on the APEC forum, with particular interest in the meeting between …
The U.S. dollar staged a modest recovery following a notable decline on Wednesday. However, the latest U.S. Retail Sales data surpassed expectations, supporting the greenback’s upward nudge. The U.S. dollar staged a modest recovery following a notable decline on Wednesday, spurred by indications of easing inflation from the U.S. CPI report. However, …
The Dollar Index took a substantial hit, plummeting over 1.5% in the wake of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The Dollar index took a substantial hit, plummeting over 1.5% in the wake of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The data indicated a softening of inflationary pressures, leading the …
The US dollar remains in a holding pattern as investors brace for a week of pivotal events. Markets expect the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) will set at a 0.10% monthly rise. The US Dollar remains in a holding pattern as investors brace for a week of pivotal events. All eyes are …
Dollar staged a significant rebound driven by hawkish sentiments from Federal Reserve members, particularly emphasised by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly. The US Dollar staged a significant rebound driven by hawkish sentiments from Federal Reserve members, particularly emphasised by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly. …
The Fed Chair’s stern warning indicated that the Fed’s monetary tightening efforts are far from concluded, prompting a resurgence of the dollar’s strength. Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday sent ripples through the financial markets, disrupting the U.S. equity markets’ winning streak. The Fed Chair’s stern warning indicated that the Fed’s monetary tightening efforts …
The Week Ahead: Week of 13 Nov (GMT+2) Tuesday, 14 Nov, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (Oct) The recent consumer price index, which serves as a significant indicator of inflation, rose by 0.4%. Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that these increases might eliminate the necessity for additional policy tightening. …
The VIX index, a key measure of fear in the U.S. equity market, plummeted by over 20% in November, indicating a rising risk-on sentiment among investors. The VIX index, a key measure of fear in the U.S. equity market, plummeted by over 20% in November, indicating a rising risk-on sentiment among investors. …
Oil prices tumbled nearly 5% as the demand outlook dimmed. China’s upcoming economic data, promise further fluctuations in oil prices. In a sharp turn, oil prices tumbled nearly 5% as the demand outlook dimmed, exacerbated by a substantial surge in U.S. crude stockpiles revealed in the API weekly data. This surge implied …
In a significant market shift, gold prices have witnessed a notable downturn as tensions in the Middle East show signs of abating. In a significant market shift, gold prices have witnessed a notable downturn as tensions in the Middle East show signs of abating. Israel’s decision to implement a ceasefire for humanitarian …
Before the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report, the dollar index faced a significant setback following disappointing U.S. job data. In anticipation of the pivotal U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report slated for release today, the dollar index faced a significant setback, dropping nearly 0.5% overnight. This decline follows disappointing U.S. job data, …
The Japanese yen weakened against the USD after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its dovish stance. The Japanese Yen weakened against the USD, hitting its lowest level since last October, after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its dovish stance in its recent interest rate decision. Investors now anticipate a shift …
Gold prices retreated from the crucial $2000 level, pivoting attention from Middle East tensions to upcoming central bank decisions. Amidst shifting global dynamics, gold prices retreated from the crucial $2000 level, pivoting attention from Middle East tensions to upcoming central bank decisions, particularly those of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of …
Amidst deepening tensions in the Middle East conflict, gold surged past its pivotal $2000 mark, propelled by the expansion of ground warfare. Amidst deepening tensions in the Middle East conflict, the market’s gaze remains fixated on evolving dynamics. Gold surged past its pivotal $2000 mark, propelled by the expansion of ground warfare. …
The US Dollar experienced a relatively flat day, marked by robust GDP growth at 4.90% while Initial Jobless Claims worse-than-market expectations at 210K The US Dollar experienced a relatively flat day, marked by robust GDP growth at 4.90% while Initial Jobless Claims worse-than-market expectations at 210K. Gold markets adopted a cautious stance, …
The Japanese yen has weakened to a one-year low at 150 per dollar, raising the spectre of potential currency intervention. The Japanese yen has weakened to a one-year low at 150 per dollar, raising the spectre of potential currency intervention. Alphabet’s disappointing earnings report sent shockwaves through the US equity market, triggering …
Favourable U.S. PMI data, coupled with better-than-expected Eurozone economic figures, led to the dollar rebounding above the $106 level. Amidst improving conditions in the Middle East conflict, international leaders and the United Nations advocate for Humanitarian Pauses to facilitate essential aid access for civilians. Gold prices remained stable, but oil prices faced …
The US dollar experienced a decline of over 0.5% as the US long-term bond yield touched the 5% mark. Hamas militants freed 2 hostages while Israel delayed a ground attack and provided relief from the heightened tension in the Middle East region. Meanwhile, China’s surprising affirmation of Israel’s right to self-defence injected …
Israel’s decision to halt its ground invasion of Gaza has temporarily eased Middle East tensions. Amid diplomatic efforts to calm the Middle East conflict, Israel’s decision to halt its ground invasion on Gaza has momentarily eased tensions. Oil prices faced resistance at $90, leading to a decline since last Friday, while gold …
Despite visits by the U.S. president and the U.K.’s prime minister to Israel, gold and oil prices surge due to Middle East tensions. Despite diplomatic efforts by world leaders, including planned visits by the U.S. president and UK’s prime minister to Israel, gold and oil prices continue to surge in response to …
President Biden in Israel, leading global efforts to de-escalate Middle East conflict, causing surges in gold and oil due to regional tensions. U.S. President Joe Biden, alongside UK Prime Minister Sunak, stepped foot in Israel, leading international efforts to de-escalate the Middle East conflict. The heightened regional tensions propelled commodity prices, with …
Escalating tensions in the Middle East ahead of the U.S. The President’s visit to Israel cast a shadow. Gold and oil prices rallied amid stalled ceasefire efforts in Gaza. Escalating tensions in the Middle East cast a shadow as the anticipated visit of the U.S. President to Israel looms on Wednesday. Against …
U.S. President Joe Biden’s upcoming visit to Israel signals a show of support, bolstering market confidence. Amid escalating Middle East tensions, Western allies have intensified diplomatic efforts. U.S. President Joe Biden’s upcoming visit to Israel signals a show of support, bolstering market confidence. Equities surged, reflecting improved risk appetite, while traditional safe-havens …
Safe-haven assets such as gold and the US Dollar have experienced a substantial upswing in response to the deepening Middle East conflict. Safe-haven assets such as gold and the US Dollar have experienced a substantial upswing in response to the deepening Middle East conflict. As tensions escalated on the Israel-Lebanon border, with …
