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inflation

Showing results for: "inflation"

Inflation Takes the Wheel: Brace for Impact!

Monday, 15th April 2024, 14:30 – US Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar) According to the US Census Bureau, retail sales in the US rose by 0.6% on monthly basis in February. This reading followed a 1.1% decline registered in the initial month of the year, amounting to $696.7 billion, and fell below the …

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Yen Fell Amid U.S Inflation Data, Spark Intervention Fears

Fundamental Analysis * • Intervention Imminent?: The Japanese Yen has reached a 34-year low against the dollar, a level not witnessed since 1990, following robust U.S. inflation data that boosted the greenback. In March, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) experienced a 0.4 percent monthly surge, exceeding the anticipated 0.3 percent increase as …

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Pound Remains Defensive Amid Slowing UK Inflation.

Fundamental Analysis * Dismal mood: The Pound Sterling has fell against the dollar and its peer as the major pair remains at risk due to slowing UK inflation and negative market sentiment. On U.S front, several Federal Reserve officials discussed the monetary policy outlook on Tuesday. Loretta Mester, President of the Cleveland …

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Sticky Inflation Bolsters Dollar

Market Summary At the outset of the week, market attention is squarely focused on the upcoming release of the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, scheduled for Friday, alongside remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell following the release. Currently, the U.S. dollar is supported by persistent inflationary pressures in the …

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Fears Of Inflationary Pressure Drive Dollar Rebound

Market Summary Amidst a flurry of economic data and speculation, the Dollar Index surged on the back of stronger-than-expected inflation figures, fueling expectations of impending interest rate hikes and bolstering US Treasury yields. Concurrently, crude oil prices maintained their upward momentum as the International Energy Agency forecasted a supply deficit for 2024, …

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Dollar Flat: Investors Await Key Inflation Report

After a four-week climb, the Dollar Index sees a slight pullback as investors engage in profit-taking The Dollar Index retreats after a four-week climb as investors engage in profit-taking ahead of key inflation data, influenced by positive economic indicators hinting at a potential delay in the Federal Reserve’s easing policy. The US …

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Federal Reserve in No Hurry for Rate Cut; Investors Focus on Inflation Data

Tuesday, 13 Feb, 15:30 – US CPI (YoY) (Jan) Consumer prices for a range of goods and services surged beyond expectations in December, as reported by the Labor Department. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for 2023 ended at 3.4%, slightly surpassing the previous figure of 3.1%, while economists had anticipated a reading …

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Federal Reserve’s Stance On Elevated Rates Amidst Inflation Signals

Thursday, 11 Jan, 15:30 – US CPI (YoY) (Dec) The consumer price index surged to 3.0% in November, surpassing the Fed’s 2% target, indicating continued advancement. The Fed’s commitment to sustaining elevated rates until inflation stabilises is a focal point for markets, alongside their future signals. Friday, 12 Jan,09:00 – UK GDP …

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UK Nearing 2% Inflation Target

Wednesday, 20 Dec, 09:00 – UK CPI (YoY) (Nov) In October, U.K. inflation dropped significantly to 4.6% from the previous month’s 6.7%. The Bank of England successfully met its goal to cut inflation by half this year. This suggests that the return of inflation to the Bank of England’s 2% target might …

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A Week For Insights Into The Major Country’s Inflation

The Week Ahead: Week of 9 October (GMT+3) Wednesday, 11 October, 09:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Sep) In August, there was a 0.3% month-on-month increase in German consumer prices. The economy is expected to contract in the third quarter and show only modest growth in the fourth. Wednesday, 11 October, 15:30 …

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Insights on Major Country Economies and Inflation

The Week Ahead: Week of 7 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 8 August, 09:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Jul) In June, inflation rebounded, rising by 0.3% month-on-month, matching the preliminary figure. Currently, the market is anticipating the preliminary release of Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July to stay at 0.3%. Following the …

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Pound Sterling Hammers By Softer Inflation Data

Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1% following the release of CPI data. Last night, the dollar index surpassed $100 following the release of CPI data for both the UK and Eurozone; as the Sterling experienced a sharp drop of nearly 1%, while the euro also showed a slight decline. The …

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CPI Shows U.S. Inflation Softening

US CPI released yesterday showed a two-year low inflation rate of 3%, leading to a decline in the US dollar. Yesterday’s release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealed that the country’s inflation had reached a two-year low of 3%, lower than the previous reading and the forecasted figure. As a …

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U.S. PCE Shows Inflation Moderating

Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …

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High Inflation Across Multiple Countries: A Focus On Upcoming Significant Data

The Week Ahead: Week of 26 June (GMT+3) Tuesday, 27 June, 17:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) Ahead of the anticipated release of the U.S. CB Consumer Confidence data, the University of Michigan has published the Consumer Sentiment Index for the United States. It shows a monthly increase of 7.9% from …

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Markets Calm Before U.S. Inflation Data

Ahead of the release of U.S. CPI, the markets remain subdued as most asset classes saw little change overnight. As investors await the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and monitor the development of the U.S. debt ceiling, the markets remain subdued. Most of the asset classes saw little change overnight ahead of …

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US Dollar Dips as Inflation Falls Short. 

US Treasury yields and the Greenback dipped as investors recalibrated their expectations for rate hikes following the release of March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in below the market consensus. This unexpected dip in inflation triggered a surge in the prices of non-yielding assets such as gold and crude oil, as …

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Gold Surges Past 2010 as Inflation Shows Signs of Slowing

On Wednesday, 12 April, the U.S. CPI data was released, showing that March’s headline inflation in the U.S. slowed more than anticipated, with the year-on-year number showing a drop from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March; lower than the expected 5.2%. The monthly rate decreased to 0.1% from 0.4%, which was …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Stock Markets Mixed On Concerns Over Oil Inflation Risk

OPEC+’s surprise production cut has roiled Asian the equity markets U.S. equity markets continue to be bullish, with market sentiment continuing upwards after the banking sector woes. Asian markets saw mixed performance due to inflationary worry after a surprise move from OPEC+. The oil cartel further cut production by more than 1 …

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FOMC Minutes Show Fight Against Inflation Will Continue, Soft Landing Possible

An increasingly risk-off market has been proved right as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has released the minutes of its 31 Jan – 1 Feb meeting, signalling the Fed’s resolve to continue the fight against inflation. This includes further hikes, although almost all members of the FOMC supported a slowing …

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Fed Inflation Fears and Weak Demand Outlook Weigh on Crude

On Wednesday, 12 October (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook (SETO). Forecasts for 2023 revealed an average global oil production of 100.7 million barrels a day – down 600,000 from September’s forecast and reflecting OPEC+’s announced cuts.  Oil consumption for 2023 is forecasted to be 101 …

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Congress Passes Inflation Reduction Act

Despite its name, the Inflation Reduction Act does not, nor is it meant to ease inflation. Instead, the broadly-named $750 billion bill covers health care, taxes, and climate change in what president Joe Biden called a win for the American people and a loss for special interests. Some of the primary constituents …

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FOMC Minutes Reveals Fed’s Inflation Fears

On Wednesday, 17 August (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 26-27 July meeting. In it, the Fed has finally decided to take a step back to assess the effects of aggressive monetary tightening. For the past few rate hikes, which saw increases as high as 75 …

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Powell Raises “Unconditional” Commitment to Battling Inflation

Fighting rampant inflation has become the Fed’s main objective, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s words to the US House Financial Services Committee during his semi-annual testimony might have sparked more than a few fears about a recession. Specifically, it means that the Fed might be ready to cause increased unemployment or even …

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US Shares Rout on Inflation Fears

US shares plunged on Tuesday night (GMT+3) as investor fears about spiking interest rates, slowing economic growth, and rampaging inflation culminated in a rout. The S&P 500 closed the day by 2.8% lower to 4,175.20, Dow Jones slid around 800 points to 33,240.18, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite plunged nearly 4% to …

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How to Diversify Your Portfolio for Inflation

While most investors will greet inflation as bad news, moderate, consistent inflation is healthy for the economy, promoting productivity and driving demand and consumption. However, high inflation can also erode the value of cash – often at a much quicker rate than income increases. Other assets, however, can grow with and even …

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Inflation

What is inflation?We’ve spoken about inflation a lot in this module, and in case you haven’t got it yet; put simply inflation is ‘Rising prices’. It can also be described as the sustained increase in the prices of goods and services. What does inflation do?Inflation causes what we call an erosion of the …

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Oil Prices Plummet On Strong U.S. Crude Inventories Build-up

Market Summary The U.S. dollar experienced a technical retracement, easing from its 2024 peak and breaking below the $106 mark. Despite this, robust U.S. economic performance and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance are expected to provide underlying support to the dollar. Concurrently, the easing dollar has allowed its peers to make gains, …

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Dollar Fuels By Powell Hawkish Statement

Market Summary The market’s attention has shifted from Middle East tensions to remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Powell’s recent speech signals that the U.S. central bank may opt to maintain interest rates at elevated levels for an extended period, given the backdrop of robust economic indicators and surprisingly high …

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Pound Sterling Decline Amid Weak UK Employment Data

Fundamental Analysis * Sterling Stumble: The British Pound has resumed its downward trend against the dollar, following lackluster UK employment data. This has fueled speculation that the Bank of England could initiate rate cuts sooner than expected, leading to a decline in the value of the GBP.The number of claimants for unemployment …

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Upbeat U.S. Retail Sales Boost Dollar

Market Summary In yesterday’s trading session, the U.S. dollar saw appreciable gains, buoyed by stronger-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. This robust economic indicator has led market participants to speculate that the Federal Reserve might delay any prospective rate cuts due to persistent inflationary pressures. Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, …

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Safe-Haven Surge Amid Rising Middle East Tensions

Market Summary Gold surged past $2400 per troy ounce, hitting record highs driven by geopolitical tensions and global uncertainty before retracing as technical indicators signalled overheating, prompting profit-taking. Despite this, gold saw a remarkable 20% surge since mid-February, catching investors off guard amid talks of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions …

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Gold Surges On Escalating Middle East Tensions

Market Summary Gold prices surged to near-record highs, driven by a subdued US Producer Prices Index, fueling expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and bolstering gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset amidst escalating geopolitical tensions, notably between Israel and Iran. Meanwhile, the US Dollar initially stumbled following lower-than-expected PPI data but rebounded …

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Dollar Surges on CPI Beat, Gold Pressured

Market Summary The Dollar Index surged on the back of robust inflation data, surprising investors and challenging expectations of an imminent rate cut. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures outpaced forecasts for the fourth consecutive month, reaching 3.5% over the 12 months to March. This unexpected inflationary pressure prompted a reevaluation of …

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All Eye on the U.S. CPI

Market Summary Market participants are keenly awaiting the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data set for release today, a crucial determinant of the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming monetary policy direction. In the lead-up, the Dollar Index (DXY) has experienced a downturn, struggling to stay above the critical 104.00 threshold. Concurrently, a decline in …

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Gold Prices At All-Time High Ahead Of CPI

Market Summary As the financial markets brace for the forthcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement on Wednesday, U.S. equities presented a subdued performance, while the dollar index witnessed a modest decline. The anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting measures has been significantly adjusted, with expectations now set at a 60 basis …

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Euro Held Steady Following Dollar Weakness, Eye On ECB

Fundamental Analysis * Euro Rides High: EUR/USD remains steady and post modest gains against the dollar as the current weakness in greenback currently offering some support to the major pair due to market cautiousness while investors currently eyeing on the ECB. The greenback fluctuated following a slowdown in services growth followed by …

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Strong NFP Bolsters The Dollar

Market Summary The U.S. labour market’s vigorous expansion, with the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report disclosing an impressive 303,000 job additions that exceeded both previous results and projections, accentuated the U.S. economy’s resilience and amplified concerns over enduring high inflation. Consequently, the Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a resurgence as forecasts about the Federal …

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Rate Rumble: RBNZ, BoC, And ECB Take Centre Stage

Wednesday, 10th April 2024, 04:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision The New Zealand central bank maintain its benchmark interest rate at 5.50% as expected during its previous meeting. While there was no surprise of the central bank paused rates, the less hawkish tone was a surprise as 23% of the market surveyed …

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Dollar Buoys By Optimistic NFP Expectation

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) briefly dipped below the pivotal $104 mark before rebounding in anticipation of the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, introducing an element of volatility into the market. Recent positive economic indicators, particularly the ADP non-farm employment change figures, exceeding expectations, have buoyed market sentiment …

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Bullish Gold Trades To All-Time High

Market Summary Gold prices have reached another milestone, currently trading steadily above $2300, as market sentiment leans towards the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut this year. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday reiterated the central bank’s stance, indicating that it will take more time to assess market conditions …

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Oil Price Rose On Supply Concerns

Fundamental Analysis * Supply Fears: Oil prices continue to climb amid concerns over reduced supply, as major producers continued to enforce output cuts, coupled with signs of robust economic expansion in the United States, the world’s largest oil consumer. The oil price is boosted by Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries, disrupting fuel …

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Upbeat PMI Readings Bolsters Dollar

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) surged by nearly 0.5% in the previous session, propelled by the robust ISM PMI readings surpassing the 50-mark threshold, signalling sustained economic growth in the United States. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s relatively dovish remarks last Friday, following the release of the PCE reading within expectations, …

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AUD/USD Plunged Amid Dovish RBA

Fundamental Analysis * RBA Bombshell: The Aussie dollar have plunged against the dollar after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have delivered a dovish statement in its meeting minutes. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released the minutes from its March monetary policy meeting, revealing that the board did not entertain the …

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Dollar Dominance: Fed’s Hawkish Remarks

Market Summary The Dollar Index extended its upward trend, buoyed by hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials and robust inflation figures, including the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hitting 2.5% annually. Concurrently, safe-haven gold surged to record highs amidst subdued market sentiment, although concerns lingered regarding the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting stance. …

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Market Welcomes Easter, Will Data Egg-cites Next Week?

Monday, 1st April 2024, 16:00 – ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar) In February, economic activity within the U.S. manufacturing sector continued its contraction for the 16th consecutive month in February with the data stood 47.8 against 49.1 recorded in January, according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The contraction was due to …

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Dollar Gains On Upbeat U.S. GDP Data

Market Summary The Dollar surged as upbeat U.S. GDP data, surpassing expectations at 3.4%, fueled speculation of a Federal Reserve pullback on anticipated rate cuts, heightening investor confidence in the currency. Concurrently, safe-haven gold experienced significant bullish momentum as investors hedged portfolios ahead of pivotal events despite the dollar’s ascent. Eyes are …

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Gold Price Near Record High Following Economic Uncertainty

Fundamental Analysis * Golden Resistance: The price of the yellow metal continues to exhibit strength as the market continues to seek safe haven amidst mounting economic worries and the potential for interest rate cut. One major driver behind gold’s rapid rise is the ongoing accumulation of physical gold by central banks globally. …

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U.S. Equity Market Rally Ahead of GDP

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) edged higher in anticipation of the U.S. GDP release scheduled for later today. However, it’s noteworthy that the U.S. long-term treasury yield is easing from its recent peak at 4.30%, which may exert downward pressure on the dollar’s strength. Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market, led by …

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Dollar Bolsters By Upbeat Economic Data

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) saw an uptick yesterday amid favourable economic indicators, reinforcing the perception of a robust U.S. economy. Notably, the growth in Durable Goods Orders from -6.9% to 1.4% for February indicates ongoing consumption growth, potentially fueling persistent inflationary pressures. This development has caused a recalibration of market …

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Euro Fell On Strong Dollar, Dovish ECB Outlook

Fundamental Analysis * Dipping Euro: The Euro has slipped against the greenback from its weekly high following a buoyant USD supported by positive data and dovish signals from ECB. The US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders in February increased by 1.4% compared to the previous month, surpassing expectations of 1.1% …

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Market Trades Dully Ahead Of PCE

Market Summary The market exhibited relative quietness in yesterday’s trading session as investors positioned themselves ahead of Friday’s release of the PCE index. There is a palpable sense of confusion among market participants regarding the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming monetary policy. While the U.S. central bank remains steadfast in its commitment to implementing …

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Fed’s Dovish Surprise: Will PCE Amplify Further Next Week?

