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Market Insights > Daily Market Analysis New

Crypto Market Sentiment Firms Ahead of FOMC Decision

Published: 10 December 2025,08:55

Daily Market Analysis New

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Key Takeaways:

*Crypto markets strengthened as expectations for a 25bps Fed rate cut today boosted liquidity appetite, keeping BTC near $90,000 and ETH above $3,000.

*Bitcoin ETFs saw a sharp $287.3M net inflow — the largest in weeks — signaling returning institutional demand and reinforcing the current rally.

*Despite the gains, market direction now hinges on the Fed’s statement; any hawkish tone from Powell could trigger a swift reversal.

Market Summary:

Digital asset markets are displaying renewed resilience, with Bitcoin holding near the $90,000 psychological level and Ethereum sustaining gains above $3,000. Over the past 24 hours, BTC advanced over 4% to a weekly peak before consolidating, while ETH reached a three-week high, reflecting a notable improvement in risk appetite.

The primary catalyst for the move is the broad market expectation for a 25-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve at today’s FOMC meeting. Recent U.S. economic data and commentary from Fed officials have reinforced this dovish narrative, creating a supportive liquidity environment for speculative assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Adding fundamental support, cryptocurrency ETF flows have turned decisively positive. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $287.3 million—the highest in several weeks—indicating a tangible return of institutional capital and providing a concrete pillar for the recent price strength.

However, the market’s near-term trajectory remains critically dependent on the Fed’s communication. While a rate cut is widely anticipated, any hawkish nuance in the accompanying statement or Chair Powell’s press conference could trigger a sharp reversal, particularly given the asset class’s recent fragility. The digital asset market, having rallied on the expectation of easing, now faces a binary outcome dictated by central bank messaging.

Technical Analysis

BTC, H4:

Bitcoin has confirmed a decisive shift in near-term momentum, breaking conclusively above its recent consolidation range and rallying more than 4% in the prior session. The move validates a developing bullish structure, characterized by a sequence of higher lows and reinforced by the formation of a double-bottom pattern—a classic reversal signal indicating strong buyer support at recent lows.

The cryptocurrency now approaches a critical technical barrier: the long-term downtrend resistance line that has defined the primary bearish structure over a larger timeframe. While a rejection at this level would be a typical reaction, a decisive daily close above this trendline would represent a major bullish structural break. Such a breakout would signal that the current advance is more than a corrective rally and could mark the beginning of a sustained bullish phase.

Momentum indicators support the constructive near-term outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is advancing toward overbought territory, reflecting strengthening buying pressure. Concurrently, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to trace a pattern of higher lows while holding in positive territory, confirming that bullish momentum is intact and accelerating.

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