Market sentiment shifted significantly after the U.S. Consumer Price Index data exceeded expectations, along with strong Initial Jobless Claims figures. Market sentiments shifted significantly following the release of yesterday’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which surpassed expectations. Coupled with robust Initial Jobless Claims figures indicating a resilient labour market, investors are …
The dollar remains subdued due to the Fed’s balanced assessment of inflation and recession risks. The dollar struggles below the $106 mark as the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish stance, signalling a potential end to its rate-hiking cycle. Despite a stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), the dollar remains subdued due to …
US Dollar tumbled ahead of several crucial market events, including CPI, PPI as well as FOMC Meeting Minutes Investors navigated a cautious market terrain as more Federal Reserve officials echoed dovish sentiments, indicating the necessity of maintaining rates at a restrictive level to curb inflation. Anticipation mounts ahead of the September FOMC …
The dollar index lost momentum following a dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials. In a surprising turn, the dollar index lost its momentum following a markedly dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials, igniting widespread speculation that the central bank might maintain interest rates through 2023’s end. This sentiment shift occurred amidst rising …
The week started with a surge in gold prices, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East involving Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas. The week kicked off with a surge in gold prices, climbing nearly 1%, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East involving Israel and Palestinian …
Before the release of Nonfarm Payroll, U.S. equity markets exhibited a subdued stance, mirrored by the sideways movement in the dollar index and gold prices. U.S. equity markets exhibited a subdued stance, mirrored by the sideways movement in both the dollar index and gold prices, all eyes turned toward the eagerly anticipated …
The Week Ahead: Week of 9 October (GMT+3) Wednesday, 11 October, 09:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Sep) In August, there was a 0.3% month-on-month increase in German consumer prices. The economy is expected to contract in the third quarter and show only modest growth in the fourth. Wednesday, 11 October, 15:30 …
The US dollar plunged below the pivotal $107 threshold, following a mere 89,000 increase in private-sector employment in the last month. The US dollar faced a setback, plunging below the pivotal $107 threshold, following lacklustre private-sector job data showing a mere 89,000 increase in employment last month, marking its lowest figure since …
Japanese Yen Surges as USD/JPY Breaks Key 150 Level Amidst Speculation of Bank of Japan Intervention The financial landscape remains turbulent as global markets react to a host of impactful factors. The Japanese yen’s sudden dipped after hitting the pivotal 150 level has spurred speculation about potential intervention by Japanese authorities. Meanwhile, …
In a staunch show of strength, the dollar advances due to the market consensus towards the Fed maintaining elevated interest rates to combat persistent inflation. In a staunch show of strength, the dollar advances, driving the dollar index towards $107, bolstered by the Federal Reserve’s recent communication. The market consensus leans heavily …
The dollar index held steady, while U.S. treasuries maintained robust levels when the threat of a U.S. government shutdown was averted. Global equity markets surged on the heels of reassuring news: the threat of a U.S. government shutdown was averted, instilling confidence across the board. Although tempered after breaching the $106 threshold, …
US Dollar pulled back as investors took profits. Attention now turns to the upcoming PCE Price Index release for insights into US inflation The U.S. dollar, which had reached its peak since December, experienced a decline following yesterday’s release of U.S. economic data that failed to meet projections. Disappointing figures in the …
The Week Ahead: Week of 3 October (GMT+3) Tuesday, 3 October, 06:30 – AUD RBA Interest Rate Decisions (Oct) After two consecutive months of unchanged interest rates, economists believe this pause is meant to assess the impact of previous rate increases on the country’s economy. As the results show, the country’s inflation …
US Treasury yields continue to hit high levels, buoying by rate hikes expectations from the Federal Reserve. Gold dipped into six-and-a-half month low. The U.S. dollar continues its relentless ascent, fueled by soaring Treasury yields and expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes. Recent data, including a robust uptick in U.S. Core Durable …
In the realm of U.S. equity markets, the dominant theme remains the Federal Reserve’s resolute hawkish stance, indicating an enduring era of monetary tightening. In the realm of U.S. equity markets, the dominant theme remains the Federal Reserve’s resolute hawkish stance, indicating an enduring era of monetary tightening. This posture has cast …
Global macroeconomic worries drive hedge funds and retail investors to shed stock leverage. In the global markets, prevailing macroeconomic concerns persist, even as U.S. equity markets managed modest gains in their recent session. Notably, hedge funds and retail investors are unwinding stock leverage at a pace unseen since the 2020 pandemic crisis …
The consistent hawkish tone from Fed officials has spurred investors to withdraw funds from the equity market at a rate not seen since December. U.S. equity markets, alongside their Asian counterparts, are grappling with headwinds following a challenging central bank week. The consistent hawkish tone from Fed officials, coupled with warnings of …
The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. Investors grappled with the implications of the Fed’s …
Thursday, 28 September, 15:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Sep) In August, Germany’s inflation remained stable, as indicated by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Inflation in the eurozone remains elevated, and investors are concerned that additional rate hikes could potentially trigger a recession, further negatively impacting the country’s current economic situation. Thursday, …
Awaiting the FOMC interest rate decision, the dollar index halts, reflecting market expectations of today’s announcement may bring a temporary pause. In the lead-up to today’s eagerly awaited FOMC interest rate decision, market volatility has remained relatively subdued. The dollar index maintains its position above the $105 mark, reflecting market expectations of …
Gold prices have been increasing since last Friday, driven by widespread market expectations that the Fed will maintain its interest rates in September. The Dollar Index has remained relatively stable but at a robust level above the $105 threshold. This steadiness aligns with the prevailing sentiment in the equity markets as investors …
The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalized on upbeat US economic data where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalised on upbeat US economic data before the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming policy meeting, where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. Simultaneously, gold rebounded …
The market’s relatively muted reaction suggests that this uptick in CPI had already been priced in. Yesterday’s U.S. CPI release showed a higher reading than both the forecasted number and the previous reading. However, it appeared that the market had already priced in this uptick in CPI, and there was a relatively …
Oil prices continued their upward trend driven by the OPEC monthly report forecasting a 3.3 million barrel per day shortfall in the 4th quarter. The dollar index remained stable near $104.5 as the market awaited the release of U.S. CPI data, causing fluctuations in the equity and gold markets due to speculation …