Tuesday, 26 March 2024, 14:30 – U.S Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb) In January, the U.S durable goods orders have fell 6.1% vs -4.5% expected, marking the largest decrease in nearly four years, while business investment in equipment appeared to have eased, indicating a decrease in economic momentum at the beginning of …

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Swiss Franc Plunges Following SNB Surprise Rate Cut

Fundamental Analysis * SNB Surprise: The Swiss Franc experienced a sharp decline against the dollar and its peers after the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.50% in its March meeting held on Thursday. The SNB decided to lower interest rates in response …

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Dollar Dive on Fed’s Dovish Statement

Market Summary The Federal Reserve announced its decision to maintain interest rates in the range of 5.25% to 5.50%, consistent with market expectations. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s subsequent dovish statement indicated a commitment to rate cuts later this year, despite recent signs of inflationary pressure, as evidenced by last week’s Producer …

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BoJ Dovish Rate Hike Weaken Japanese Yen

Market Summary The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has concluded its era of negative interest rates with its first rate hike since 2007, simultaneously ending its yield curve control (YCC) policy. Despite this adjustment, the Japanese central bank will persist in purchasing the country’s government bonds. This move has been characterised by the …

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Gold Price Rebounds Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

Market Summary In the lead-up to pivotal interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), global financial markets are exhibiting signs of stability. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is maintaining its position above the 103.50 threshold, bolstered by last week’s Producer Price Index (PPI) …

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All Eye On BoJ Interest Rate Decision

Market Summary The financial markets are bracing for a flurry of events this week, with central banks including the Bank of Japan (BoJ), the Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Bank of England (BoE) all set to announce their monetary policy decisions. All eyes are particularly focused on the BoJ, where there is …

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Yen Slips On BoJ’s Continued Loose Policy Expectation

Fundamental Analysis * BoJ’s Ultra-Loose Policy Hopes Soar: The Japanese Yen continue to weaken against the greenback amid anticipations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will maintain its expansionary policy stance during the upcoming meeting on Tuesday. Currently, numerous underlying factors support the possibility of the BoJ moving away from negative interest …

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Central Banks’ Rate Decision: The Week to Watch.

Tuesday, 19 March 2024, 05:30 – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Mar) The RBA maintained the cash rate steady at 4.35% during its February meeting as widely expected by analysts. Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock previously indicates her skepticism regarding the sustainability of inflation returning to the target level. Hence, the market expects …

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GBP/USD Fell Amid Strong U.S Data, BoE Governor Comments

Fundamental Analysis * Renewed Greenback: The pound sterling has fallen against the dollar after robust U.S data, which has led to a resurgence in demand for the greenback. Data released by the US Census Bureau on Thursday indicated that U.S Retail Sales surged by 0.6% month-over-month (MoM) in February, rebounding from a …

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Dollar Flat, Eye On Pivotal Economic Data

Market Summary The Dollar Index retreated from resistance levels, as market participants applied profit-taking strategies ahead of crucial events. With attention shifting towards the pivotal Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales figures, investors seek insights into the economy’s trajectory and potential interest rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, US equity …

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WTI Surges On Inventory Dips And Geopolitical Woes

Fundamental Analysis * Fueling Momentum: The price of crude oil has soared as supply concerns intensified and rising geopolitical risk that threaten to underwhelm supply. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealed that crude oil stockpiles fell by 1.5 million barrels in the prior week, a figure below the anticipated 1.34-million-barrel rise …

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U.S. CPI Top Estimation Strengthening Dollar

Market Summary The recent U.S. CPI data, indicating a year-over-year increase of 3.2%, has caused a significant shift in market sentiment, suggesting a more cautious approach by the Federal Reserve towards cutting interest rates. This hinting at a sustained period of economic pressure that could delay the anticipated easing of monetary policy. …

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Loonie Weakens On U.S Data, Canada Economy Concern

Fundamental Analysis * U.S data drift, Canadian woes: The Canadian Loonie has fell against the dollar as stronger-than-anticipated US inflation report weigh on market sentiment. The US inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), unexpectedly increased to 3.2% YoY in February, keeping the Federal Reserve (Fed) on course to wait …

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Financial Market Stall Ahead Of CPI

Market Summary The U.S. financial markets remained relatively calm in anticipation of the forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, slated for release later today. This inflation data is seen as a critical determinant for market speculation on the timing of potential monetary policy moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Concurrently, expectations of …

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USD/JPY Drops On BoJ’s Negative Rate Exit Speculation

Fundamental Analysis * Firm Rate Hike Bets: USD/JPY continue to extend its losing streak amid increasing expectation that the BoJ will shift away from its expansionary interest rate stance in the March monetary policy meeting. BoJ officials have suggested a prolonged period of favorable wage trends, aiming to maintain inflation consistently above …

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Gold Surges To Record Highs As Gloomy Outlook

Market Summary The US Dollar faces challenges as key employment indicators present a mixed picture, with a disappointing unemployment rate and hourly earnings figures contrasting with a robust non-farm payroll report. The US Unemployment rate and Average Hourly Earnings came in at 3.90% and 0.10%, respectively, both worse than the expected 3.70% …

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Powell Promises Rate Cut, Will Next Week CPI Report Impact?

Tuesday, 12 March 2024, 14:30 – U.S CPI (YoY) (Feb) In January, the annual rate of inflation dropped less than expected to 3.1% from 3.4% in December. Numerous economists and Federal Reserve officials have cautioned that the final push to bring inflation back to the bank target of 2% would be a …

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Dollar Faces Strong Headwind From Dovish Fed

* The dollar Index (DXY) continues to plunge due to persistent dovish messages from Jerome Powell. * Gold prices continue to break their all-time high level and currently face strong resistance at the $2160 mark. * BTC has rebounded and is back to $67000 territory. Market Summary The dollar is currently experiencing …

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Trade Of The Day: Pound Surges Post-Fed, BoE Rate Cuts Expected

Fundamental Analysis * Post-Fed Rate Cut Hopes: The Pound Sterling has exhibited strength against the US Dollar, driven by investor optimism regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE) after rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Market consensus anticipates rate adjustments during the upcoming June and August policy …

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Trade Of The Day: Euro Soars On Upbeat Data And Powell’s Remarks

 Fundamental Analysis Eurozone Booms: Powell Sparks Buzz: The EUR/USD climbs to five-week high after the release of Eurozone Retail Sales data showed shoppers continued spending liberally in January and Fed’s Powell affirms hopeful inflation outlook. On the data front, Eurozone Retail Sales experienced a milder-than-expected decline of 1.0% at the beginning of …

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Financial Market Await Powell’s Testimony

* Gold prices are on the brink to hit its all time high ahead of Powell’s testimony on Wednesday. * Tokyo Core CPI came in line with the market expectation with an increase from the previous reading fuels hope for a rate hike from BoJ. * BTC surged to above the $68000 …

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Poor PMI Reading Weigh On Dollar’s Strength

* Poor ISM PMI readings put pressure on dollar strength. * Traders’ eyes on Tokyo Core CPI due tomorrow to gauge the Yen’s strength.  * OPEC+ will extend oil supply cuts to the second quarter of 2024 to avert a global surplus.   Market Summary Last week’s release of ISM PMI readings, which …

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Will U.S Jobs Data Make or Break Dollar Next Week?

Wednesday, 6 March, 15:15 – ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb) In January, private payroll growth decelerated to 107,000, falling short of expectations and reflecting a decrease from the downwardly revised figure of 158,000 in December. While this data implies a prudent commencement in the private sector labor market, it is noteworthy that …

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U.S. PCE Reading Boost Dollar Strength

The much-anticipated U.S. PCE reading, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, was released yesterday, meeting market expectations at 2.4%. The much-anticipated U.S. PCE reading, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, was released yesterday, meeting market expectations at 2.4%. As the market awaits comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding the PCE inflation gauge, …

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Trade Of The Day: Is EUR/USD Finally Escaping Consolidation?

Fundamental Analysis German Data Disappoints, Economic Weakness: The EUR/USD lost its upward momentum following a mix of lackluster German Retail Sales and Consumer Price Index (CPI) report that fell short of expectations. January’s German YoY Retail Sales of -1.4% were slightly better than the forecast of -1.5%, reflecting a modest improvement from …

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Dollar Eases On Low GDP Growth

The Dollar Index underwent considerable volatility, fluctuating within a range of approximately 0.3% in the recent session. The Dollar Index underwent considerable volatility, fluctuating within a range of approximately 0.3% in the recent session. This movement followed a mixed bag of U.S. economic data. On one hand, the last quarter’s U.S. GDP …

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Dollar Stall Ahead Of GDP

The Dollar Index continues to trade within a narrow range, exhibiting minimal change with a marginal increase of 0.02% in the last session The Dollar Index continues to trade within a narrow range, exhibiting minimal change with a marginal increase of 0.02% in the last session. Concurrently, U.S. equity markets find themselves …

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Upbeat Japanese CPI Fuels Yen’s Strength

Japan’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data exceeded market expectations at 2%, strengthening the Japanese Yen against other major currencies. The bullish momentum in U.S. equity markets appears to be tapering off, trading flat in anticipation of the crucial U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading. This data is poised to influence market …

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All Eyes On Japan’s CPI

The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. The robust U.S. stock markets, having reached record highs, paused for breath last Friday, reflecting a momentary halt in their bullish momentum. Conversely, the dollar index has maintained a subdued …

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Raving Sentiment In The U.S. Stock Markets

The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report. The U.S. stock markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have experienced a significant surge, reaching record high levels, largely driven by Nvidia’s impressive earnings report, which signals a positive outlook for …

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Fed Meeting Minutes Align with Expectations; PCE Price Index and GDP in Crosshairs.

Wednesday, 28 Feb, 03:00 – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision In November, the RBNZ maintained its interest rate at 5.50%. Nevertheless, the central bank had earlier indicated a possible rate increase in 2024, citing persistent inflation. Despite the economy technically being in a recession, global markets are bracing for a potential unexpected interest …

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Fed’s Tightening Policy Remain, Meeting Minutes Shows

The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. The dollar index exhibited a narrow range of movement following the much-anticipated release of the FOMC meeting minutes yesterday. As anticipated, board members expressed concerns about the potential risks of cutting rates too …

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Dollar Eases Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Minutes

As the FOMC January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) January meeting minutes loom, the Dollar Index (DXY) is losing steam, struggling to maintain its value above $104. Conversely, gold prices are surging due …

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China Cuts Mortgage Rate To Revive Property Market

China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. China has executed its most substantial cut on record to the five-year loan prime rate in an effort to stimulate its economy. However, the equity markets, including Hang Seng, have …

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CPI Strength Hinders Fed Rate Cut; Focus On FOMC minutes.

Wednesday, 21 Feb, 21:00 – FOMC Meeting Minutes In January, the Federal Reserve declared a steady policy rate of 5.25% – 5.5%, acknowledging the uncertain trajectory toward a rate cut in 2024. While many investors are hopeful for a shift from rate hikes to cuts by the Fed in the upcoming months, …

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Soft Retail Sales Hammers Dollar

The Retail Sales figure disappointed at -0.8%, marking its lowest point since January 2023. This has fueled expectations for a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in May. The much-anticipated U.S. Retail Sales figures failed to sustain positive sentiment following the robust Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading unveiled last Tuesday. Despite …

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Robust CPI Report Sparks Surge In Dollar Demand

January’s inflation exceeds expectations at 0.30% monthly and 3.10% year-on-year, reinforcing the Dollar’s strength. The Dollar Index hits a three-month high, driven by robust economic indicators, including strong job reports, GDP figures and US inflation. January’s inflation exceeds expectations at 0.30% monthly and 3.10% year-on-year, reinforcing the Dollar’s strength. Market expectations for …

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Dollar Holds Steady in Anticipation of US CPI

Dollar in consolidation mode ahead of key economic data, investors are advised to continue eyeing on US CPI. The US Dollar adopts a consolidated stance in anticipation of key economic data, particularly US inflation and retail sales figures. Investors are closely monitoring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January, expecting a year-on-year …

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Oil Prices Surge On Geopolitical Uncertainty

Oil prices surged by over 3% yesterday, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East Oil prices surged by over 3% yesterday, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Ceasefire talks took a gloomy turn as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected the Gaza deal, deeming it “delusional.” This geopolitical uncertainty …

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Fed’s Hawkish Tone Buoys The Dollar

Several Fed officials have made consistent statements following last week’s interest rate decision and the disclosure of the Nonfarm Payroll. Several Fed officials have made consistent statements following last week’s interest rate decision and the disclosure of the Nonfarm Payroll. Jerome Powell and his colleagues have emphasised that the strength of the …

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Hang Seng Stock Index Rebounds Strongly

The Hang Seng Index has continued to show strength for the second consecutive session, with the Chinese government support. The Hang Seng Index has continued to show strength for the second consecutive session, with the Chinese government directing the China sovereign fund to provide support to the Chinese equity markets. In contrast, …

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What Is NFP And Why Is It Important In Trading?

