AUDUSD, H4:
The Australian dollar is undergoing a period of consolidation against the U.S. dollar after rallying approximately 1.36% from recent lows. The pair is now trading within a significant liquidity zone, a development that represents a natural pause following its recent advance rather than a sign of underlying weakness.
The ability to maintain support within this zone will be critical for the near-term outlook. A successful defense of this area would suggest underlying bullish momentum remains intact and could provide a foundation for a renewed push toward the next key resistance level at the 0.6655 handle.
Momentum indicators continue to support a constructive view. The Relative Strength Index is advancing toward overbought territory, reflecting sustained buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence has broken above its midline and is exhibiting bullish divergence. This configuration suggests that upward momentum is not only present but may be accelerating.
Resistance Levels: 0.6621, 0.6655
Support Levels: 0.6588, 0.6555
ETH, H4
Ethereum has rebounded approximately 9% from recent lows above the $3,800 level, but the recovery now faces a critical technical challenge. The cryptocurrency is encountering resistance at a confluence of technical barriers, including a previous liquidity zone and the primary downtrend resistance line. This area represents a significant inflection point that will likely determine the near-term directional bias.
The ability to maintain support above the current liquidity zone is crucial. A failure to hold this level could trigger renewed selling pressure, potentially leading to a retest of the psychologically important $4,000 support level. A breach below this threshold would represent a significant deterioration in market structure and could open the path toward lower support zones.
Momentum indicators reflect this potential shift. While the Relative Strength Index has recovered above its midline, it has failed to advance into overbought territory, suggesting limited buying conviction at current levels. More concerning, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence—despite trading above its zero line—is showing early signs of a potential bearish crossover, often referred to as a “death cross.” This divergence between price action and momentum suggests the recent rebound may be losing steam.
Resistance Levels: 4277.20, 4510.00
Support Levels:4070.00, 3857.00
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