Wall Street closed higher before the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for Wednesday at 15:30 (GMT+3). Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda’s hawkish statements over the weekend have contributed to the strength of the Japanese Yen during the Asian morning session. Ueda mentioned that the Japanese Central Bank …
BoJ Governor Ueda suggests that by year-end, sufficient data will be available to evaluate the sustainability of wage growth and inflation in Japan. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda’s hawkish statements over the weekend have contributed to the strength of the Japanese Yen during the Asian morning session. Ueda mentioned that the …
The lower-than-expected initial jobless claims has reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve may proceed with interest rate hikes. U.S. economic data released on Thursday has reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve may proceed with interest rate hikes on September 20th. This sentiment was supported by lower-than-expected initial jobless claims and …
The Week Ahead: Week of 11 September (GMT+3) Wednesday, 13 September, 09:00 – UK GDP (MoM) (Jul) The rate improved to 0.5% from -0.1%, a sharp increase in the second quarter of the year. The manufacturing sector experienced a notably robust month, with significant growth observed in both the automotive industry and …
The Dollar index has traded steadily at around the $105 level as the market anticipates further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. The Dollar index has traded steadily at around the $105 level as the market anticipates further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. Short-term U.S. bond yields have surged past 5%, …
Dollar continues to edge higher, amid rising US Treasury yields. Oil prices surge as investors anticipate OPEC+ might extend its oil supply cut. The Dollar index has surged to its highest level since March, while the Dow Jones index closed lower for the third consecutive session. Several Federal Reserve governors have expressed …
China’s equity market dropped, influenced by the decline of Caixin Services PMI reading, underscoring persistent challenges in China’s ongoing economic recovery. Last night, US markets observed Labor Day celebrations, resulting in a subdued environment across asset classes, marked by sideways trading. Conversely, China’s equity market experienced a morning session decline. The catalyst …
Nonfarm Payroll beat expectations, lifting the dollar. China reduced property down payments, boosting its equity markets. The latest Nonfarm Payroll report, released last Friday, exceeded market expectations with 187k jobs added, significantly higher than the previous 157k. This robust job data boosted the dollar by over 0.6%, while equity markets took some …
Dollar strengthened as U.S. economic data including PCE and initial Jobless Claims better than than market expectation. The U.S. equity market’s winning streak ended as the Dow Jones closed about 0.5% lower due to mixed economic data. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, matched market forecasts at 4.2%, while Initial …
Downbeat U.S. economic data continue to hammer the dollar and is struggling to hold above $103 trajectory The United States continues to release disappointing economic data, leading to a further weakening of the dollar’s strength. The labour market’s cooling trend is evident as the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures declined to 177k, …
The decline in U.S. JOLTs Job Openings signals a cooling labor market, leading to a significant setback of nearly 5% for the dollar. In an unexpected turn, the U.S. JOLTs Job Openings report displayed a decline from its previous reading of 9.17 million to the current figure of 8.83 million, signalling a …
US equities advanced as the dollar’s vigor abated after Jerome Powell’s dovish tone at the Jackson Hole Symposium. US equities advanced as the dollar’s vigor abated after assimilating Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole Symposium discourse. Powell’s subtly dovish tone vowed meticulous inflation management to foster risk appetite. Speculation also swirled around a softer …
The Fed chief has jointly reaffirmed his determination to combat inflation, which has strengthened the dollar. The Fed chief, along with the Deputy Governor of the BoE and the Chair of ECB, have jointly reaffirmed their determination to combat inflation until it remains consistently within the targeted range. This Hawkish stance has …
Before the release of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the dollar surged impressively due to the positive initial jobless claims data. In anticipation of Jerome Powell’s address at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium today, the dollar surged impressively by over 0.6% yesterday, propelling the dollar index to a current trading position above …
The Week Ahead: Week of 28 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 29 August, 17:00 – US JOLTs Job Openings (Jul) The market had anticipated a June reading of 9.610 million, but the actual figure fell slightly short of expectations, registering at 9.582 million. Given the current tight labour market conditions, this reading is seen …
A downward spiral has affected the currencies of the euro region, as the Eurozone and U.K.’s PMI numbers have fallen below the 50 mark. A downward spiral hit the euro region currencies, including the euro and Pound Sterling, as economic data revealed a softer-than-expected state of affairs. Both the Eurozone and UK’s …
Investor enthusiasm for risk-taking declined after technology-driven gains on Monday. Investor enthusiasm for risk-taking experienced a swift decline following a day of technology-driven gains on Monday in the U.S. stock market. Investors are now eagerly awaiting Nvidia Corp’s results, hoping for a surge in excitement around artificial intelligence. As the Jackson Hole …
The New Zealand dollar has declined and cannot recover due to China’s ongoing struggles in stimulating its economy. The Chinese stock market remains in a downward trend, primarily influenced by challenges within the property sector and limited Chinese economic stimulus efforts. The recent bullish oil prices have also hindered the much-worried Chinese …
Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, but global government bond yields increased, reaching a level not seen in 15 years. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the …
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting revealed that inflation may remain elevated. The dollar stands fortified after the release. The Chinese stock markets, including the Hang Seng index, are grappling with downward pressure due to investor pessimism surrounding the Chinese economy. Adding to these concerns, the release of the Federal Open …
Following the release of increased US Retail Sales data, the U.S. equity market experienced a decline as investors leaned towards a hawkish Fed policy stance. Last night, the spotlight was on U.S. retail sales data, which surpassed market expectations by coming in at 0.7%, an improvement from the previous figure of 0.3%. …
Chinese equity markets are grappling with selling pressures due to the nation’s escalating property concerns, which have cast a shadow over market sentiment. Chinese equity markets, including the Hong Kong stock market, are grappling with selling pressures due to the nation’s escalating property concerns, which have cast a shadow over market sentiment. …
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unveiled in the previous night’s session, yielding a mixed outcome. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unveiled in the previous night’s session, yielding a mixed outcome. While the reading showed an increase compared to the earlier figures, indicating a rise in inflation, it fell …