Non Farm Payroll (NFP) is a monthly report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics that measures the number of jobs added or lost from the previous month in the non farm sector. It is a critical economic indicator as it provides insights into the performance of the labor market, including …

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Upbeat NFP Stimulates Dollar

The robust U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report released last Friday, with a reading of 353k has significantly impacted the market The robust U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report released last Friday, with a reading of 353k, higher than the previous 333k, has significantly impacted the market. The data suggests that the U.S. labour market remains …

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Federal Reserve Maintains Interest Rates At 23-Year High, March Rate Cut Is Unlikely

Monday, 5 Feb, 17:00 – US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jan) In November, the US non-manufacturing PMI increased to 52.7 from 51.8, rebounding from a 5-month low. However, economists anticipate a decline in demand for services in the current quarter as consumers redirect a greater portion of their spending towards goods. Tuesday, 6 …

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Powell’s Hawkish Statement Stirs Equity Market

Jerome Powell emphasised that the central bank is not in a rush to shift its monetary policy and has ruled out near-term interest rate cuts The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision aligned with market expectations, maintaining the rate at its current level. However, the notable aspect of the event unfolded in the …

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Dollar Poise Ahead Of Interest Rate Decision

The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision The U.S. dollar has been trading sideways recently, as market participants await the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision, along with the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes scheduled …

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U.S. PCE Pressures Dollar To Trade Lower

The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …

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All Eye On U.S. PCE Data

The U.S. equity markets continue to surge, propelled by a rally in tech stocks, notably led by Nvidia—the world’s largest chip maker. The U.S. equity markets continue to surge, propelled by a rally in tech stocks, notably led by Nvidia—the world’s largest chip maker. Optimistic earnings outlooks from Nvidia suggest that the …

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Anticipated Fed Interest Rate Decision

Wednesday, 31 Jan,21:00 – US Fed Interest Rate Decision Economists suggest the U.S. Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts until the second quarter, with June more likely than May. This adjustment follows comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell last month, initially shifting expectations to March. Thursday, 1 Feb,14:00 – BoE Interest …

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Dollar Holds Steady, All Eyes On US GDP Release 

Amidst positive US economic indicators, the Dollar Index remains stable, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Amidst positive US economic indicators, the Dollar Index remains stable, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Robust US equity markets, fueled by strong corporate results, counter rising Treasury yields. Gold faces downward …

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U.S. Dollar Edges Higher Ahead Of GDP 

In the financial markets, the U.S. long-term treasury yield held firm above 4.1%, contributing to a slight uptick in the U.S. dollar’s value on the previous day. In the financial markets, the U.S. long-term treasury yield held firm above 4.1%, contributing to a slight uptick in the U.S. dollar’s value on the …

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All Eyes On BoJ Interest Rate Decision

The market is dominated by speculation regarding an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to record highs in U.S. equity markets The market is dominated by speculation regarding an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to record highs in U.S. equity markets. Despite a recent slide in the …

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U.S. Government Shutdown Averts Fuels Risk-On Sentiment

The greenback experiences a slight easing as the U.S. Congress approves funding for government spending The U.S. economic data continues to underscore robust performance, contributing to the dollar’s strength. However, the greenback experiences a slight easing as the U.S. Congress approves funding for government spending, alleviating concerns about a potential government shutdown …

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Restrictive Monetary Policy Impact On US GDP

Wednesday, 24 Jan, 17:00 – CA BoC Interest Rate Decision In the previous month, the Bank of Canada (BoC) chose to keep its key interest rate at 5% for the third consecutive decision, in line with widespread expectations. The BoC expressed ongoing concerns about inflation risks but stopped short of explicitly stating …

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Dollar Gain On Upbeat Retail Sales Figure

The U.S. dollar secured its fifth consecutive session of gains, continuing its upward trajectory following a better-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. The U.S. dollar secured its fifth consecutive session of gains, continuing its upward trajectory following a better-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data. Robust economic indicators, including a rebound in the Consumer Price …

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Dollar Strengthen As Fed Rate Cut Speculation Wane

The U.S. dollar maintained its upward trajectory, putting pressure on both gold and equity markets. Despite a relatively dovish speech from Fed governor Christopher Waller, the U.S. dollar maintained its upward trajectory, putting pressure on both gold and equity markets. Wall Street faced selling pressure as early bets on Fed rate cuts …

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Dollar Strengthen As Sentiment Shift

The U.S. dollar has experienced a resurgence, reaching its highest level in a month, propelled by a revival in U.S. treasury yields. The U.S. dollar has experienced a resurgence, reaching its highest level in a month, propelled by a revival in U.S. treasury yields. This rebound signals a departure from earlier speculation …

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Gold Surges On Geopolitical Unrest

Dollar remains range-bound near resistance, with conflicting signals from the U.S. – robust economic performance juxtaposed with dovish Federal Reserve statements. The Dollar Index remains range-bound near resistance, with conflicting signals from the U.S. – robust economic performance juxtaposed with dovish Federal Reserve statements, obscuring its trajectory. Despite a U.S. holiday pausing …

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Oil Prices Jump As Red Sea Tension Escalates

Oil prices experienced a significant rally as geopolitical tensions heightened in the Red Sea. Oil prices experienced a significant rally, reaching their highest level in 2024, as geopolitical tensions heightened in the Red Sea. Following a retaliatory move by the U.S. against Houthi attacks on ships, airstrikes were launched, escalating tensions and …

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Stock Market Edges Higher Ahead Of CPI

U.S. equities climbed in anticipation of the upcoming earnings season, driven by tech giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Nvidia. However, gains were tempered as investors prepared for the release of the U.S. CPI U.S. equities climbed in anticipation of the upcoming earnings season, driven by tech giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Nvidia. …

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Dollar Strengthens Ahead Of CPI

U.S. Dollar displayed subtle strength, with investors redirecting their attention toward the impending release of critical U.S. inflation data (CPI) In yesterday’s market, the U.S. Dollar displayed subtle strength, with investors redirecting their attention toward the impending release of critical U.S. inflation data (CPI). As anticipation grows, the prevailing sentiment of a  …

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Dovish Fed Statement Hinders Dollar’s Strength

The reassurance from Fed officials that the targeted inflation rate of 2% may soon be achieved provided a dovish perspective in the market. In anticipation of the upcoming U.S. CPI release on Thursday, the dollar retreated from its consolidation range. The reassurance from Fed officials that the targeted inflation rate of 2% …

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Hawkish Fed Meeting Minutes Boosts Dollar

The U.S. dollar strengthened, driven by the Hawkish narrative revealed in the meeting minutes. U.S. equity markets registered a second consecutive decline following the release of the December Federal Reserve meeting minutes. The U.S. central bank signalled an intention to maintain interest rates at a restrictive level for an extended period until …

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Dollar Edges Higher When The Market Resumes

The U.S. dollar continued its ascent on the first trading session after returning from the New Year holiday. The U.S. dollar continued its ascent on the first trading session after returning from the New Year holiday. All eyes are set on the upcoming U.S. Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading scheduled for tomorrow, …

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Dollar Gain Despite Poor PMI Reading

The U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading significantly dropped to 46.9, falling below both the previous reading and market consensus. The U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading significantly dropped to 46.9, falling below both the previous reading and market consensus. This suggests a contrasting economic landscape in the U.S. However, …

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Dollar Rebound Despite Job Market Soften

Despite dollar rebound, persistent speculation surrounding a potential dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve continues to exert downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. U.S. equity markets managed to eke out modest gains during the last trading session, contrasting with a pullback observed in Asian stock markets. The recovery in the U.S. 10-year …

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RBA’s Rate Hike Determined By Incoming Data

Tuesday, 2 Jan, 05:30 – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec) At its latest interest rate decision, the Reserve Bank upheld its benchmark rate at 4.35%. The RBA’s stance on potential monetary policy tightening hinges on incoming data and evolving risk assessments, highlighting the board’s steadfast commitment to achieving target inflation. Friday, 5 …

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Dollar Slump On Rate Cut Speculation

Investors strategically position themselves for an anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming year. Investors strategically position themselves for an anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming year, evident in the robust market demand observed during recent auctions for U.S. short-term treasuries. The heightened appetite for U.S. Treasury …

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Global Markets Surge On Rate Cut Anticipation

Investors anticipate an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year Asian markets have edged up following a surge in U.S. equity markets, which attained record highs as investors anticipate an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year. The U.S. dollar remains subdued, contributing to the continued rise in …

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Downbeat PCE Hinders Dollar

The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index falling short suggests a slowdown in inflation, contributing to the persistent dovish sentiment from Fed officials. The US Dollar continues its decline, with increasing speculation about the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, particularly after the latest U.S. economic data released last Friday. The U.S. Personal …

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Dollar Hits 1-Week Low, Focus On PCE Report

The US Dollar grapples with a one-week low against major currencies as investors await critical US inflation data for Federal Reserve policy insights. The US Dollar grapples with a one-week low against major currencies as investors await critical US inflation data for Federal Reserve policy insights. Disappointing Q3 GDP figures, revealing a …

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All Eyes On U.S. GDP

Traders are eagerly awaiting the release of U.S. GDP data later today as they seek insights into the overall strength of the dollar. The U.S. equity markets experienced selling pressure yesterday, retreating from their record high levels. This downturn was accompanied by a rebound in the VIX index, known as the fear …

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Dollar Plunges On Reinforced Fed Dovish Stance

The U.S. dollar lost steam, with the dollar index retracing more than 0.3% yesterday. . The dovish tone from Richmond Fed president, weighed on Dollar demand. The U.S. dollar lost steam, with the dollar index retracing more than 0.3% yesterday. The dovish tone was reinforced by the Richmond Fed president, in contrast …

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Hawkish RBA Meeting Minutes Buoys Aussie Dollar

Despite the RBA keeping its interest rate level unchanged earlier, the meeting minutes indicate that Australian authorities remain focused on battling inflation The Japanese Yen has taken centre stage as it gains ahead of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) interest rate decision. The market widely believed that the Japanese central bank is …

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Fed’s Hawkish Tone Bolsters Dollar

The dollar index received a boost from a hawkish tone adopted by Federal Reserve officials, including the New York President and Chicago President. The dollar index received a boost from a hawkish tone adopted by Federal Reserve officials, including the New York President and Chicago President. This stance dampened market speculation of …

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Euro and GBP Gain after Rate Decision Unveils

ECB & BoE have announced their interest rate decisions, leading to the appreciation of both the euro and the British pound last night The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) have announced their interest rate decisions, leading to the appreciation of both the euro and the British pound …

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All Eyes On Jerome Powell Speech Today

Traders are on edge, awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today for insights into the Fed’s upcoming monetary policy. The eagerly anticipated U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading was unveiled last night, aligning with market expectations and indicating signs of moderation in the country’s inflation rate. In contrast to the …

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All Eyes On U.S. CPI Reading

Market focus is now trained on the impending U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, anticipated to influence the dollar’s trajectory. The U.S. Dollar is holding firm above the $103.50 level, buoyed by the positive momentum gained from upbeat U.S. job data released last Friday. Market focus is now trained on the impending …

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Dollar Surges On Exceptional Jobs Data

The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. The US Dollar staged a robust rebound on stellar employment figures, with Nonfarm Payrolls exceeding expectations at 199K and the unemployment rate declining to 3.70%. This unexpected …

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Yen Rallies On BoJ Hawkish Comment

Governor Ueda remarked on the exploration of diverse options to navigate the country out of its negative interest rate regime leading to a substantial 2% drop in the USD/JPY pair overnight The Japanese Yen staged a robust rally in the previous session, leading to a substantial 2% drop in the USD/JPY pair …

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Economists Anticipate The Fed To Keep Rates Steady In December

Tuesday, 12 Dec, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (Nov) In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained at 0.0%, below the predicted 0.1%, sustaining stability after a 0.4 percent rise in September. The broader all items index indicated a slowdown, reflecting a trend of price stability across various sectors. Wednesday, 13 Dec, …

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Dollar Gains Ahead Of NFP

Wall Street’s bullish momentum showed signs of easing, coinciding with the U.S. dollar stabilising ahead of the eagerly anticipated U.S. job data (NFP) Wall Street’s bullish momentum showed signs of easing, coinciding with the U.S. dollar stabilising ahead of the eagerly anticipated U.S. job data (NFP) set for release this Friday. Market …

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Gold Prices Raise To All Time High On Rate-cut Speculation

The market remains firmly convinced that the U.S. central bank is poised for such actions next year, gold prices briefly reaching an all-time high at $2146. Despite Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chief, attempting to push back on rate-cut expectations, the market remains firmly convinced that the U.S. central bank is poised …

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Oil Prices Decline On OPEC+ Meeting Result

Despite OPEC+ announces production cuts, oil traders remained unconvinced, leading to a nearly 3% plunge in oil prices overnight. The efficacy of these cuts is questionable as they are implemented on a “voluntary” basis. Despite OPEC+ announces production cuts, oil traders remained unconvinced, leading to a nearly 3% plunge in oil prices …

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All Eyes On OPEC+ Meeting

Market attention is currently focused on the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for today, with widespread expectations that further oil production cuts will be on the agenda, potentially fueling a surge in oil prices. The surge in the U.S. Treasury prices has led to a decline in Treasury yields, placing the U.S. dollar under …

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Dollar Slides Ahead Of PCE

Prominent figure on Wall Street, Bill Ackman, is speculating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is poised to cut rates as early as the first quarter of the upcoming year. Prominent figure on Wall Street, Bill Ackman, is speculating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is poised to cut rates as early as the …

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Dollar Weakens As The Treasury Yield Slumps

U.S. long-term treasury yields have retraced to recent lows downside pressure on the U.S. dollar U.S. long-term treasury yields have retraced to recent lows, adding sparking discussions about the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates next year; this has added downside pressure on the U.S. dollar, with the dollar index reaching …

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VIX At Record Low, Sparks Equity Market

The U.S. equity market is set to return to normal trading hours after the Thanksgiving holiday; The VIX index reaching its lowest level since January 2020 The U.S. equity market is set to return to normal trading hours after the Thanksgiving holiday; meanwhile, with the VIX index reaching its lowest level since …

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Market Muted While Celebrating Thanksgiving

Amidst the Thanksgiving holiday, with the U.S. equity market closed, market observers anticipate subdued trading in the Dollar Index (DXY). Amidst the Thanksgiving holiday, with the U.S. equity market closed, market observers anticipate subdued trading in the Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices throughout the festive season. Concurrently, the trajectory of oil …

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Anticipation Of RBNZ Holding High Rates

The Week Ahead: Week of 27 Nov (GMT+2) Tuesday, 28 Nov, 17:00 – US CB Consumer Confidence (Nov) In October, U.S. consumer confidence dropped for the third consecutive month, sliding from 104.3 to 102.6. This decline, influenced by concerns over inflation and increased borrowing expenses, suggests a lack of market confidence in …

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Dollar Drops On Dovish FOMC Minutes

Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. In a much-anticipated earnings release, Nvidia’s quarterly report beat expectations; however, the company’s share prices dropped about 2% after the closing bell. This unexpected downturn interrupted the recent winning streak in U.S. equity markets, dampening …

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Risk-on Sentiment Sparks Equity Market

Nasdaq ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by anticipation surrounding Nvidia’s upcoming report. US dollar has slid to its lowest point since September Recent market dynamics have seen a surge in risk-on sentiment, with global equities rallying fervently. The Nasdaq has ascended to nearly a two-year high, driven by heightened anticipation …

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Equity Market Bolstered By Fed Rate Peak Speculation

Recent weak U.S. economic data, hinting at slowed growth and contained inflation, suggests the Federal Reserve might be near the end of its tightening cycle. Recent downbeat economic data from the U.S., which indicates a moderation in economic performance and contained inflation, has led the market to believe that the Federal Reserve …

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Oil Prices Drop To 4-Month Low

The financial markets experienced a relatively subdued session overnight, as lacking significant catalysts. Investor attention remains focused on the APEC forum The financial markets experienced a relatively subdued session overnight, lacking significant catalysts to drive decisive movements. Investor attention remains focused on the APEC forum, with particular interest in the meeting between …

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US Existing Home Sales May Experience Further Declines

The Week Ahead: Week of 20 Nov (GMT+2) Tuesday, 21 Nov, 17:00 – US Existing Home Sales (Oct) US existing home sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million. Economists suggest that, as seen throughout the year, constrained inventory and reduced housing affordability are ongoing challenges for home sales. …

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Dollar Gains On Upbeat Retail Sales