As the anticipation builds for releasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, the U.S. equity markets maintain their downward trajectory. As the anticipation builds for releasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, the U.S. equity markets maintain their downward trajectory. The market speculation is rife, with expectations suggesting a modest uptick in …
Moody’s decision to downgrade select U.S. banks triggered selling pressure in the U.S. stock market. Moody’s decision to downgrade select U.S. banks, citing escalating financial risks, triggered selling pressure in the U.S. stock market last night. The situation worsened as China unveiled its Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) …
U.S. equity markets resurge as Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway and Amazon Inc. showcase impressive climbs. U.S. equity markets embraced a resurgence yesterday, effectively putting an end to their four-day losing spell. Notably, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway reached an unprecedented pinnacle, while Amazon Inc. showcased an impressive climb of over 10% within the …
The unemployment rate in the U.S. improved to 3.5%, but the Nonfarm Payroll saw a reduction to 187k, resulting in slightly easing the dollar. Last Friday, the United States experienced a blend of economic indicators. The unemployment rate in the country improved to 3.5%, but the Nonfarm Payroll saw a reduction to …
The Week Ahead: Week of 7 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 8 August, 09:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Jul) In June, inflation rebounded, rising by 0.3% month-on-month, matching the preliminary figure. Currently, the market is anticipating the preliminary release of Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July to stay at 0.3%. Following the …
U.S. equity markets declined after Fitch’s downgrade of U.S. treasuries. Last night, the financial market witnessed significant turbulence as Fitch’s downgrade of U.S. treasuries sent shockwaves. U.S. equity markets experienced a sharp decline, with Nasdaq leading the losses with a plunge of over 2%. Simultaneously, the U.S. 10-year bond yield surged to …
The announcement of Fitch has downgraded U.S. treasuries immediately affected gold prices. Fitch, the U.S. credit rating agency, has downgraded U.S. treasuries from their pristine AAA rating to AA+. The implications for the dollar remain to be seen, but the announcement immediately affected gold prices, which quickly surged by nearly 0.3%. In …
After the release of the U.S. PCE data, equity markets responded positively, with Asian markets sharing the upbeat sentiment. Last week’s release of the U.S. PCE data sparked optimism in the market, fueling demand for risky assets on expectations of further inflation moderation. Equity markets responded positively, with Asian markets sharing the …
Japanese yen strengthened against majors. BoJ to discuss potential YCC strategy adjustments, sparking market speculation. The Japanese yen displayed strength against its major counterparts last night. The market buzzed with speculation as the BoJ unveiled plans to discuss potential adjustments to its yield curve control (YCC) strategy. Speculators opine that the central …
The Hang Seng Index and regional stock markets start the day with a solid 3% gap up on account of Chinese government’s economic bolstering optimism. The Hang Seng Index and regional stock markets start the day with a solid 3% gap up, driven by a prevailing optimism over anticipated economic bolstering by …
Japanese yen weakens as officials state no immediate plan to modify ultra-loose monetary policy. This week, major central bank decisions will be in focus, including the Fed’s rate announcement on Wednesday and the ECB’s on the following day. Investors will closely watch the CB Consumer Confidence released on Tuesday for insights into …
U.S. dollar surged more than 0.5% triggered by optimistic job data in the U.S. Asian equity markets faced declines, influenced by the U.S. equity market’s disappointing earnings results. Last night, Nasdaq experienced a substantial drop of over 2%, marking its most significant single-day decline since March. Conversely, the U.S. dollar displayed strength, …
The Week Ahead: Week of 24 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 25 July, 17:00 US CB Consumer Confidence (Jul) Despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to curb inflation through interest rate hikes, the U.S. economy maintains positive performance. Consumer confidence reached its highest level in June, rising from 102.5 to 109.7. However, Dana Peterson, Chief …
Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1% following the release of CPI data. Last night, the dollar index surpassed $100 following the release of CPI data for both the UK and Eurozone; as the Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1%, while the euro also showed a slight decline. The …
Strong quarter results from US banks spark optimism in US equity market. Strong quarterly results from Wall Street banks, Microsoft, and other major corporations fueled the US equity market’s upward momentum, while lacklustre economic data led to a dip in US treasury yields, signalling expectations of a more cautious stance by the …
The financial market was relatively calm last night ahead of the release of U.S. retail sales data scheduled for later at 15:30 (GMT+3). The financial market experienced a relatively calm session last night as investors awaited the release of U.S. retail sales data scheduled for later today (18th July). Major currency pairs …
The latest release of China’s second-quarter GDP has fallen short of market expectations which has exerted upward pressure on oil prices. Investors are wagering that the upcoming rate hike in July will mark the end of the tightening cycle, yet Federal Reserve officials are keeping their options open for a potential increase …
The U.S. dollar continues to decline, breaking below the key psychological support level of $100. The release of lower-than-expected CPI data on Wednesday has significantly impacted the financial market. The equity market has extended its gains, while gold prices have risen by over 1.5% following the data release. Conversely, the U.S. dollar …
The Week Ahead: Week of 17 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 18 July, 15:30 – US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun) Contrary to market expectations of a -0.1% rate, May’s US Retail Sales exceeded forecast expectations with a rate of 0.3%. This indicates that consumer spending remains resilient, even in the face of rising inflation …
US CPI released yesterday showed a two-year low inflation rate of 3%, leading to a decline in the US dollar. Yesterday’s release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealed that the country’s inflation had reached a two-year low of 3%, lower than the previous reading and the forecasted figure. As a …
Major central banks tightening policies, boosts Japanese Yen. The Japanese Yen has reached its highest level in a month, surpassing the 140 mark against the U.S. dollar. This surge is attributed to the growing concerns of a global economic downturn due to major central banks tightening their monetary policies to combat persistent …
FOMC meeting minutes spark demand on the US Dollar Last night’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes revealed a divergence of opinions among Fed officials, with the majority committed to further rate hikes in their ongoing battle against persistent inflation. The Fed is expected to continue its rate hike cycle this month, …
Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …
Solid US economic data continue to boost demand on US Dollar. The US Dollar has gained strength as economic data surpassed expectations. Meanwhile, the robust banking sector sparked bullish momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test results showcased the resilience of major banks, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, …