The U.S. dollar staged a modest recovery following a notable decline on Wednesday. However, the latest U.S. Retail Sales data surpassed expectations, supporting the greenback’s upward nudge. The U.S. dollar staged a modest recovery following a notable decline on Wednesday, spurred by indications of easing inflation from the U.S. CPI report. However, …

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Soft CPI Lead To DXY Crashes

The Dollar Index took a substantial hit, plummeting over 1.5% in the wake of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The Dollar index took a substantial hit, plummeting over 1.5% in the wake of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The data indicated a softening of inflationary pressures, leading the …

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Dollar Stalls Ahead Of Key CPI Release

The US dollar remains in a holding pattern as investors brace for a week of pivotal events. Markets expect the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) will set at a 0.10% monthly rise. The US Dollar remains in a holding pattern as investors brace for a week of pivotal events. All eyes are …

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Dollar Resurgence: Fed’s Hawkish Tone Sparks Market Shifts

Dollar staged a significant rebound driven by hawkish sentiments from Federal Reserve members, particularly emphasised by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly. The US Dollar staged a significant rebound driven by hawkish sentiments from Federal Reserve members, particularly emphasised by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly. …

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Powell’s Hawkish Tone Fuels Dollar’s Strength

The Fed Chair’s stern warning indicated that the Fed’s monetary tightening efforts are far from concluded, prompting a resurgence of the dollar’s strength. Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday sent ripples through the financial markets, disrupting the U.S. equity markets’ winning streak. The Fed Chair’s stern warning indicated that the Fed’s monetary tightening efforts …

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Continued Worries About Oil Prices and Supply

The Week Ahead: Week of 13 Nov (GMT+2) Tuesday, 14 Nov, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (Oct) The recent consumer price index, which serves as a significant indicator of inflation, rose by 0.4%. Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that these increases might eliminate the necessity for additional policy tightening. …

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Oil Prices Plummet On Bearish U.S. Oil Data

Oil prices tumbled nearly 5% as the demand outlook dimmed. China’s upcoming economic data, promise further fluctuations in oil prices. In a sharp turn, oil prices tumbled nearly 5% as the demand outlook dimmed, exacerbated by a substantial surge in U.S. crude stockpiles revealed in the API weekly data. This surge implied …

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Gold Prices Declines On Softening Middle East Conflict  

In a significant market shift, gold prices have witnessed a notable downturn as tensions in the Middle East show signs of abating. In a significant market shift, gold prices have witnessed a notable downturn as tensions in the Middle East show signs of abating. Israel’s decision to implement a ceasefire for humanitarian …

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Dollar Index Plummets On Soft NFP And Unemployment Rate  

The dollar index plummeted following last Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report and the Unemployment rate data. The dollar index plummeted to September levels following last Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report and the Unemployment rate data, indicating a softening job market and further easing U.S. inflation. Despite the softening dollar, commodity prices including …

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All Eyes On U.S. Nonfarm Payroll

Before the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report, the dollar index faced a significant setback following disappointing U.S. job data. In anticipation of the pivotal U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report slated for release today, the dollar index faced a significant setback, dropping nearly 0.5% overnight. This decline follows disappointing U.S. job data, …

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RBA Contemplates Rate Hike Amid Surging House Prices

The Week Ahead: Week of 6 Nov (GMT+3) Tuesday, 7 Nov, 06:30 – AU RBA Interest Rate Decision (Nov) There is a growing likelihood and concerns that the RBA will opt for another interest rate hike in the upcoming decision. This expectation is fueled by the resurgence of house prices, nearing previous …

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Fed’s Rate Pause Pressures Dollar’s Strength

In a highly anticipated move, the Federal Reserve opted for a pause in its interest rate trajectory, aligning with market predictions. In a highly anticipated move, the Federal Reserve opted for a pause in its interest rate trajectory, aligning with market predictions. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while announcing the decision, left …

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Gold Dips From $2000 Amid Central Bank Focus

Gold prices retreated from the crucial $2000 level, pivoting attention from Middle East tensions to upcoming central bank decisions. Amidst shifting global dynamics, gold prices retreated from the crucial $2000 level, pivoting attention from Middle East tensions to upcoming central bank decisions, particularly those of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of …

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Gold Prices Hit $2000 As Middle East Tension Escalates

Amidst deepening tensions in the Middle East conflict, gold surged past its pivotal $2000 mark, propelled by the expansion of ground warfare. Amidst deepening tensions in the Middle East conflict, the market’s gaze remains fixated on evolving dynamics. Gold surged past its pivotal $2000 mark, propelled by the expansion of ground warfare. …

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Dollar Steadies: Investors Await PCE Report For Market Direction

The US Dollar experienced a relatively flat day, marked by robust GDP growth at 4.90% while Initial Jobless Claims worse-than-market expectations at 210K The US Dollar experienced a relatively flat day, marked by robust GDP growth at 4.90% while Initial Jobless Claims worse-than-market expectations at 210K. Gold markets adopted a cautious stance, …

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Yen Breaks 150 Level, Sparking Intervention Speculation

The Japanese yen has weakened to a one-year low at 150 per dollar, raising the spectre of potential currency intervention. The Japanese yen has weakened to a one-year low at 150 per dollar, raising the spectre of potential currency intervention. Alphabet’s disappointing earnings report sent shockwaves through the US equity market, triggering …

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Dollar Strengthens On Upbeat PMI Reading

Favourable U.S. PMI data, coupled with better-than-expected Eurozone economic figures, led to the dollar rebounding above the $106 level. Amidst improving conditions in the Middle East conflict, international leaders and the United Nations advocate for Humanitarian Pauses to facilitate essential aid access for civilians. Gold prices remained stable, but oil prices faced …

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Dollar Plunges on Treasury Yield Surge

The US dollar experienced a decline of over 0.5% as the US long-term bond yield touched the 5% mark. Hamas militants freed 2 hostages while Israel delayed a ground attack and provided relief from the heightened tension in the Middle East region. Meanwhile, China’s surprising affirmation of Israel’s right to self-defence injected …

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Middle East Conflict De-escalation Eases Gold Prices

Israel’s decision to halt its ground invasion of Gaza has temporarily eased Middle East tensions. Amid diplomatic efforts to calm the Middle East conflict, Israel’s decision to halt its ground invasion on Gaza has momentarily eased tensions. Oil prices faced resistance at $90, leading to a decline since last Friday, while gold …

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Powell’s Dovish Statement Hammers Dollar

Despite visits by the U.S. president and the U.K.’s prime minister to Israel, gold and oil prices surge due to Middle East tensions. Despite diplomatic efforts by world leaders, including planned visits by the U.S. president and UK’s prime minister to Israel, gold and oil prices continue to surge in response to …

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Upcoming Major Country Central Bank Interest Rate Decision

The Week Ahead: Week of 23 October (GMT+3) Wednesday, 25 October, 17:00 – CA BoC Interest Rate Decision In September, Canada’s annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a decline in inflation from 4% in August to 3.8%. The Bank of Canada’s upcoming rate decision will be crucial, as it previously held the …

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Escalating Middle East Conflict Strengthens Gold Prices

President Biden in Israel, leading global efforts to de-escalate Middle East conflict, causing surges in gold and oil due to regional tensions. U.S. President Joe Biden, alongside UK Prime Minister Sunak, stepped foot in Israel, leading international efforts to de-escalate the Middle East conflict. The heightened regional tensions propelled commodity prices, with …

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Intensifying Middle East Conflict Bolsters Gold Price

Escalating tensions in the Middle East ahead of the U.S. The President’s visit to Israel cast a shadow. Gold and oil prices rallied amid stalled ceasefire efforts in Gaza. Escalating tensions in the Middle East cast a shadow as the anticipated visit of the U.S. President to Israel looms on Wednesday. Against …

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Dollar Softens As Middle East Tension Eases

U.S. President Joe Biden’s upcoming visit to Israel signals a show of support, bolstering market confidence. Amid escalating Middle East tensions, Western allies have intensified diplomatic efforts. U.S. President Joe Biden’s upcoming visit to Israel signals a show of support, bolstering market confidence. Equities surged, reflecting improved risk appetite, while traditional safe-havens …

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Middle East Tensions Fuel Safe-Haven Surge

Safe-haven assets such as gold and the US Dollar have experienced a substantial upswing in response to the deepening Middle East conflict.  Safe-haven assets such as gold and the US Dollar have experienced a substantial upswing in response to the deepening Middle East conflict. As tensions escalated on the Israel-Lebanon border, with …

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Upbeat CPI Boosts Dollar’s Strength

Market sentiment shifted significantly after the U.S. Consumer Price Index data exceeded expectations, along with strong Initial Jobless Claims figures. Market sentiments shifted significantly following the release of yesterday’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which surpassed expectations. Coupled with robust Initial Jobless Claims figures indicating a resilient labour market, investors are …

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US Existing Home Sales Faces Challenges

The Week Ahead: Week of 16 October (GMT+3) Tuesday, 17 October, 15:30 – US Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) In August, U.S. retail sales surpassed expectations due to a surge in gasoline prices, which boosted service station receipts. The rising gas prices are impacting the economy and could dampen shoppers’ momentum as holiday …

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Dollar Softens On FOMC’s Dovish Stance

The dollar remains subdued due to the Fed’s balanced assessment of inflation and recession risks. The dollar struggles below the $106 mark as the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish stance, signalling a potential end to its rate-hiking cycle. Despite a stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), the dollar remains subdued due to …

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Dollar Softens Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Minutes

US Dollar tumbled ahead of several crucial market events, including CPI, PPI as well as FOMC Meeting Minutes Investors navigated a cautious market terrain as more Federal Reserve officials echoed dovish sentiments, indicating the necessity of maintaining rates at a restrictive level to curb inflation. Anticipation mounts ahead of the September FOMC …

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Dollar Softens On Fed’s Dovish Tone

The dollar index lost momentum following a dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials.  In a surprising turn, the dollar index lost its momentum following a markedly dovish tone from Federal Reserve officials, igniting widespread speculation that the central bank might maintain interest rates through 2023’s end. This sentiment shift occurred amidst rising …

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Middle East War Bolsters Gold Prices

The week started with a surge in gold prices, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East involving Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas. The week kicked off with a surge in gold prices, climbing nearly 1%, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East involving Israel and Palestinian …

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Dollar Ticks Lower By Poor Job Data

The US dollar plunged below the pivotal $107 threshold, following a mere 89,000 increase in private-sector employment in the last month. The US dollar faced a setback, plunging below the pivotal $107 threshold, following lacklustre private-sector job data showing a mere 89,000 increase in employment last month, marking its lowest figure since …

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Fed’s Hawkish Stance Bolsters Dollar

In a staunch show of strength, the dollar advances due to the market consensus towards the Fed maintaining elevated interest rates to combat persistent inflation. In a staunch show of strength, the dollar advances, driving the dollar index towards $107, bolstered by the Federal Reserve’s recent communication. The market consensus leans heavily …

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Equity Market Soars After U.S. Government Shutdown Averted

The dollar index held steady, while U.S. treasuries maintained robust levels when the threat of a U.S. government shutdown was averted. Global equity markets surged on the heels of reassuring news: the threat of a U.S. government shutdown was averted, instilling confidence across the board. Although tempered after breaching the $106 threshold, …

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Dollar Eases From Alleviates U.S. Government Shutdown Fears

US Dollar pulled back as investors took profits. Attention now turns to the upcoming PCE Price Index release for insights into US inflation The U.S. dollar, which had reached its peak since December, experienced a decline following yesterday’s release of U.S. economic data that failed to meet projections. Disappointing figures in the …

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US Labor Market Raises Concerns

The Week Ahead: Week of 3 October (GMT+3) Tuesday, 3 October, 06:30 – AUD RBA Interest Rate Decisions (Oct) After two consecutive months of unchanged interest rates, economists believe this pause is meant to assess the impact of previous rate increases on the country’s economy. As the results show, the country’s inflation …

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Dollar Dominance Rises: Treasuries Surge

US Treasury yields continue to hit high levels, buoying by rate hikes expectations from the Federal Reserve. Gold dipped into six-and-a-half month low. The U.S. dollar continues its relentless ascent, fueled by soaring Treasury yields and expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes. Recent data, including a robust uptick in U.S. Core Durable …

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Dollar Strengthens Amidst Fear Of A U.S. Government Shutdown

In the realm of U.S. equity markets, the dominant theme remains the Federal Reserve’s resolute hawkish stance, indicating an enduring era of monetary tightening. In the realm of U.S. equity markets, the dominant theme remains the Federal Reserve’s resolute hawkish stance, indicating an enduring era of monetary tightening. This posture has cast …

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Macroeconomic Headwinds Dampen Financial Market

Global macroeconomic worries drive hedge funds and retail investors to shed stock leverage. In the global markets, prevailing macroeconomic concerns persist, even as U.S. equity markets managed modest gains in their recent session. Notably, hedge funds and retail investors are unwinding stock leverage at a pace unseen since the 2020 pandemic crisis …

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Equity Markets Decline On Fed’s Hawkish Outlook

The consistent hawkish tone from Fed officials has spurred investors to withdraw funds from the equity market at a rate not seen since December. U.S. equity markets, alongside their Asian counterparts, are grappling with headwinds following a challenging central bank week. The consistent hawkish tone from Fed officials, coupled with warnings of …

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U.S Equity Market Hit By Fed’s Hawkish Stance

The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. The U.S. dollar remains steadfast above the $105 mark, while the domestic stock market experienced turbulence after the recent Fed Chair’s statement. Investors grappled with the implications of the Fed’s …

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More Economy Indicators From Major Countries Are Coming Next Week

Thursday, 28 September, 15:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Sep) In August, Germany’s inflation remained stable, as indicated by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Inflation in the eurozone remains elevated, and investors are concerned that additional rate hikes could potentially trigger a recession, further negatively impacting the country’s current economic situation. Thursday, …

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Fed’s Rate Pause And Dollar Fluctuating

After the FOMC statement was unveiled yesterday, the dollar index held its ground firmly above the pivotal $105 level, putting pressure on gold prices. In the aftermath of the FOMC statement unveiled yesterday, financial markets fluctuated as investors dissected the nuanced signals emanating from the Fed’s leadership regarding its policy outlook. The …

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Market Mutes Ahead Of FOMC Statement

Awaiting the FOMC interest rate decision, the dollar index halts, reflecting market expectations of today’s announcement may bring a temporary pause. In the lead-up to today’s eagerly awaited FOMC interest rate decision, market volatility has remained relatively subdued. The dollar index maintains its position above the $105 mark, reflecting market expectations of …

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Dollar Dips As Investors Take Profits Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalized on upbeat US economic data where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. The US dollar recently retreated as investors capitalised on upbeat US economic data before the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming policy meeting, where 97% anticipate interest rates will remain stable. Simultaneously, gold rebounded …

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Euro Slumps With An Unexpected ECB Rate Hike

The market worries that a 25 basis points rate hike by the European Central Bank might further hamper the already dim economic prospects within the Eurozone. Upbeat U.S. economic data, particularly Retail Sales and Initial Jobless Claims, ignited a rally in both the dollar index and equity markets. Investors are now bolstered …

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Economists Expect Fed To Pause Rate Hikes

The Week Ahead: Week of 18 September (GMT+3) Tuesday, 19 September, 15:30 – US Building Permits (Aug) There was a slight increase in US July Building Permits, rising from 1.441 million to 1.443 million.The marginal uptick in housing starts indicates a degree of optimism among builders. However, the impact of potential future …

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Market Stays Calm As U.S. CPI Increases

The market’s relatively muted reaction suggests that this uptick in CPI had already been priced in. Yesterday’s U.S. CPI release showed a higher reading than both the forecasted number and the previous reading. However, it appeared that the market had already priced in this uptick in CPI, and there was a relatively …

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Oil Remains Strong On OPEC Outlook

Oil prices continued their upward trend driven by the OPEC monthly report forecasting a 3.3 million barrel per day shortfall in the 4th quarter. The dollar index remained stable near $104.5 as the market awaited the release of U.S. CPI data, causing fluctuations in the equity and gold markets due to speculation …

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Wall Street Closes Higher Ahead Of CPI

Wall Street closed higher before the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for Wednesday at 15:30 (GMT+3). Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda’s hawkish statements over the weekend have contributed to the strength of the Japanese Yen during the Asian morning session. Ueda mentioned that the Japanese Central Bank …

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Yen Strengthens With Possible BoJ Policy Tweak

BoJ Governor Ueda suggests that by year-end, sufficient data will be available to evaluate the sustainability of wage growth and inflation in Japan. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda’s hawkish statements over the weekend have contributed to the strength of the Japanese Yen during the Asian morning session. Ueda mentioned that the …

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Strong U.S. Economic Data Bolsters Dollar

The lower-than-expected initial jobless claims has reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve may proceed with interest rate hikes.  U.S. economic data released on Thursday has reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve may proceed with interest rate hikes on September 20th. This sentiment was supported by lower-than-expected initial jobless claims and …

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United Kingdom Experiences Significant Surge In GDP

The Week Ahead: Week of 11 September (GMT+3) Wednesday, 13 September, 09:00 – UK GDP (MoM) (Jul) The rate improved to 0.5% from -0.1%, a sharp increase in the second quarter of the year. The manufacturing sector experienced a notably robust month, with significant growth observed in both the automotive industry and …

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Dollar Strengthens On Fed Outlook

The Dollar index has traded steadily at around the $105 level as the market anticipates further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. The Dollar index has traded steadily at around the $105 level as the market anticipates further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. Short-term U.S. bond yields have surged past 5%, …

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Oil Prices Gain On OPEC+ Supply Cuts Extension

Dollar continues to edge higher, amid rising US Treasury yields. Oil prices surge as investors anticipate OPEC+ might extend its oil supply cut. The Dollar index has surged to its highest level since March, while the Dow Jones index closed lower for the third consecutive session. Several Federal Reserve governors have expressed …

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Caixin Services PMI Shows China’s Economy Is Still Struggling

China’s equity market dropped, influenced by the decline of Caixin Services PMI reading, underscoring persistent challenges in China’s ongoing economic recovery. Last night, US markets observed Labor Day celebrations, resulting in a subdued environment across asset classes, marked by sideways trading. Conversely, China’s equity market experienced a morning session decline. The catalyst …

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Global Country Interest Rates And GDP Trends Analyzed

The Week Ahead: Week of 4 September (GMT+3) Tuesday, 5 September, 07:30 – AU RBA Interest Rate Decision (Sep) With inflation slowing from 5.4%in June to 4.9% in July, the RBA has opted to maintain its interest rate at 4.1%. This decision allows the central bank to evaluate the effects of previous …

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Dollar Surge On Above Expectation Job Data

Dollar strengthened as U.S. economic data including PCE and initial Jobless Claims better than than market expectation. The U.S. equity market’s winning streak ended as the Dow Jones closed about 0.5% lower due to mixed economic data. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, matched market forecasts at 4.2%, while Initial …

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U.S. Economic Data Continue To Dampen Dollar’s Strength

Downbeat U.S. economic data continue to hammer the dollar and is struggling to hold above $103 trajectory The United States continues to release disappointing economic data, leading to a further weakening of the dollar’s strength. The labour market’s cooling trend is evident as the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures declined to 177k, …

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Risk-on Sentiment Heightens Ahead Of Job Data

US equities advanced as the dollar’s vigor abated after Jerome Powell’s dovish tone at the Jackson Hole Symposium. US equities advanced as the dollar’s vigor abated after assimilating Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole Symposium discourse. Powell’s subtly dovish tone vowed meticulous inflation management to foster risk appetite. Speculation also swirled around a softer …

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Powell’s Hawkish Statement Boosts Dollar

The Fed chief has jointly reaffirmed his determination to combat inflation, which has strengthened the dollar. The Fed chief, along with the Deputy Governor of the BoE and the Chair of ECB, have jointly reaffirmed their determination to combat inflation until it remains consistently within the targeted range. This Hawkish stance has …

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All Eyes On Jackson Hole Economic Symposium

Before the release of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the dollar surged impressively due to the positive initial jobless claims data. In anticipation of Jerome Powell’s address at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium today, the dollar surged impressively by over 0.6% yesterday, propelling the dollar index to a current trading position above …

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Anticipated Economic Data For The Upcoming Week

The Week Ahead: Week of 28 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 29 August, 17:00 – US JOLTs Job Openings (Jul) The market had anticipated a June reading of 9.610 million, but the actual figure fell slightly short of expectations, registering at 9.582 million. Given the current tight labour market conditions, this reading is seen …

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Risk-Off Mode Fades On Wall Street

Investor enthusiasm for risk-taking declined after technology-driven gains on Monday. Investor enthusiasm for risk-taking experienced a swift decline following a day of technology-driven gains on Monday in the U.S. stock market. Investors are now eagerly awaiting Nvidia Corp’s results, hoping for a surge in excitement around artificial intelligence. As the Jackson Hole …

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Chinese Ailing Economy Drags Kiwi Lower

The New Zealand dollar has declined and cannot recover due to China’s ongoing struggles in stimulating its economy. The Chinese stock market remains in a downward trend, primarily influenced by challenges within the property sector and limited Chinese economic stimulus efforts. The recent bullish oil prices have also hindered the much-worried Chinese …

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China’s Smaller Rate Cut Weighs Down Stock Market

The Chinese government’s decision to modestly reduce the short-term loan rate has disappointed the market. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the global government bond yield, reaching a level not seen …

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Global Equity Markets Tumble as Recession Looms

Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, but global government bond yields increased, reaching a level not seen in 15 years. Asian stock markets are on track for a weekly decline, partly influenced by China’s economic challenges and the prevailing global high-interest rate environment. A notable increase in the …

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Hawkish FOMC Meeting Minutes Boost Dollar 

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting revealed that inflation may remain elevated. The dollar stands fortified after the release.  The Chinese stock markets, including the Hang Seng index, are grappling with downward pressure due to investor pessimism surrounding the Chinese economy. Adding to these concerns, the release of the Federal Open …

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China Unexpected Rate Cut To Boost Economy

The surprise interest rate cut by the People’s Bank of China has sparked apprehensions within the market.  China has taken an unexpected decision to reduce its interest rate as a measure to invigorate its persistently subdued economy. The action, carried out by the People’s Bank of China, has sparked apprehensions within the …

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China’s Worsening Property Slump Dampens Market Sentiment

Chinese equity markets are grappling with selling pressures due to the nation’s escalating property concerns, which have cast a shadow over market sentiment. Chinese equity markets, including the Hong Kong stock market, are grappling with selling pressures due to the nation’s escalating property concerns, which have cast a shadow over market sentiment. …

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CPI Falls Short Of Market Consensus, Dollar Stands Pat

The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unveiled in the previous night’s session, yielding a mixed outcome. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unveiled in the previous night’s session, yielding a mixed outcome. While the reading showed an increase compared to the earlier figures, indicating a rise in inflation, it fell …

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Decline in UK CPI Signals Rate Hikes Efficacy

The Week Ahead: Week of 14 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 15 August, 15:30 – US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) In May, US Retail Sales showed a 0.2% increase on a monthly basis, falling short of the anticipated 0.5%. Nevertheless, there’s a silver lining as May’s figures were revised upwards from 0.3% to 0.5%, …

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All Eyes On U.S. CPI 

As the anticipation builds for releasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, the U.S. equity markets maintain their downward trajectory. As the anticipation builds for releasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, the U.S. equity markets maintain their downward trajectory. The market speculation is rife, with expectations suggesting a modest uptick in …

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Stock Market Slides After Moody’s Downgrades Banking Sector 

Moody’s decision to downgrade select U.S. banks triggered selling pressure in the U.S. stock market. Moody’s decision to downgrade select U.S. banks, citing escalating financial risks, triggered selling pressure in the U.S. stock market last night. The situation worsened as China unveiled its Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) …

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U.S. Equity Market Closes Higher Ahead of CPI

U.S. equity markets resurge as Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway and Amazon Inc. showcase impressive climbs. U.S. equity markets embraced a resurgence yesterday, effectively putting an end to their four-day losing spell. Notably, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway reached an unprecedented pinnacle, while Amazon Inc. showcased an impressive climb of over 10% within the …

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Dollar Softer After NFP Comes Short

The unemployment rate in the U.S. improved to 3.5%, but the Nonfarm Payroll saw a reduction to 187k, resulting in slightly easing the dollar. Last Friday, the United States experienced a blend of economic indicators. The unemployment rate in the country improved to 3.5%, but the Nonfarm Payroll saw a reduction to …

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BoE Delivers 25 BPS Rate Hikes Softening Pound Sterling

The Bank of England (BoE) delivered a 25 bps rate hike, with the BoE governor emphasising that the policy will remain tight. The dollar’s ascent of nearly 1% in August was further bolstered by the U.S. credit rating downgrade, pushing it close to the $103 threshold. However, yesterday U.S. economic data has …

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Gold Prices Surge On U.S. Credit Downgrading

The announcement of Fitch has downgraded U.S. treasuries immediately affected gold prices. Fitch, the U.S. credit rating agency, has downgraded U.S. treasuries from their pristine AAA rating to AA+. The implications for the dollar remain to be seen, but the announcement immediately affected gold prices, which quickly surged by nearly 0.3%. In …

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All Eyes On RBA Interest Rate Decision

Market analysts project a 25 basis point rate hike from the RBA, but positive economic data may lead to a rate hike pause. All eyes are on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as investors eagerly await the announcement of their interest rate decision, scheduled for later today. Market analysts have projected …

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Softer PCE Reading Fuels Equity Market

After the release of the U.S. PCE data, equity markets responded positively, with Asian markets sharing the upbeat sentiment. Last week’s release of the U.S. PCE data sparked optimism in the market, fueling demand for risky assets on expectations of further inflation moderation. Equity markets responded positively, with Asian markets sharing the …

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Japanese Yen Appreciates On Possible YCC Tweak

Japanese yen strengthened against majors. BoJ to discuss potential YCC strategy adjustments, sparking market speculation. The Japanese yen displayed strength against its major counterparts last night. The market buzzed with speculation as the BoJ unveiled plans to discuss potential adjustments to its yield curve control (YCC) strategy. Speculators opine that the central …

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What Will the Interest Rate Decisions from Major Central Banks Impact on the Global Market?

The Week Ahead: Week of 31 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 25 July, 17:00 Tuesday, 1 August, 07:30 – AU RBA Interest Rate Decision (Aug) In July, the Reserve Bank of Australia chose to keep the rate unchanged with a current rate of 4.10%. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to pause rate …

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Dollar Weakens After Fed Delivers Small Size Rate Hike

After the announcement, gold and oil prices climbed as the U.S. dollar weakened, making them more attractive. The Federal Reserve delivered as anticipated, implementing a 25 bps rate hike that propelled the interest rate to its highest level in 22 years. With the benchmark rate now residing within the range of 5.25% …

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Market Stays Calm Ahead Of Fed’s Rate Announcement

Investors await the Fed’s interest rate decision, to be released today at 21:00 (GMT+3). If the rate is raised from 5.25% to 5.5%, it will mark the highest level in 22 years. Investors’ unwavering attention is fixed on the Fed’s interest rate decision, eagerly awaiting its release later today. With market speculations …

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BoJ Monetary Policy Remains Dovish

Japanese yen weakens as officials state no immediate plan to modify ultra-loose monetary policy. This week, major central bank decisions will be in focus, including the Fed’s rate announcement on Wednesday and the ECB’s on the following day. Investors will closely watch the CB Consumer Confidence released on Tuesday for insights into …

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Upbeat Job Data Encourages Dollar Surge

U.S. dollar surged more than 0.5% triggered by optimistic job data in the U.S. Asian equity markets faced declines, influenced by the U.S. equity market’s disappointing earnings results. Last night, Nasdaq experienced a substantial drop of over 2%, marking its most significant single-day decline since March. Conversely, the U.S. dollar displayed strength, …

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Fed Faces Crucial Decisions

The Week Ahead: Week of 24 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 25 July, 17:00 US CB Consumer Confidence (Jul) Despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to curb inflation through interest rate hikes, the U.S. economy maintains positive performance. Consumer confidence reached its highest level in June, rising from 102.5 to 109.7. However, Dana Peterson, Chief …

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Strong Earnings Boost Equities, Gold Surges On Downbeat Data

Strong quarter results from US banks spark optimism in US equity market. Strong quarterly results from Wall Street banks, Microsoft, and other major corporations fueled the US equity market’s upward momentum, while lacklustre economic data led to a dip in US treasury yields, signalling expectations of a more cautious stance by the …

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Market Calm Before U.S. Retail Sales Releases

The financial market was relatively calm last night ahead of the release of U.S. retail sales data scheduled for later at 15:30 (GMT+3). The financial market experienced a relatively calm session last night as investors awaited the release of U.S. retail sales data scheduled for later today (18th July). Major currency pairs …

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China’s GDP Misses Expectation, Hammers Oil Prices

The latest release of China’s second-quarter GDP has fallen short of market expectations which has exerted upward pressure on oil prices. Investors are wagering that the upcoming rate hike in July will mark the end of the tightening cycle, yet Federal Reserve officials are keeping their options open for a potential increase …

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CPI Hammers DXY To Below $100

The U.S. dollar continues to decline, breaking below the key psychological support level of $100. The release of lower-than-expected CPI data on Wednesday has significantly impacted the financial market. The equity market has extended its gains, while gold prices have risen by over 1.5% following the data release. Conversely, the U.S. dollar …

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The US Housing Market Will Be In Focus In The Upcoming Week

The Week Ahead: Week of 17 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 18 July, 15:30 – US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun) Contrary to market expectations of a -0.1% rate, May’s US Retail Sales exceeded forecast expectations with a rate of 0.3%. This indicates that consumer spending remains resilient, even in the face of rising inflation …

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Japanese Yen Strengthen With Heighten Recession Risk

Major central banks tightening policies, boosts Japanese Yen. The Japanese Yen has reached its highest level in a month, surpassing the 140 mark against the U.S. dollar. This surge is attributed to the growing concerns of a global economic downturn due to major central banks tightening their monetary policies to combat persistent …

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Fed Officials Emphasise Higher Interest Rate Needed

Markets are now assessing the hawkish outlook against visibly cooling inflation Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that interest rates need to be raised further this year in order to bring inflation back to the targeted rate of 2%. Despite this hawkish sentiment from the Fed, the market is inclined …