The Week Ahead: Week of 3 July (GMT+3) Monday, 3 July, 17:00 – US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in the United States has remained below the threshold of 50 for the sixth consecutive month, signalling contraction in the sector. The latest reading recorded a decline to …
Fed’s hawkish tone continues to spark rate hike expectations, US Dollar extend its bullish momentum. The global financial landscape is being marked by shifting monetary policies and concerns over inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone has injected confidence in the US dollar, as market expectations for a rate hike …
Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …
The geopolitical uncertainty saw gold rise slightly, while lending support to a crude oil market plagued by demand concerns Stock markets were rattled as the events over the weekend in Russia heightened geopolitical uncertainty. In a late-night televised speech, the Russian president condemned the leaders of the Wagner mercenaries as traitors, further …
The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has held power for 23 years, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. This development has caused concerns …
The Week Ahead: Week of 26 June (GMT+3) Tuesday, 27 June, 17:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) Ahead of the anticipated release of the U.S. CB Consumer Confidence data, the University of Michigan has published the Consumer Sentiment Index for the United States. It shows a monthly increase of 7.9% from …
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give his twice-yearly testimony before congress today The market is exhibiting cautious sentiment as it edged lower in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House today (21st June). Investors closely scrutinise this two-day testimony to gain insights …
Additionally, China has announced its first reduction in the benchmark lending rate in 10 months, a move that could provide support for oil prices. Last night, the U.S. Secretary of State met with the Chinese President and expressed satisfaction with the accomplishments of their trip. This positive development in bilateral relations has …
Improved relationships between the US and China could potentially lead to the equities markets surging Equities in the U.S. contracted last Friday after a bullish run in the past week with Nasdaq up by more than 3%. Notably, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s visit to China, including meetings with top diplomats …
The Week Ahead: Week Of 19 June (GMT+3) Monday, 19 June, All Day – US Juneteenth During the upcoming US holiday, the market is expected to be relatively calm, and it may be a suitable time for investors to take a break. Wednesday, 21 June, 9:00 – UK CPI (YoY) (May) In …
The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …
Dollar movement remains muted as investors await inflation data as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting The upcoming week is expected to be quite busy for investors, as significant events are anticipated to have a profound impact on the market. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, setting …
High jobless claims have weighed on the dollar and thrown a wrench into the market outlook on the Fed’s hiking schedule U.S. initial jobless claims recorded the highest level since October 2021, confusing the market which previously speculated the Fed might follow the footstep of RBA and BoC to raise rates next …
Additionally, a planned visit by the US Secretary of State has boosted indices like the HSI The Chinese government introduced an economic stimulus package, including lowering their deposit rate as soon as mid-June. Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of State has planned to visit China, which may improve the bilateral relationship between the …
The dollar’s value experienced a decline, falling below $104 following the release of disappointing U.S. service PMI data. The reading dropped from 51.9 to 50.3, prompting the market to reconsider the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hike in June. Investors are currently awaiting the announcement from the Reserve …
Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …
The Week Ahead: Week of 5 June (GMT+3) Monday, 5 June, 11:30 – UK Composite PMI (May) Rating agency Moody has warned that the UK is set for a mild recession, given the high inflation and borrowing costs. Inflation in the country is the highest among F7 countries, with an increase of …
A Bipartisan Agreement To Suspend The Debt Ceiling Is Now Awaiting Approval From The U.S. Senate The House of Representatives has successfully passed a debt ceiling deal to prevent a potentially catastrophic event. However, the process is not yet complete as the bill now awaits approval from the Senate, where not all …
Uncertainty Remains In The Markets As Both Political Parties In The U.S. Continue With Their Discourse Around The Debt Ceiling Issue The bill regarding the U.S. debt limit has successfully cleared its first obstacle at the House Rules Committee, but it now faces another challenge in Congress. Ahead of the bill’s debate …
Market participants are now eagerly waiting for the conclusion of a debt ceiling deal in congress Global markets experienced a mixed landscape as Western holidays provided a sense of calm for dollar-related currencies. In contrast, Asian markets saw a surge in positive sentiment, driving the Nikkei index to its highest level in …
Markets Risk-on After Positive U.S. debt Ceiling Deal Boosted The Dollar The US Dollar continued its impressive rally, buoyed by the optimistic prospects of a tentative debt ceiling deal between President Joe Biden and top Republican Kevin McCarthy. The deal aims to avert a potentially catastrophic default, boosting investor sentiment. Concurrently, the …
Shares for NVDA surged after a better-than-expected earnings report forecast for 2024’s first quarter Nvidia reported better-than-expected earnings for its fiscal 2024 first quarter, which led to a 26% surge in shares during extended trading. The company’s adjusted EPS was $1.09, surpassing the estimated 92 cents, and revenue amounted to $7.19 billion, …
The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …
Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …
The dollar has its highest since March as Fed meeting participants lean hawkish even as punters expect a hike pause in June. Important this week: the Fed meeting minutes released on Wednesday and more updates on the U.S. debt ceiling talks. The minutes for the Fed’s May 2-3 meeting was released yesterday, …
The Biden-McCarthy meeting on the debt-limit bill has yet to yield any deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. default, with U.S. Treasury secretary warning that the country will run out of cash in June. Market sentiment worsened as the White House has no more meetings planned; and gold prices have rebounded due …
Both President Biden and the House Speaker claimed that yesterday’s meeting on the debt-limit bill has a productive outcome but both parties are yet to come to an agreement. Meanwhile, U.S. treasury secretary Janet Yellen, reiterated that the department will run out of cash in early June. The dollar index has strengthened …
After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …
Optimism In The Markets Has Seen The US Dollar Index And Equities Rising In Tandem The Dollar Index surged, buoyed by upbeat economic data, and the optimism surrounding a potential deal to raise the US debt ceiling. Prominent Republican Kevin McCarthy expressed confidence in passing a bill to increase the debt ceiling, …
The dollar has hit a 7-week high after significant progress on the debt ceiling bill has been reached. Macroeconomic data has taken a backseat as the U.S. nears its 1 June debt ceiling deadline as outlined by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Unlike the hard data of economic releases, this is a political …
President Biden is confident in reaching a bipartisan agreement with congressional leaders to elevate the debt ceiling, effectively averting an unprecedented default situation for the United States. This development has sparked a wave of optimism, prompting the dollar to trade higher, while the safe haven commodity gold languishes amid the surge in …
Investors are rotating out of gold en masse on optimism surrounding the U.S. avoiding a default Both President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy struck an optimistic tone regarding the prospects of reaching a consensus to raise the national debt ceiling and avert a potentially catastrophic default on the debt. As a …
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has once again emphasised the need to pass the debt ceiling bill before June 1, warning that failure to do so could result in the federal government running out of cash to meet its obligations. President Biden is set to hold a meeting with congressional leaders today …
A bounce in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on oil and gold prices Equity markets were stagnant while the dollar has strengthened, driven by hawkish comments from various Fed officials stressing high inflation in the U.S. On the other hand, President Joe Biden and the country’s congressional leaders are going …
Investor sentiment has taken a hit in the market following the postponement of a meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and the House Speaker to address the looming debt ceiling crisis. The Biden administration is under pressure to pass the debt ceiling bill by June to avoid a potential default on the …
Markets have posted a slight rally after inflation came in lower than analyst expectations even as a debt crisis looms. On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the year-on-year CPI readings for April, where a rise of 4.9% came in marginally lower than economists’ expectations of 5.0%. Meanwhile, month-on-month core …
Ahead of the release of U.S. CPI, the markets remain subdued as most asset classes saw little change overnight. As investors await the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and monitor the development of the U.S. debt ceiling, the markets remain subdued. Most of the asset classes saw little change overnight ahead of …
The markets are quiet before the U.S. CPI released on Wednesday (10th May). U.S. equity markets moved sideways while the dollar index and gold prices have little change as the market is digesting the renewed banking sector risk as well as developments regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. On the other hand, Australia …
The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …
Renewed fears about the banking crisis have caused investors to turn risk-off even as gold hits a new high While investors are still digesting the recent rate hike by both the Fed and the ECB, the equity markets continue to slide with the renewed banking turmoil. Several regional banks in the US …
Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …
The tech-heavy index is up over 2.7% on the day, with companies like Meta Platforms leading the rise Nasdaq led a Wall Street rally driven by robust earnings from US tech firms, despite concerns over US economic growth. Meta Platforms saw the biggest gains after forecasting quarterly revenue above estimates, citing AI’s …
The euro has received a boost from a combination of hawkish guidance from the ECB and positive economic data in the region The Euro stole the spotlight as it surged to a record high following Germany’s upward revision of its economic growth forecast for 2023. The move is reinforced by positive indicators, …
Markets are risk-off due to fear of contagion from First Republic Bank’s imminent collapse Earnings season is ramping up, with results have been much better than market’s expectations. Tech stocks are leading with a 0.64% increase in the Nasdaq on Wednesday. Meta shares shot up 12% after the company posted an earnings …
A probable bank run and a far lower-than-expected drop in deposits have prompted market participants to turn to safe havens First Republic Bank’s disappointing first-quarter results with a significant plunge in deposit levels, had raised concerns about the bank’s financial health. This triggered a risk-off sentiment, driving the CBOE Volatility Index to …
With a 25-point hike already priced in for the dollar, investors have turned to the ECB’s hawkish outlook to price the euro The US Dollar slipped to a one-week low as investors pondered the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy ahead of next week’s meeting, where a rate hike is expected. Uncertainty lingers, with …
The U.S. is trading flat as the markets prepare for potential uncertainty ahead of GDP and inflation figures The King Dollar is trading flat as market participants prepare for potential uncertainties. The upcoming release of GDP figures, core PCE price index, and employment cost index are critical for global investors. Meanwhile, the …
Dollar weakness has leant support to the precious metal, which has climbed back to the near-2000 mark U.S. equities took a hit as concerns over corporate earnings weighed heavily on investor sentiment, a sentiment that spilled over into Asian markets. The market’s risk appetite has contracted due to fears of a possible …
The VIX dipped to its lowest level in over a year as equities trade sideways ahead of the Fed interest rate decision Asian shares traded lower, and U.S. equity futures fell as investors remained cautious after Wall Street closed with little change. The CBOE VIX volatility index hit its lowest level in …
The US Dollar is uncertain due to recent hawkish comments by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard on rate hikes. The US Dollar continues to struggle as uncertainty over US monetary policy lingers in the global financial market. Despite hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard …
Economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy will be bullish for oil prices China’s freshly released economic data has shown resilient growth in the country compared to the previous quarter. China’s GDP in the first quarter surged to 2.2% from the previous quarter’s 0%, a favourable sign that could potentially stimulate higher …
Equities are muted as markets await the expected volatility of the earnings season US index futures cautiously climbed during the Asian market session, signalling investors’ apprehension ahead of the upcoming earnings season. Against the backdrop of growing concerns over economic slowdown and the possibility of further rate hikes, market volatility is expected …
US Treasury yields and the Greenback dipped as investors recalibrated their expectations for rate hikes following the release of March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in below the market consensus. This unexpected dip in inflation triggered a surge in the prices of non-yielding assets such as gold and crude oil, as …
Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …
The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …
The markets remained clueless after releasing mixed signals in the U.S. economic data last Friday. Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded …
Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …
Recession fears have escalated in the markets, especially after the ADP Nonfarm payroll was released yesterday. The dollar index traded higher, and gold prices poised at a yearly high as safe-haven assets are being sought after by investors amid a recession looming with a lower-than-expected U.S. job report. On top of that, …
Evidence of a weakening U.S. economy has led investors to rotate out of the dollar Although a hawkish statement from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated for sustained rates above 5%; the market is struggling with the resurgence of banking fears. The newly released economic data, including the manufacturing PMI and JOLTs …