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Awaiting The RBNZ And BoC Interest Rate Decisions

The Week Ahead: Week of 10 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 11 July, 09:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Jun) The June preliminary release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Germany increased by 0.3% compared to the previous month. This persistent rise indicates that the country still has a significant challenge ahead in …

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Fed June Minutes Reveal Hawkish Stance

FOMC meeting minutes spark demand on the US Dollar Last night’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes revealed a divergence of opinions among Fed officials, with the majority committed to further rate hikes in their ongoing battle against persistent inflation. The Fed is expected to continue its rate hike cycle this month, …

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RBA Holding The Interest Rate Unchanged

Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …

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Aussie Dollar Gains Ahead Of RBA Rate Decision

The disappointed PMI reading indicates a lack of optimism in the manufacturing sector Investors await the RBA’s interest rate decision, expecting a 25 bps rate hike. Despite Australia’s CPI dropping to 5.6%, it remains distant from the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings in both the United States and …

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Resilient US Dollar And Robust Banks: Key Market Highlights

Solid US economic data continue to boost demand on US Dollar. The US Dollar has gained strength as economic data surpassed expectations. Meanwhile, the robust banking sector sparked bullish momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test results showcased the resilience of major banks, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, …

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Upcoming Data Releases Are Expected To Provide Insights Into The US Job Market

The Week Ahead: Week of 3 July (GMT+3) Monday, 3 July, 17:00 – US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in the United States has remained below the threshold of 50 for the sixth consecutive month, signalling contraction in the sector. The latest reading recorded a decline to …

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Dollar Gains As Federal Reserve Unleashes Hawkish Tone

Fed’s hawkish tone continues to spark rate hike expectations, US Dollar extend its bullish momentum. The global financial landscape is being marked by shifting monetary policies and concerns over inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone has injected confidence in the US dollar, as market expectations for a rate hike …

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Equity Markets Positive After Russia Mutiny Resolved

Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …

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Stock Markets Slide As Russian Instability Continues

The geopolitical uncertainty saw gold rise slightly, while lending support to a crude oil market plagued by demand concerns Stock markets were rattled as the events over the weekend in Russia heightened geopolitical uncertainty. In a late-night televised speech, the Russian president condemned the leaders of the Wagner mercenaries as traitors, further …

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Russia Mutiny Spurs Risk-Off Sentiment

The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has held power for 23 years, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. This development has caused concerns …

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BoE Surprises With 50 Bps Rate Hike

Hike expectations have also increased across other central banks as the focus shifts back to inflation Markets have increased the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, a sentiment also applied to other major central banks worldwide, including those of the U.K, Switzerland, and Norway. Furthermore, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …

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Powell Signals Higher Rates

On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …

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Dollar Stands Pat Ahead Of Powell’s Testimony

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give his twice-yearly testimony before congress today The market is exhibiting cautious sentiment as it edged lower in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House today (21st June). Investors closely scrutinise this two-day testimony to gain insights …

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Positive Talks Between Blinken And Xi Spur Hope For Equities

Additionally, China has announced its first reduction in the benchmark lending rate in 10 months, a move that could provide support for oil prices. Last night, the U.S. Secretary of State met with the Chinese President and expressed satisfaction with the accomplishments of their trip. This positive development in bilateral relations has …

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Blinken Potentially Meeting President Xi

Improved relationships between the US and China could potentially lead to the equities markets surging Equities in the U.S. contracted last Friday after a bullish run in the past week with Nasdaq up by more than 3%. Notably, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s visit to China, including meetings with top diplomats …

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Dollar Surrenders After Rate Pause Decision

Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …

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Market Expected To Calm As Holidays Approach

The Week Ahead: Week Of 19 June (GMT+3) Monday, 19 June, All Day – US  Juneteenth During the upcoming US holiday, the market is expected to be relatively calm, and it may be a suitable time for investors to take a break. Wednesday, 21 June, 9:00 – UK CPI (YoY) (May) In …

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Hawkish Tone From The Fed After Rate Pause

While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …

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Higher Chance For Rate Pause With Softer CPI

Inflation came in lower-than-expected and versus the previous month, signalling a June pause on the Fed’s hiking cycle. The equity markets experienced gains, accompanied by a weakening of the dollar, following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) yesterday. The U.S. CPI decreased to 4% from the previous month’s 4.9%, …

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Markets Waiting For CPI To Gauge Fed’s Next Move

The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …

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Market Sideways Ahead Of U.S. CPI 

Dollar movement remains muted as investors await inflation data as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting The upcoming week is expected to be quite busy for investors, as significant events are anticipated to have a profound impact on the market. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, setting …

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Dollar Drops On Cooling U.S. Job Market

High jobless claims have weighed on the dollar and thrown a wrench into the market outlook on the Fed’s hiking schedule U.S. initial jobless claims recorded the highest level since October 2021, confusing the market which previously speculated the Fed might follow the footstep of RBA and BoC to raise rates next …

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Focus On The Upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decision

The Week Ahead: Week of 12 June (GMT+3) Tuesday, 13 June, 15:30 – US CPI (MoM) (May) According to the previous Consumer Price Index (CPI), the United States witnessed a modest increase of 0.4% compared to last month’s 0.1%. The upcoming inflation data for May is anticipated to reveal a slight cooling …

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Is The Fed Going To Raise Interest Rates In June?

After the rate hikes by the Canadian central bank and the RBA, the Federal Reserve is now under pressure to consider raising interest rates. Despite the prevailing risk of an economic downturn in Australia, the RBA surprised the market by adding another 25 bps to its interest rate, vowing to bring the …

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Asian Equities Rise On China Stimulus Package

Additionally, a planned visit by the US Secretary of State has boosted indices like the HSI The Chinese government introduced an economic stimulus package, including lowering their deposit rate as soon as mid-June. Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of State has planned to visit China, which may improve the bilateral relationship between the …

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Dollar Hammered By Weak PMI Data

The dollar’s value experienced a decline, falling below $104 following the release of disappointing U.S. service PMI data. The reading dropped from 51.9 to 50.3, prompting the market to reconsider the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hike in June. Investors are currently awaiting the announcement from the Reserve …

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US Federal Reserve Signals June Hike Skip

Focus has shifted from the US debt ceiling back to macro data and the Fed’s benchmark interest rate The dollar experienced its largest daily decline in almost a month as U.S. manufacturing data and statements from Federal Reserve officials reinforced expectations of a potential interest rate hike delay. Meanwhile, the euro rebounded …

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Dollar Surges on Impressive NFP and Debt Ceiling Resolution

Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …

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Is The Fed Skipping The June Rate Hike?

Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …

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All Eyes On U.S. Senate For Debt Ceiling Conclusion

The Week Ahead: Week of 5 June (GMT+3) Monday, 5 June, 11:30 – UK Composite PMI (May) Rating agency Moody has warned that the UK is set for a mild recession, given the high inflation and borrowing costs. Inflation in the country is the highest among F7 countries, with an increase of …

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Debt Limit Bill Vote Passes The House

A Bipartisan Agreement To Suspend The Debt Ceiling Is Now Awaiting Approval From The U.S. Senate The House of Representatives has successfully passed a debt ceiling deal to prevent a potentially catastrophic event. However, the process is not yet complete as the bill now awaits approval from the Senate, where not all …

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Debt-Limit Bill Clears 1st Hurdle

Uncertainty Remains In The Markets As Both Political Parties In The U.S. Continue With Their Discourse Around The Debt Ceiling Issue The bill regarding the U.S. debt limit has successfully cleared its first obstacle at the House Rules Committee, but it now faces another challenge in Congress. Ahead of the bill’s debate …

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Optimism Ignites Asian Markets As Debt Ceiling Deal Sparks Risk Appetite

Market participants are now eagerly waiting for the conclusion of a debt ceiling deal in congress Global markets experienced a mixed landscape as Western holidays provided a sense of calm for dollar-related currencies. In contrast, Asian markets saw a surge in positive sentiment, driving the Nikkei index to its highest level in …

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Dollar Soars On Optimistic Debt Ceiling Deal

Markets Risk-on After Positive U.S. debt Ceiling Deal Boosted The Dollar The US Dollar continued its impressive rally, buoyed by the optimistic prospects of a tentative debt ceiling deal between President Joe Biden and top Republican Kevin McCarthy. The deal aims to avert a potentially catastrophic default, boosting investor sentiment. Concurrently, the …

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Credit Rating Agencies Threatens to Cut U.S. Rating

Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …

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Dollar Rises On Debt Ceiling Optimism And Hawkish Fed Tone

The dollar has its highest since March as Fed meeting participants lean hawkish even as punters expect a hike pause in June.  Important this week: the Fed meeting minutes released on Wednesday and more updates on the U.S. debt ceiling talks.  The minutes for the Fed’s May 2-3 meeting was released yesterday, …

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U.S. Debt Ceiling Remains At An Impasse

The Biden-McCarthy meeting on the debt-limit bill has yet to yield any deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. default, with U.S. Treasury secretary warning that the country will run out of cash in June. Market sentiment worsened as the White House has no more meetings planned; and gold prices have rebounded due …

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Biden-McCarthy Talks Productive

Both President Biden and the House Speaker claimed that yesterday’s meeting on the debt-limit bill has a productive outcome but both parties are yet to come to an agreement. Meanwhile, U.S. treasury secretary Janet Yellen, reiterated that the department will run out of cash in early June. The dollar index has strengthened …

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Debt-Limit Talks Resume

After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …

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Dollar Surges On Positive Data And US Debt Ceiling Deal

Optimism In The Markets Has Seen The US Dollar Index And Equities Rising In Tandem The Dollar Index surged, buoyed by upbeat economic data, and the optimism surrounding a potential deal to raise the US debt ceiling. Prominent Republican Kevin McCarthy expressed confidence in passing a bill to increase the debt ceiling, …

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Debt Ceiling Optimism Overshadows Macro Data

The dollar has hit a 7-week high after significant progress on the debt ceiling bill has been reached. Macroeconomic data has taken a backseat as the U.S. nears its 1 June debt ceiling deadline as outlined by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Unlike the hard data of economic releases, this is a political …

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Biden Confident On Debt Ceiling Bill

President Biden is confident in reaching a bipartisan agreement with congressional leaders to elevate the debt ceiling, effectively averting an unprecedented default situation for the United States. This development has sparked a wave of optimism, prompting the dollar to trade higher, while the safe haven commodity gold languishes amid the surge in …

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Dollar Boosted By Fed’s Hawkish Comments

A bounce in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on oil and gold prices Equity markets were stagnant while the dollar has strengthened, driven by hawkish comments from various Fed officials stressing high inflation in the U.S. On the other hand, President Joe Biden and the country’s congressional leaders are going …

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Understand How Asset Classes Correlate With Each Other

Understand The Intermarket Correlations Across Different Asset Classes And Role Of ETFs As an investor or trader, understanding how various asset classes relate to each other is critical to make informed investment decisions, build diversified portfolios, and manage risk. Asset class correlation refers to the extent to which the prices of different …

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Biden-McCarthy Meeting Postponed

Investor sentiment has taken a hit in the market following the postponement of a meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and the House Speaker to address the looming debt ceiling crisis. The Biden administration is under pressure to pass the debt ceiling bill by June to avoid a potential default on the …

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Soft CPI Give Fed Room To Pause Rates

A lower-than-expected inflation has lent optimism to the markets The latest U.S. inflation figures have provided the Federal Reserve with some respite on its upcoming rate hike decision. The data for April showed a slight drop in inflation to 4.9% from 5%, easing the Fed’s dilemma. As a result, the dollar weakened …

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US CPI Shows Signs Of Moderation But Caution Still Advised

Markets have posted a slight rally after inflation came in lower than analyst expectations even as a debt crisis looms. On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the year-on-year CPI readings for April, where a rise of 4.9% came in marginally lower than economists’ expectations of 5.0%. Meanwhile, month-on-month core …

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Markets Quietly Await U.S. CPI

The markets are quiet before the U.S. CPI released on Wednesday (10th May). U.S. equity markets moved sideways while the dollar index and gold prices have little change as the market is digesting the renewed banking sector risk as well as developments regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. On the other hand, Australia …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Understanding Indices Trading And How To Trade Them

Indices trading can provide several benefits to traders, which includes allowing diversification of trade, access to multiple major markets and cost effectiveness. Find out exactly what indices trading is and how to trade indices in this comprehensive guide.  What Are Indices Indices are key indicators in the financial markets, serving as a …

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Fed Rate At The Highest Level Since 2007

The dollar has dipped on dovish expectations and downward pressure on the economy Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced yesterday that the central bank would deliver its 10th consecutive interest-rate hike of 25 basis points, bringing the Fed rate to 5.25%, its highest level since 2007. Powell also hinted that the Fed …

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All Eyes on Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Markets are widely expecting a 25-point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting The U.S. financial markets experienced much-needed stabilisation after JP Morgan’s acquisition of First Republic bank, the latest financial institution to fail. This development has lifted the U.S. equities markets, with Asian markets also opening higher after returning from the labour …

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Wall Street Rally Boosts Asian Equities

Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …

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Nasdaq Leads Wall Street Rally as US Tech Earnings Shine

The tech-heavy index is up over 2.7% on the day, with companies like Meta Platforms leading the rise Nasdaq led a Wall Street rally driven by robust earnings from US tech firms, despite concerns over US economic growth. Meta Platforms saw the biggest gains after forecasting quarterly revenue above estimates, citing AI’s …

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Euro Surges on Upward German Growth Forecast, ECB Hawkish Tone

The euro has received a boost from a combination of hawkish guidance from the ECB and positive economic data in the region The Euro stole the spotlight as it surged to a record high following Germany’s upward revision of its economic growth forecast for 2023. The move is reinforced by positive indicators, …

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Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed’s Monetary Policy Decision

With a 25-point hike already priced in for the dollar, investors have turned to the ECB’s hawkish outlook to price the euro The US Dollar slipped to a one-week low as investors pondered the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy ahead of next week’s meeting, where a rate hike is expected. Uncertainty lingers, with …

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China’s economy grew at the fastest pace in Q1, reaching 4.5%

The economic resilience of the world’s second-largest economy will be headwind for oil prices China’s Q1 GDP grew by 4.5%, exceeding expectations of a 4.0% expansion and marking the fastest pace of growth since Q1 2022. On a quarter-by-quarter basis, the GDP grew by 2.2% in Q1, compared to a revised 0.6% …

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Investors Brace for Uncertainty Ahead of Key Economic Data

The U.S. is trading flat as the markets prepare for potential uncertainty ahead of GDP and inflation figures The King Dollar is trading flat as market participants prepare for potential uncertainties. The upcoming release of GDP figures, core PCE price index, and employment cost index are critical for global investors. Meanwhile, the …

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Gold Prices Surge as Recession Looms

Dollar weakness has leant support to the precious metal, which has climbed back to the near-2000 mark U.S. equities took a hit as concerns over corporate earnings weighed heavily on investor sentiment, a sentiment that spilled over into Asian markets. The market’s risk appetite has contracted due to fears of a possible …

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Asian Shares Dip Amid Cautious Trading

The VIX dipped to its lowest level in over a year as equities trade sideways ahead of the Fed interest rate decision Asian shares traded lower, and U.S. equity futures fell as investors remained cautious after Wall Street closed with little change. The CBOE VIX volatility index hit its lowest level in …