OPEC+’s surprise production cut has roiled Asian the equity markets U.S. equity markets continue to be bullish, with market sentiment continuing upwards after the banking sector woes. Asian markets saw mixed performance due to inflationary worry after a surprise move from OPEC+. The oil cartel further cut production by more than 1 …
Oil prices surged by more than 8%, with WTI crude trading above $81 for the first time since January after an unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut crude supply to tighten the market. The oil allies announced cutting more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, with Saudi Arabia leading the …
China’s economic performance continues to astound global markets as the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data revealed that the service sector activity in the country surged to its fastest pace in 12 years in March. Such sentiment has sparked optimism for the antipodean currencies, which are closely linked to China’s economy. The …
Wall Street rallied following the footstep of Asian equity markets last night, pushed by tech shares as concerns over the stability of the financial system continue to ease. An increasing risk-on attitude has also muted the gold prices and the U.S. dollar while U.S. treasuries yield stays flat. Before the RBA announces …
Has the banking crisis abated? Equity investors seem to think so, with the Nasdaq surging close to 2% on Wednesday as the markets assess a successful containment of the banking crisis caused by the failure of regional banks and one Credit Suisse. This puts the tech-heavy index technically in bull market territory, …
Driven by tech shares, as concern over the financial system eased, Wall Street and Asian equity markets rallied Chinese stock indices, including the Hang Seng Index, rallied as Alibaba said it would split the company into 6 units that would potentially be listed individually. This reflects a loosening attitude from the Chinese …
The banking crisis was seemingly resolved after yesterday’s news reported that First Citizens Bancshares Inc agreed to buy Silicon Valley Bank. On top of that, the U.S. authorities are considering expanding its emergency lending facilities for banks to shore up the bank’s balance sheet, which in a way supports the embattled First …
Focus has shifted back to inflation and interest rates as the banking crisis shows signs of easing Equity markets advanced and major currencies fluctuated in narrow ranges in the last session. Easing in the banking crisis and perceived lower risk of recession spurred the equity market to trade higher while modest rate …
Wall Street was hindered by the banking sector and slumped after investors digested the comment from Janet Yellen, U.S. Treasury Secretary on Wednesday’s hearing. However, Yellen attempted to alleviate market concerns during a subsequent hearing on Thursday, promising that policymakers would take further action to safeguard bank deposits if necessary. Meanwhile, Japan’s …
In a continued chain of unrelentingly robust jobs data, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm printed a reading of 242,000 for February, higher than an estimated 205 000 and up from a revised 119,000 for January. The service sector had the largest contribution to job additions with 190,000, of which a majority came from …
President Xi Jinping’s effort to stimulate China’s economy through increased consumer spending is facing a new challenge as citizens misuse cheap consumer loans. Borrowers are using low-interest loans to prepay mortgages or invest in stocks, instead of buying goods as intended. This practice, which is prohibited by regulators, threatens to undermine Beijing’s …
On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan left its ultra-easing policy unchanged, sparking heavy speculation that it could be prompting the monetary policy divergence between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve while defying market expectations it would phase out its massive stimulus program. In the face of uncertainties worldwide, the …
On Wednesday evening, November’s ADP Nonfarm Employment Change numbers were released, vastly underperforming expectations with an increase of 127,000 private payroll jobs, well below the estimate of 190,000 and the previous month’s 239,000. The leisure and hospitality sector was the largest gainer, with an increase in 224,000 jobs. The most significant sector …
On Wednesday, 24 November (GMT+2), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its 1-2 November meeting. Reflecting statements multiple officials have made over the last several weeks, the meeting summary concluded that a substantial majority of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) agreed it would probably moderate the pace of …
What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …
After weeks of campaigning, the 2022 U.S. midterm elections are set to be held on 8th November, Tuesday. With inflation in full swing and multiple signals of an impending recession, it looks the economy – more specifically the cost of living – might decide who the winning party is. All 435 House …
On Wednesday, 2 November, the US Federal Reserve implemented its fourth mega hike, raising interest rates by 75 basis points, or 0.75%, in its continuing fight against high inflation. This brings the current Fed’s benchmark rate to 3.75% – 4%, with rates expected to hit a ceiling at 4.5% – 4.75% in …
On Tuesday, 25 October, Rishi Sunak was sworn in as the new Prime Minister of the UK. The 42-year-old is the third UK PM in 7 weeks, replacing Liz Truss, who was PM for the whole of 44 days. Sunak comes at a time of great financial instability for the UK, with …
Recession fears are plaguing the markets more strongly than ever. On Wednesday, US Treasury yields hit a 14-year high, with the 10-year note hitting as high as 4.153% as of writing – the highest since 2008’s recession. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield rose by 13 basis points to 4.57%. More importantly, the 3-month …
On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released, clocking in at 208,000 jobs added, better than the 200,000 forecasted and August’s 185,000. While the manufacturing, natural resources, and mining industries reported a loss of 29,000 positions, huge additions in the trade, transportation, utilities; and business and professional services …
On Tuesday (GMT+3), the US released its year-on-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) figure, showing that inflation came in at 8.3%, higher than the expected 8.1% but lower than the previous month’s 8.5%. The month-on-month core CPI change, meanwhile, came in at an increase of 0.6% versus an expected increase of 0.3%. While …
The US will be joining its G7 peers in placing a price cap on crude coming out of Russia in a bid to both limit the Kremlin’s ability to fund its war, while cooling inflation and oil prices. The price cap has been set to take effect 5 December, the same time …
On Wednesday (GMT+3) 31st August, the ADP US Nonfarm Employment figures were released after a 2-month hiatus. According to the ADP, US private payrolls grew by 132,000 – down from the 268,000 in July and the forecasted 300,000 increase. The ADP took a two-month hiatus to revise its methodology and released June, …
On Wednesday, 17 August (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 26-27 July meeting. In it, the Fed has finally decided to take a step back to assess the effects of aggressive monetary tightening. For the past few rate hikes, which saw increases as high as 75 …
On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July was released, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.5% – lower than the expected growth of 8.7% and the previous month’s increase of 9.1%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile categories like food and energy, comes in at an increase of 0.3% …
On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US JOLTs Job Openings data was released, showing 10.689 million job openings, lower than the expected 11 million and the previous month’s value of 11.303 million. This is also the lowest in 9 months. Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, notes: “Fewer openings likely …