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Dollar Holds on to Gains After Hike Expectations Bounce

USD remains elevated even as the economy shows signs of weakening The U.S dollar saw a bounce on Monday after a sustained dip on the back of signs of easing inflation and the recent bank stress. Resilient retails sales, optimistic earnings in Wall Street, and hike-signalling from the Fed have caused the …

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Dollar Struggles as Investors Remain Sceptical of Fed’s Hawkish Tone

The US Dollar is uncertain due to recent hawkish comments by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard on rate hikes. The US Dollar continues to struggle as uncertainty over US monetary policy lingers in the global financial market. Despite hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard …

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China’s GDP Shows Solid Economic Recovery

Economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy will be bullish for oil prices China’s freshly released economic data has shown resilient growth in the country compared to the previous quarter. China’s GDP in the first quarter surged to 2.2% from the previous quarter’s 0%, a favourable sign that could potentially stimulate higher …

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Markets Cautious Ahead of Earnings Season

Equities are muted as markets await the expected volatility of the earnings season US index futures cautiously climbed during the Asian market session, signalling investors’ apprehension ahead of the upcoming earnings season. Against the backdrop of growing concerns over economic slowdown and the possibility of further rate hikes, market volatility is expected …

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Alibaba to roll out AI Tech to rival ChatGPT

Alibaba Cloud has unveiled its AI chatbot, Tongyi Qianwen The Chinese tech giant, Alibaba Cloud, unveiled an AI-driven chatbot  Tongyi Qianwen that will gradually become available across all Alibaba products, from enterprise communication to e-commerce, in the coming period. The chatbot will possess Chinese and English language capabilities and will be initially …

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Rate Hike Expectations Falter as PPI Plummets 

The US Producer Price Index came in lower than expected The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike expectations have continued to wane amid a flurry of lacklustre economic data. The latest blow to inflationary pressures came from the Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which displayed a significant …

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Equities Market Edge Higher as Risk-On Sentiment Escalates

The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …

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Mixed Asian Shares After Surprise Rate Hike by RBNZ

Asian markets were mixed as investors digested a US labour report showing a drop in job openings to their lowest level in almost two years in February. New Zealand’s central bank increased its benchmark cash rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%, causing the New Zealand dollar to strengthen by almost 0.9%. …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Nasdaq 100 Enters Bull Market as Fears Over Banking Crisis Ease

On Wednesday, 8 March, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data for February was released, coming in at a lower-than-expected 145,000 against the expected 200,000 and down from January’s figure of an upwardly-revised 261,000. This is the latest in a string of cooling data showing that the Fed’s aggressive tightening regime might …

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Is a Recession Looming?

Recession fears have escalated in the markets, especially after the ADP Nonfarm payroll was released yesterday. The dollar index traded higher, and gold prices poised at a yearly high as safe-haven assets are being sought after by investors amid a recession looming with a lower-than-expected U.S. job report. On top of that, …

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Banking Crisis Fears Resurface

Evidence of a weakening U.S. economy has led investors to rotate out of the dollar Although a hawkish statement from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated for sustained rates above 5%; the market is struggling with the resurgence of banking fears. The newly released economic data, including the manufacturing PMI and JOLTs …

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Oil Prices Surges With OPEC+ Surprise Supply Cuts 

Oil prices surged by more than 8%, with WTI crude trading above $81 for the first time since January after an unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut crude supply to tighten the market. The oil allies announced cutting more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, with Saudi Arabia leading the …

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Crude Surges on Surprise OPEC+ Cuts

Oil prices surged at the beginning of the week after OPEC+ unexpectedly announced crude output cuts that could tighten the market, causing inflationary concerns for the global economy. The cuts, which will exceed 1 million barrels a day, were not expected by traders who anticipated output to remain steady. Goldman Sachs raised …

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Global Markets Maintain Risk-On Sentiment in Anticipation of Key PCE Reports

China’s economic performance continues to astound global markets as the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data revealed that the service sector activity in the country surged to its fastest pace in 12 years in March. Such sentiment has sparked optimism for the antipodean currencies, which are closely linked to China’s economy. The …

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Tech Shares Push Wall Street Higher

Wall Street rallied following the footstep of Asian equity markets last night, pushed by tech shares as concerns over the stability of the financial system continue to ease. An increasing risk-on attitude has also muted the gold prices and the U.S. dollar while U.S. treasuries yield stays flat. Before the RBA announces …

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Nasdaq 100 Enters Bull Market as Fears Over Banking Crisis Ease

Has the banking crisis abated? Equity investors seem to think so, with the Nasdaq surging close to 2% on Wednesday as the markets assess a successful containment of the banking crisis caused by the failure of regional banks and one Credit Suisse. This puts the tech-heavy index technically in bull market territory, …

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China Equity Market Rallies with Alibaba Revamp

Driven by tech shares, as concern over the financial system eased, Wall Street and Asian equity markets rallied Chinese stock indices, including the Hang Seng Index, rallied as Alibaba said it would split the company into 6 units that would potentially be listed individually. This reflects a loosening attitude from the Chinese …

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Markets Get Relief From Banking Turmoil

The banking crisis was seemingly resolved after yesterday’s news reported that First Citizens Bancshares Inc agreed to buy Silicon Valley Bank. On top of that, the U.S. authorities are considering expanding its emergency lending facilities for banks to shore up the bank’s balance sheet, which in a way supports the embattled First …

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Markets Put Less Weight On Banking Crisis

Focus has shifted back to inflation and interest rates as the banking crisis shows signs of easing Equity markets advanced and major currencies fluctuated in narrow ranges in the last session. Easing in the banking crisis and perceived lower risk of recession spurred the equity market to trade higher while modest rate …

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Equities Markets Slide as Banking Sector Concern Still Intact. 

Wall Street was hindered by the banking sector and slumped after investors digested the comment from Janet Yellen, U.S. Treasury Secretary on Wednesday’s hearing. However, Yellen attempted to alleviate market concerns during a subsequent hearing on Thursday, promising that policymakers would take further action to safeguard bank deposits if necessary. Meanwhile, Japan’s …

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Fed Takes Risk With Rate Hike Amid Banking Crisis

Investors hoping for a pause in rate hikes were disappointed as the U.S. Federal Reserve pushed ahead with a quarter-point hike at its interest rate decision on Wednesday. While way lower than 2022’s mega-hikes of 50 to 75 bps and in line with economist expectations, March’s 25-point hike is a calculated risk …

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Fed is not Pausing Rate Hike

Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …

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Markets Risk-on Ahead of Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Wall Street closed high and gold prices retraced as the fears over the banking sector crisis abated; the dollar index remains calm before the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement, which will be made later today (22nd March). However, investors are starting to discuss the banking turmoil as aftermath of central banks’ frenetic …

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Stubbornly Strong Jobs Data Supports Hawkish Fed Outlook

In a continued chain of unrelentingly robust jobs data, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm printed a reading of 242,000  for February, higher than an estimated 205 000 and up from a revised 119,000 for January. The service sector had the largest contribution to  job additions with 190,000, of which a majority came from …

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Commodities Surge as China’s Economy Recovery Sprints Ahead

On Wednesday, China released its Manufacturing PMI and Caixin Manufacturing PMI for February, beating economists’ expectations of 50.5 and 50.2 respectively. A reading above 50 indicates expansion from the previous month. This is the highest reading since April 2012, marking a faster-than-expected rebound for the world’s second-largest economy after covid-19 related shutdowns …

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Cheap Consumer Loans Might Backfire in China

President Xi Jinping’s effort to stimulate China’s economy through increased consumer spending is facing a new challenge as citizens misuse cheap consumer loans. Borrowers are using low-interest loans to prepay mortgages or invest in stocks, instead of buying goods as intended. This practice, which is prohibited by regulators, threatens to undermine Beijing’s …

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What Are The Factors That Affect Gold Prices?

Understand Deeper About Factors Affecting How Gold Prices Work Being one of the most widely-traded commodities in the world, gold prices can fluctuate significantly based on a number of different factors. Here are some of the key factors that easily affect the gold market and important for anyone looking to embark in …

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“Goldilocks” Markets Sees Diverging Signals After CPI Release

On Tuesday, February 14, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released, showing an increase of 0.5% in January and the highest in three months but in-line with expectations. The year-on-year increase, meanwhile, is 6.4%, up slightly from market forecasts of 6.2%. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and …

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Techniques For Trading Bonds Futures

Make More Informed Decisions While Trading Bonds Explore the various techniques for trading bonds futures and optimize your investment strategy. Learn about the different types of bond futures contracts, such as U.S Treasury bonds futures and Eurodollar bond futures, and how to use them to hedge against interest rate risk. Understand the …

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Crude Oil Prices Defy Inventory Build

On Wednesday, the U.S Energy Information Administration reported an increase in crude inventories by 2.42 million barrels, close to the market expectations of 2.46 millions barrels. This is the third consecutive crude inventory build, coming after an outsized 4.14 million last week. This makes it a rough 4% above the 5-year average …

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What Are Government Bonds And How To Trade Them?

Understand More About Government Bonds And How To Trade Them Government bonds are widely considered as one of the least risky investments available to many investors. Read this article and learn all about government bonds including what they are, how they work and how to take a position in them through our …

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Amazon Reports Growing Share of Tech Market

Amazon’s advertising business continues to thrive, growing 19% YoY in Q4 2022 to $11.6 billion in sales, despite a slowdown in the digital advertising market that has affected other companies like Alphabet, Facebook, and Snap. While Amazon’s advertising unit is still a small portion of the company’s overall revenue, it is seen …

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What Are Bonds And How Do They Work

What Are Bonds? Bonds refer to a type of loan in which a bondholder lends money to a company or government. The borrower pays interest periodically until a specified date in the future when repaying the original loan amount. The final amount that the bond issuer repays to the bondholder is called …

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Ahead of NFP, Fed Implements Lowest Rate Hike in 10 Months

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released its monetary policy decision for February 2023, raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 points at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, as widely expected by the markets. This brings the target range of 4.5% to 4.75%, making it the highest since October 2007. This …

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Will Chinese Demand Overshadow Supply Concerns for Crude?

A lower-than-expected build in crude oil inventories has seen the commodity trade flat as demand concerns hit the markets. On Wednesday evening, the EIA Crude Oil Inventories was released, showing a build of 522,000 barrels, putting the total inventory at 448.5 million. This is much lower than the forecasted increase of 971,000 …

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Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains a dovish stance, Dollar dips on pessimistic economic outlook

On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan left its ultra-easing policy unchanged, sparking heavy speculation that it could be prompting the monetary policy divergence between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve while defying market expectations it would phase out its massive stimulus program.   In the face of uncertainties worldwide, the …

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FOMC Minutes:  No Light at the End of The Tunnel for Fed

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet.   Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the …

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Will the Japanese Yen See a Big U-Turn in 2023?

On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan released a summary of opinions from its December meeting. The meeting, originally held on 20 December, saw the BoJ increase its 10-year benchmark yield ceiling in a surprise move that boosted the yen over 3% by investors betting on a Hawkish turn by the BoJ.  However, …

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Bank of Japan’s Surprise Bond Cap Raise

Japan’s outgoing central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda surprised markets with an increase of 25 basis points on the cap for the BoJ’s 10-year yields, effectively doubling the limit. The surprise has caught economists by surprise in light of the BoJ’s extreme dovishness even as the rest of the world embraces tightening. While …

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Scaled-Down 50bps Hike From Fed Belies Hawkish Outlook

On Wednesday, 14 December, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its last rate hike of the year – a 50-basis point increase to the Fed fund rate, well in line with the market’s expectations. This brings the Fed benchmark rate to 4.25% – 4.5%, the highest in 15 years. While a dovish step …

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Gold Struggles to Find Direction even as China Eases Covid Restrictions

China has announced that it will be lifting its strictest covid policies, including being forced to quarantine in state facilities and the need to test before entering most venues. The easing has been released in a series of new guidelines that include a ban on blocking fire exits, encouraging vaccinations among the …

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Will Dovish Signalling Underscore the Effects of the Upcoming NFP?

On Wednesday evening, November’s ADP Nonfarm Employment Change numbers were released, vastly underperforming expectations with an increase of 127,000 private payroll jobs, well below the estimate of 190,000 and the previous month’s 239,000.  The leisure and hospitality sector was the largest gainer, with an increase in 224,000 jobs. The most significant sector …

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Covid Protests Erupt Across China

As frustrations mount over China’s zero covid policy and continued lockdowns, protests, a rare sight in China, have sprung up all over the country. The lastest happened on Sunday, where protesters and and police clashed in Shanghai. In Wuhan, Chengdu and the capital of Beijing, demonstraters have also taken to the streets, …

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FOMC Minutes Point to Less Hawks Decisions

On Wednesday, 24 November (GMT+2), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its 1-2 November meeting. Reflecting statements multiple officials have made over the last several weeks, the meeting summary concluded that a substantial majority of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) agreed it would probably moderate the pace of …

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Tencent Wins First Game License in 18 Months

Chinese tech and gaming giant Tencent has been awarded its first license for a video game in 18 months. This comes after the Chinese authorities started its wide-reaching crackdown on big tech companies, implementing legislation like limiting the amount of time children could spend playing games, and freezing the approval of new …

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Why Is Gold Volatility So High?