Elon Musk has pulled out of a protracted and tumultuous bid to purchase social media platform Twitter, making the announcement through an SEC filing. The deal was first proposed by Musk after he revealed that he had accumulated over 9% of Twitter earlier this year. Should the deal have gone through, Musk …
On Thursday evening (GMT+3), the US Initial Jobless Claims data was released, showing that 235,000 people filed for unemployment insurance for the first time in the week of July second. This is the highest since January this year, and up from the forecasted 230,000 and the previous month’s 231,000. Continuing claims, whose …
On Wednesday afternoon, 22 June, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made his semi-annual testimony to the Senate Banking Committee. In his testimony, Powell highlighted that the Fed was “strongly committed” to bringing down inflation and that the American economy is in a strong position to handle the continued rate hikes. However, Powell has …
The EU has announced a new series of sanctions in their latest proposal. Included is a plan to phase out Russian crude imports in a span of six months. This means a ban on all Russian oil, crude and refined. Enacting the sanction will be a major challenge given that Russian oil …
US shares plunged on Tuesday night (GMT+3) as investor fears about spiking interest rates, slowing economic growth, and rampaging inflation culminated in a rout. The S&P 500 closed the day by 2.8% lower to 4,175.20, Dow Jones slid around 800 points to 33,240.18, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite plunged nearly 4% to …
The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has warned that it would not be possible to replace the 7 million barrels of Russian oil and other liquid exports that will potentially be lost each day due to current and future sanctions. While the EU has not yet banned imports of Russian energy, …
On Wednesday evening March 23 (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a decrease of 2.508 million barrels in its crude oil inventories for the week of 18 March. This is in contrast to the forecasted increase of 0.114m barrels, and the previous increase of 4.345M. Meanwhile, a disruption in the …
Despite the regulatory risks, Chinese tech companies are doubling down on their bets on the metaverse, ranking in the top among companies filing for NFT and metaverse-related trademarks and patents. In 2021 and 2020, Tencent filed a total of 4085 patents while Baidu filed 3094, taking second and third places respectively behind …
On Wednesday, 15:15 (GMT+2), data for the February US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change was released. At 475,000, the number beat out the market estimate of 378K, although it is still lower than the previous month’s 509,000. Broken down, February’s numbers indicate a significant employment drop of 96,000 in small businesses, although overall …
On Thursday, 24 February, Russian forces entered neighbouring Ukraine, sparking what some are calling the largest conflict in Europe since World War 2. Land, sea, and air forces have been sent into Ukrainian space, with the country’s foreign minister saying that the country’s capital, Kyiv, has been hit by Russian rocket strikes. …
Rising geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West, combined with the effects of booming worldwide inflation, has caused the price of gold to soar. The precious metal is trading at its highest prices in over a year as investors seek the safe-haven asset in response to Putin’s increasing belligerent stance against Ukraine; …
On Wednesday evening (GMT+2), the US Federal Reserve released its meeting minutes, revealing its plans for interest rate hikes, as well as a “significant reduction” in asset holdings in response to spreading inflation. However, while its outward tone might seem hawkish, the details of the minutes lacked bite without any clear signals …
On January 5 (Wednesday), the United States announced the December ADP employment data. According to the ADP private payroll numbers for December, 807,000 jobs were added compared to estimates of a figure of 410,000 and the previous value of 534,000, the largest increase since May 2021. The minutes from the Fed’s December FOMC meeting on …
Economic announcements, or new events, are a widely followed aspect of trading due to their influence on monetary as well as political policy. Therefore, it is important to know which announcements are going to create the most impact and volatility so as to take advantage of their movements. Here are some of …
Fundamental Analysis * Cautious Approach: The Australian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar as markets digest the RBA’s September meeting minutes, which reveal a cautious stance. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s board discussed potential future interest rate cuts and hikes but concluded that the current cash rate remains the best …
Fundamental Analysis * Solid Green: Crude prices dropped by about 1% on Friday due to concerns that global oil demand growth might be affected by a strong U.S. dollar and negative economic news from various regions. The U.S. dollar reached a seven-week high against a basket of other currencies, with the Federal …
Tuesday, 5 Dec, 05:30 RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec) The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has predicted that rates in Australia have reached its peak, an outlook supported by the country’s Treasurer Jim Chalmers. The RBA rate is currently at a 12-year high of 4.35%, with just 2% of the …
On Wednesday, 12 April, the U.S. CPI data was released, showing that March’s headline inflation in the U.S. slowed more than anticipated, with the year-on-year number showing a drop from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March; lower than the expected 5.2%. The monthly rate decreased to 0.1% from 0.4%, which was …
An increasingly risk-off market has been proved right as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has released the minutes of its 31 Jan – 1 Feb meeting, signalling the Fed’s resolve to continue the fight against inflation. This includes further hikes, although almost all members of the FOMC supported a slowing …
On Wednesday, the U.S Energy Information Administration reported an increase in crude inventories by 2.42 million barrels, close to the market expectations of 2.46 millions barrels. This is the third consecutive crude inventory build, coming after an outsized 4.14 million last week. This makes it a rough 4% above the 5-year average …
On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet. Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the …
UK Prime Minister Liz Truss resigned last week, making her the UK’s shortest-serving PM at just 44 days in office. Truss’ term has been plagued by criticism for her mini budget program, which included the biggest tax cuts since 1972, but would be largely funded by a massive expansion in borrowing. The …
The Bank of England, the UK’s Central Bank, has announced this week a temporary gilt-buying programme to urgently respond to a “material risk to UK financial stability”. This comes as gilt yields were on course for record highs as investors exited UK’s bonds after the government announced underfunded tax cuts and increased …
On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for June were released, showing that consumer prices grew by 9.1% year-on-year, the fastest pace of inflation growth since November 1981. This is higher than the forecast of 8.8% and May’s figure of 8.6%. Meanwhile, Core CPI increased 0.7% month-on-month, higher …
On Wednesday, 6 April (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 15-16 March meeting. As expected, the meeting was focused on discussing the tightening measures that the Fed would take to rein in galloping inflation. Chiefly, the central bank has plans to shrink its almost-US$9 trillion balance …
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