Understanding Gold Volatility Factors Is Key To Successful Gold Trading To be more successful in gold trading, a good understanding of gold volatility and gold prices would, more often than not, help gold traders make more informed decisions. While gold remains a highly liquid asset with hundreds of billions worth traded everyday, …

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Key Indices From Around The World

Financial Times-Stock Exchange 100 Share Index (FTSE 100) The FTSE 100 tracks the 100 largest companies on the London Stock Exchange. Like the S&P 500, it is often regarded as an indicator of the health of the wider UK equity market. Also like the S&P 500, the FTSE 100’s constituent stocks are …

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FTX Declares Bankruptcy

Embattled cryptocurrency exchange FTX has declared bankruptcy in the latest saga in the crypto world. The company saw a mass exodus of holders of its native coin, FTT, after news emerged that its finances, including that of its sister trading company Alameda Research, was on shaky ground. Alameda itself is being accused …

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Must-Know Gold Trading Tips

Gold Has Been Known As A Good Hedge Against Inflation Gold has been widely called a “safe-haven” asset as it is able to retain and increase in value despite times of market turbulence or inflation. Many investors turn to gold trading because of that. However, it is inevitable that there could still …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Ahead

What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Underway

After weeks of campaigning, the 2022 U.S. midterm elections are set to be held on 8th November, Tuesday.  With inflation in full swing and multiple signals of an impending recession, it looks the economy – more specifically the cost of living – might decide who the winning party is. All 435 House …

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U.S. Shares Tumble on Hawkish Fed Signals

On Wednesday, 2 November, the US Federal Reserve implemented its fourth mega hike, raising interest rates by 75 basis points, or 0.75%, in its continuing fight against high inflation. This brings the current Fed’s benchmark rate to 3.75% – 4%, with rates expected to hit a ceiling at 4.5% – 4.75% in …

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What a New Prime Minister Spells for the Pound’s Future

On Tuesday, 25 October, Rishi Sunak was sworn in as the new Prime Minister of the UK. The 42-year-old is the third UK PM in 7 weeks, replacing Liz Truss, who was PM for the whole of 44 days. Sunak comes at a time of great financial instability for the UK, with …

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What Are The Best Trading Hours In Forex Markets

Just as with most forms of investing and trading, taking note of the trading hours in the forex market is everything in Forex trading. Grasping the right trading hours in the day to trade, knowing the dates of important economic announcements, and just timing your trades correctly will give you an edge, …

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Liz Truss Resigns from Office

UK Prime Minister Liz Truss resigned last week, making her the UK’s shortest-serving PM at just 44 days in office. Truss’ term has been plagued by criticism for her mini budget program, which included the biggest tax cuts since 1972, but would be largely funded  by a massive expansion in borrowing. The …

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Gold Remains Downbeat as Treasury Yields Hit Decade High

Recession fears are plaguing the markets more strongly than ever. On Wednesday, US Treasury yields hit a 14-year high, with the 10-year note hitting as high as 4.153% as of writing – the highest since 2008’s recession. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield rose by 13 basis points to 4.57%. More importantly, the 3-month …

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Outsized ADP Nonfarm Employment Fizzles Stock Rally give back

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released, clocking in at 208,000 jobs added, better than the 200,000 forecasted and August’s 185,000. While the manufacturing, natural resources, and mining industries reported a loss of 29,000 positions, huge additions in the trade, transportation, utilities; and business and professional services …

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Pound Freefall Prompts BoE Emergency Bond-Buying

The Bank of England, the UK’s Central Bank, has announced this week a temporary gilt-buying programme to urgently respond to a “material risk to UK financial stability”. This comes as gilt yields were on course for record highs as investors exited UK’s bonds after the government announced underfunded tax cuts and increased …

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How To Invest In And Trade Gold

Gold has been used as a store of value for thousands of years. Even today, it remains a highly liquid asset, with hundreds of billions worth traded every day. Content: What Is Gold And Gold Trading?What Affects The Price Of Gold? Why Gold Trading?How To Start Trading Gold?How To Read And Analyse …

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Downbeat CPI Read Sends Shares Tumbling

On Tuesday (GMT+3), the US released its year-on-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) figure, showing that inflation came in at 8.3%, higher than the expected 8.1% but lower than the previous month’s 8.5%. The month-on-month core CPI change, meanwhile, came in at an increase of 0.6% versus an expected increase of 0.3%. While …

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US to Place Cap on Russian Oil

The US will be joining its G7 peers in placing a price cap on crude coming out of Russia in a bid to both limit the Kremlin’s ability to fund its war, while cooling inflation and oil prices. The price cap has been set to take effect 5 December, the same time …

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Cooling US CPI Numbers Give Hope for Soft Landing 

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July was released, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.5% – lower than the expected growth of 8.7% and the previous month’s increase of 9.1%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile categories like food and energy, comes in at an increase of 0.3% …

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Will JOLTs Data Foreshadow Friday’s NFP?

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US JOLTs Job Openings data was released, showing 10.689 million job openings, lower than the expected 11 million and the previous month’s value of 11.303 million. This is also the lowest in 9 months.  Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, notes: “Fewer openings likely …

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Will the ECB Hike Rates by 25 or 50 Points?

At 15:15 (GMT+3) on Wednesday, the European Central Bank will be making its interest rate decision. The central bank is expected to hike rates, the first time it will do so in 11 years. For the past 8 years, interest rates in the EU have been negative – but rampaging inflation has …

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US CPI Sees Yield Curve Inversion

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for June were released, showing that consumer prices grew by 9.1% year-on-year, the fastest pace of inflation growth since November 1981. This is higher than the forecast of 8.8% and May’s figure of 8.6%. Meanwhile, Core CPI increased 0.7% month-on-month, higher …

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Crude Tumbles On Recession Fears and Biden’s Petrol Tax Holiday

On Wednesday afternoon, 22 June, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made his semi-annual testimony to the Senate Banking Committee. In his testimony, Powell highlighted that the Fed was “strongly committed” to bringing down inflation and that the American economy is in a strong position to handle the continued rate hikes. However, Powell has …

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Fed’s 75 Point Hike Boosts Equity Markets

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US Federal Reserve announced a rate hike of 0.75% or 75 basis points, up from the last rate hike of 50 points. This is the largest Fed interest rate hike in 28 years, and brings the benchmark interest rate to between 1.50% – 1.75%, a number last …

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Oil Rises Despite EIA Crude Oil Inventory Increase

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US EIA Crude Oil Inventories data was released. For the Week of 3 June, US inventories of crude increased by 2.025 million barrels. This is compared to the forecasted draw of 1.917 million, and the previous week’s draw of 5.068 million.  Meanwhile, distillate inventories saw a rise …

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Positive Manufacturing PMI Buoys Dollar

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers‘ Index (PMI) figure for May was released. May showed a reading of 56.1, higher than the forecasted 54.5 and the previous month’s value of 55.4. The ISM Manufacturing PMI measures product demand from over 300 key manufacturers in the US and is …

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ECB To End 8 Years of Negative Interest Rates

On Wednesday morning (GMT+3), Germany released its quarter-on-quarter GDP figures. The 0.2% increase was exactly in line with forecasts, while an increase from the previous quarters -0.3%. Year-on-year growth for Q1 stands at 3.8%, up from the forecasted 3.7%. Earlier in the week on Tuesday, European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde …

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Poor Retailer Earnings Lead Another US Stock Rout

US shares saw their largest rout in almost two years as investors exited equities on the back of poor retailer earnings results and inflation fears. Trading hours on Wednesday saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average lose 3.57% to close at 31490.07, the S&P 500 drop 4.04% to close at 3923.68, and the …

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EU Considering Sixth Round of Sanctions Against Russia

The EU has announced a new series of sanctions in their latest proposal. Included is a plan to phase out Russian crude imports in a span of six months. This means a ban on all Russian oil, crude and refined. Enacting the sanction will be a major challenge given that Russian oil …

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Rate Hike Overshadows US ADP Nonfarm Employment Figures

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures were announced, revealing that employment in the US rose by 247,000, lower than the forecasted increase of 395,000 and the previous month’s increase of 479,000. Markets were largely unmoved by the ADP Employment figures as participants awaited the Fed’s interest rate …

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8 Million EIA Inventory Drop Sends Crude Prices Up

On Wednesday (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration reported a large decrease of 8.02 million barrels in its crude oil inventories, bringing its current inventory to 413.7 million barrels. The numbers are far from the forecasted increase of 2.471 million barrels, and last week’s increase of 9.382 million. Meanwhile, gasoline inventories see …

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OPEC: Russian Crude “Nearly Impossible” to Replace

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has warned that it would not be possible to replace the 7 million barrels of Russian oil and other liquid exports that will potentially be lost each day due to current and future sanctions. While the EU has not yet banned imports of Russian energy, …

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FOMC Minutes Point To $95b Balance Sheet Cuts

On Wednesday, 6 April (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 15-16 March meeting. As expected, the meeting was focused on discussing the tightening measures that the Fed would take to rein in galloping inflation. Chiefly, the central bank has plans to shrink its almost-US$9 trillion balance …

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Singapore Increasingly Seen as Safe Haven For Chinese Wealth

As Beijing’s crackdown on the country’s wealthy continues under president Xi Jinping’s “common prosperity” policy, an increasing number of China’s affluent are moving their money to Singapore and setting up family offices. Singapore’s attractiveness stems from its large Chinese-speaking population, lack of wealth tax, and relative proximity. The trend started in 2019 …

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US ADP Nonfarm Data Points To Half-Point Rate Hike

On Wednesday afternoon March 30 (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data reported an increase in 455,000 jobs. This figure is slightyly more than the expected increase of 450,000, and down from the previous month’s value of 486,000. While higher than expected, March’s ADP Employment numbers are still the lowest seen …

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Crude Surges Amid Lower-than-expected EIA Inventories

On Wednesday evening March 23 (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a decrease of 2.508 million barrels in its crude oil inventories for the week of 18 March. This is in contrast to the forecasted increase of 0.114m barrels, and the previous increase of 4.345M. Meanwhile, a disruption in the …

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Gold Steadies as Fed Increases Interest Rate By Expected 0.25%

On Wednesday, 16 March, the US Federal Reserve made the long-awaited decision to raise interest rates to combat surging inflation. As per the market’s expectations, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points. The 0.25% rate hike was voted on almost unanimously by policymakers, except St Louis Fed president James Bullard, who voted …

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The Basics Of Technical Analysis

Understanding technical analysis and the dynamics of price movements is crucial for traders and investors in the fast-paced world of the financial markets. This is where technical analysis comes into play. By examining historical market data, technical analysis empowers individuals to decipher patterns and trends, enabling them to make informed decisions about …

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Understanding The Basics Of Fundamental Analysis

When formulating a trading strategy, traders employ various tools that can be broadly classified into two types of analysis methods: technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Although there are differing opinions on each approach, there is no definitive answer as to which trading strategy is “superior.” Each analysis method has its own advantages, …

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Understanding The Main Financial Market Categories

In the ever-evolving landscape of global economics, understanding the diverse array of the financial market is crucial for informed decision-making and successful investments. This blog article serves as your gateway to comprehending the intricate world of financial markets. By exploring the various categories and functions within this dynamic realm, you’ll gain the …

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An Introduction To The Financial Markets And Trading

Financial trading refers to the buying and selling of financial instruments in the financial markets, with the goal of generating profit from the price movements of these assets. It involves making decisions based on various factors, including market knowledge, market analysis and risk management strategies. What Are The Financial Markets? A financial …

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Chinese tech companies bullish on the metaverse

Despite the regulatory risks, Chinese tech companies are doubling down on their bets on the metaverse, ranking in the top among companies filing for NFT and metaverse-related trademarks and patents. In 2021 and 2020, Tencent filed a total of 4085 patents while Baidu filed 3094, taking second and third places respectively behind …

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Markets Build Risk Appetite as ADP Nonfarm Exceeds Expectations

On Wednesday, 15:15 (GMT+2), data for the February US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change was released. At 475,000, the number beat out the market estimate of 378K, although it is still lower than the previous month’s 509,000. Broken down, February’s numbers indicate a significant employment drop of 96,000 in small businesses, although overall …

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Russia invades Ukraine

On Thursday, 24 February, Russian forces entered neighbouring Ukraine, sparking what some are calling the largest conflict in Europe since World War 2. Land, sea, and air forces have been sent into Ukrainian space, with the country’s foreign minister saying that the country’s capital, Kyiv, has been hit by Russian rocket strikes. …

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Gold Surges as Geopolitical Tension in Eastern Europe Rises to New Heights

Rising geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West, combined with the effects of booming worldwide inflation, has caused the price of gold to soar. The precious metal is trading at its highest prices in over a year as investors seek the safe-haven asset in response to Putin’s increasing belligerent stance against Ukraine; …

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Unexpected Fed Dovishness Causes USD Drop and Gold Rise

On Wednesday evening (GMT+2), the US Federal Reserve released its meeting minutes, revealing its plans for interest rate hikes, as well as a “significant reduction” in asset holdings in response to spreading inflation. However, while its outward tone might seem hawkish, the details of the minutes lacked bite without any clear signals …

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Chances of 50-point Rate Hike Increases as US CPI Hits 40-year High

On Thursday (GMT+2), the US released its Consumer Price Index data (CPI) for January. Results showed that inflation, as measured by the CPI, increased by 7.5% year-on-year, beating out the forecasted 7.3% and posting the highest gain since 1982. The results also mark an increase of 0.6% from December, continuing the fourth …

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Gold rises as US ADP Nonfarm Employment massively underperforms

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT +2), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released. The results showed that private U.S. payrolls fell by 301,000 in January 2022, the largest drop since April 2020, and far from the gain of 207,000 estimated by economists polled by Dow Jones. This is the first time in …

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Fed Expected to Expedite Rate Hikes as US CPI Beats Expectations

On January 12 (Wednesday) afternoon (GMT+2), the United States announced its year-on-year, not seasonally-adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December. US CPI rose 7% in 2021, the largest 12-month gain since 1982, according to data released by the Labor Department. CPI rose 0.5% month-on-month in December, slightly beating the market expectations of …

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How Can You Deal with a Bear Market?

Like the tides, the financial markets wax and wane. It’s all part of the natural cycles of the financial system since no bull market can last forever. A bear market is usually defined as a 20% or more drop of a major stock index. While the index most commonly used as the …

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ADP Employment Data Far Exceeds Expectations

On January 5 (Wednesday), the United States announced the December ADP employment data. According to the ADP private payroll numbers for December, 807,000 jobs were added compared to estimates of a figure of 410,000 and the previous value of 534,000, the largest increase since May 2021. The minutes from the Fed’s December FOMC meeting on …

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Interest Rates

Every time the chairman of the FOMC, Janet Yellen, gives a speech everybody is playing the guessing game trying to figure out what’s going to happen with the interest rates. Interest rate can be defined as; ‘The cost of borrowing money expressed as a % of loan value’ Understanding Interest rates is …

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Money Supply

The main role of any central bank is to control a country’s money supply. By decreasing borrowing costs, central banks are effectively increasing the money supply. The money supply is a measure of the entire amount of bills, notes, coins, loans, credit and other liquid instruments in circulation within a country’s economy. …

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The 3 Main Market Categories

Bullion Bullion refers to the physical gold and silver of high purity. The demand for bullion isn’t driven only by their practical use, but also by their role as investments and a store of value. Paper currencies come with all sorts of problems, like the risk of inflation in times of political …

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How to efficiently managing risk

Any analyst or trading guide will tell you how important it is to manage your risk. However, how does one go about managing that risk? And what exactly do they mean by managing risk? Here is a step-by-step guide to one of the most important concepts in financial trading. 1. Determine Your …

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Why Should You Trade Gold

Gold Has Been Long Valued By Societies For Its Lustre And Malleability Gold trading is one of the most popular financial transactions conducted worldwide. Many forex traders get their hands on trading gold with the aim of generating income from multiple channels and types of transactions in the gold market. Discover the …

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What is currency

Currency, or foreign exchange, often abbreviated as forex or simply FX, refers to the exchange of global currencies on a decentralised market place – also known as over the counter (OTC) currency exchange. The foreign exchange market is the largest and most liquid market in the world, with an average daily trading …

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Key Economic Announcements

Economic announcements, or new events, are a widely followed aspect of trading due to their influence on monetary as well as political policy. Therefore, it is important to know which announcements are going to create the most impact and volatility so as to take advantage of their movements. Here are some of …

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Consumer and Producer Price Indices

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) are inflationary measures used to determine whether prices for goods and services are rising (inflation), falling (deflation when below zero or disinflation when falling but still above zero), or staying the same (since there is no particular term for this, let’s just …

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Non-Farm Payrolls

Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) measures the amount of jobs gained in the U.S. during the previous month that aren’t farm related. It is typically released on the first Friday of the new month, and also includes the Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and the Participation Rate. While all of those releases can have …

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Central Banks

In its simplest context, Central Banks are responsible for overseeing the monetary system for a nation (or group of nations); however, central banks have a range of responsibilities, from overseeing monetary policy to implementing specific goals such as currency stability, low inflation and full employment. Central banks also generally issue currency, function …

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